BMIE Market 21040
Harford County, Maryland · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 24,960 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,939 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,795 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±715 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,420 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $81,704 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,360 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $238,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,641 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 21040 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -11.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +3.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +14.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +3.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 28–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 21040. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Maryland and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 367, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 76.9 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 62.6 | 63 | 35% | +21.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 31.8 | 32 | 25% | +8.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 24,960 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,704 | 64 | 40% | +25.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,795 | 85 | 20% | +17.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.3 | 48 | 35% | +17.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.4 | 63 | 25% | +15.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 24,960 | 85 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 81,704 | 64 | 20% | +12.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -11.4 | 18 | 50% | +8.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 3.3 | 48 | 30% | +14.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 14.8 | 42 | 20% | +8.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (69)
By cuisine
American 12 · Pizza 11 · Sandwiches 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Italian 5 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Dessert 4 · Seafood 4 · Caribbean 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Coffee 2 · Greek 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Quick service 17 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Bar 4 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baskin-robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2000 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Boxcar Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2131 Old Edgewood Rd | open |
| Brittle Haus | Dessert · Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | 2109 Emmorton Park Rd | open |
| Brothers Beverage Exchange | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2013 Pulaski Hwy | open | |
| Bruno's Land & Sea Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2101 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Buena Vista | Casual dining · Bar | via vecchia per saronno 8 | open | |
| Burger King | Quick service | 1808 Edgewood Rd | open | |
| Burrows Management, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2108 Emmorton Park Rd Ste 203 | open | |
| Checkers Checkers and Rally's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1926 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| China Haste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1401 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Cinch Mechanical | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 301 Blackbird Ct | open |
| Clarence's Taste of New Orleans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2131 Old Edgewood Rd | open |
| D&m's Tiki Bar And Crab Deck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2207 Pulaski Hwy | open | |
| Dakari Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 300 State Hwy 755 | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 1812 Pulaski Hwy Unit 4 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee | 1928-A Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 1808 Edgewood Rd | open |
| Eat Like A Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek | 2723 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Edge Crab House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1845 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Edgewood Creamery Newport Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 701 State Hwy 755 | open |
| Edgewood Pancake Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1804 Pulaski Hwy | open | |
| Everest Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1709 Edgewood Rd | open | |
| Flying point Harbor. Edgewood, MD | Bar | open | ||
| Fortunato Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1401 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Friendly's | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers | 1407 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Glovannis Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1812 Pulaski Hwy | open | |
| Golden City Inn | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1845 Pulaski Hwy | open | |
| Great Wall Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2244 Hanson Rd | open | |
| Gus's Pizza & Grill Gus's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 1928 Pulaski Hwy B | open |
| Herb's Deli and Spirits | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2226 Hanson Rd | open |
| Hilltop Pizza & Subs | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual | Pizza · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1709 Edgewood Rd | open |
| HotPot Jamaican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1010 State Hwy 755 Ste 105 | open |
| Hunt brothers pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1811 Edgewood Rd | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 1804 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Island Spice Cuisine Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2120 Emmorton Park Rd Ste A | open | |
| Island Spice Jamaican Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Caribbean | 2120 Emmorton Park Rd | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1928 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Just A Bit Of Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2013 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2000A Pulaski Highway | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2230 Hanson Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2201 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| My Three Sons | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2510 Philadelphia Rd | open |
| New York Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1401 PULASKI Highway Ste B | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1011 e woodbridge center way | open |
| PAR Lounge & Sound Stage | Bar | 1709 Edgewood Rd | open | |
| Pat's Pizzeria Pat's Pizzeria Edgewood MD | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1961 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2230 Hanson Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1009 Edgewood Rd Harford | open |
| Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Seafood | 1011 Woodbridge Center Way | open |
| Ray's Caribbean American Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2013 Pulaski Hwy | open | |
| Sam's Deli and Catering | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 2108 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Seoul Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · Asian | 1812 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2244 A Hanson Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1401 Pulaski Hwy #120E | open |
| Sun & Moon Cafe | Casual dining | American | 108-398 State Highway 755 | open |
| Sweetdaycookies | Bakery | Bakery | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2155 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Tacos Tijuana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1709 Edgewood Rd | open |
| The Island At Flying Point Marina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 324 Flying Point Rd | open |
| The Meltdown | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1803 Edgewood Rd | open |
| Tip Top Chicken & Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Seafood | 625 State Hwy 755 | open |
| Venetian Italian Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 1901 Tree Top Dr | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 1806 Edgewood Rd | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1950 Pulaski Highway | open |
| Wings N' Pies | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 635 Edgewood Rd | open |
| Zorba's Pizza and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian · Greek | 2000 Pulaski Hwy | open |
| Mikey's Chicken Rico | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1833 Pulaski Hwy | closed |
| The Bull On The Turf | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2723 Pulaski Hwy | closed |
| The Deck Seafood & Tiki | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2207 Pulaski Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 30 | 30 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 29 | 29 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 33 | 33 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 36 | 35 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 32 | 32 | 10 | 21 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 31 | 10 | 20 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 31 | 29 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 31 | 30 | 10 | 20 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 29 | 9 | 19 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 29 | 27 | 10 | 16 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 26 | 10 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 28 | 10 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 32 | 30 | 10 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 31 | 9 | 21 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 36 | 32 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 34 | 30 | 9 | 20 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 32 | 10 | 21 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 21 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 33 | 31 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 33 | 30 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 32 | 9 | 22 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 32 | 8 | 23 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 38 | 35 | 8 | 26 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 34 | 8 | 26 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 37 | 35 | 6 | 29 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 30 | 7 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 32 | 30 | 8 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 35 | 33 | 10 | 22 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 33 | 8 | 24 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 36 | 31 | 7 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2022 |