BMIE Market 22079
Fairfax County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 35,284 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,225 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,618 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±623 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 32,059 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,245 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $148,134 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±153 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $637,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,951 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 28.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22079 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +13.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +156.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +215.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 43 (range 38–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 93 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22079. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 92.8 | 93 | 40% | +37.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74.2 | 74 | 35% | +26.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 56 | 56 | 25% | +14.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 93 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 35,284 | 92 | 40% | +36.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 148,134 | 96 | 40% | +38.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,618 | 88 | 20% | +17.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 13.9 | 57 | 35% | +20.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.6 | 66 | 25% | +16.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 35,284 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 148,134 | 96 | 20% | +19.2 |
Market Momentum Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 13.9 | 57 | 30% | +17.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 156.3 | 89 | 20% | +17.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (112)
By cuisine
American 17 · Asian 12 · Pizza 11 · Bakery 10 · Coffee 10 · Sandwiches 9 · Dessert 8 · Italian 8 · Middle Eastern 7 · Burgers 5 · Chicken / wings 4 · Chinese 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Mexican 4 · Vietnamese 4 · BBQ 3 · Indian 3 · Japanese 3 · Breakfast 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Halal / kosher 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Filipino 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Quick service 15 · Bakery 12 · Bar 12 · Dessert 11 · Café 8 · Casual dining 8 · Specialty food shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 5 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aeros Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9000 Lorton Station Blvd Unit j | open |
| ALAMO TEX MEX BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 7230 Lockport Pl | open |
| Antonelli's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 8212 Gunston Corner Ln | open |
| Antonio's Beltway Sliders | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 8538 Terminal Rd | open |
| APlus at Sunoco | Coffee shop | Coffee | 8915 Ox Rd | open |
| Aroma Pizza Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 7200 J Telegraph Square Dr | open |
| Ba-Sak Chicken | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 8532 Terminal Rd Y | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 9457 Lorton Market St | open |
| Belmont Bay Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 10804 Belmont Blvd | open | |
| BodyFit Nutrition | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Dessert | Frontier Kitchen, 8538 Terminal Road, Suite "L" | open |
| BodyFit Nutrition | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert | Bakery · Juice / smoothies | 8538 Terminal Rd | open |
| Brickmakers Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 9751 Ox Rd | open |
| Bunnyman Brewing Cafe - Lorton Bunnyman Brewing Chantilly | Brewery / taproom · Café · Bar | Coffee | 9514 Workhouse Wy | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8232 Gunston Corner Ln | open |
| Casa Tequila Casa Tequila Bar & Grill - Purcellville | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 9020 Lorton Station Blvd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 9447 Lorton Market St | open |
| Cody's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 10716 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 8170 Silverbrook Rd, Suite D | open |
| Denny's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8253 Backlick Rd Ste C | open | |
| Denny's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8253 Backlick Rd Ste c | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 7772 Gunston Plz | open |
| Dulce Dreams | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 8538 Terminal Rd Ste O | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 9425 Lorton Market St Unit 6 | open |
| Dunya Banquet Hall & Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 9441 Lorton Market St | open |
| El Carbonero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7230 Lockport Pl | open |
| Empanadas De Mendoza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8534A Terminal Rd | open | |
| Fair Winds Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 7000 Newington Rd Suites K & L | open | |
| Finzey's Porch of Indecision | Bar · Casual dining | 8490 Sullenberger Ct | open | |
| Fireside Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9000 Lorton Station Blvd | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8971 Ox Rd | open |
| Five Guys Enterprises Llc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10718 Richmond Hwy | open | |
| Flynn's Wood Fired Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Pizza | 8538 Terminal Rd | open |
| Fuse Box | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 8961 Ox Rd | open |
| G34.3 Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 8532 Terminal Rd | open | |
| Ginger Beef Chinese Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7200 Telegraph Square Dr Ste K | open |
| Glory Days Grill Glory Days Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 9459 Lorton Market St | open |
| Great Harvest Bread Co. | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 9000 Lorton Station Blvd | open |
| Gunston Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 7025 Newington Rd #100 | open |
| Gunston Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 8214 Gunston Corner Ln | open |
| Gyro Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek | 8222 Gunston Corner Ln | open |
| Hamilton Tiki Patio | Bar · Casual dining | American | 9603 Franklin Woods Pl | open |
| Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 9045 White Spruce Way | open |
| Hometown Grill and Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 9000 Lorton Station Blvd Ste N | open |
| Honeycakes Desserts | Dessert | Dessert | 8538 Terminal Rd Ste O | open |
| Hong Kong Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 9441 Lorton Market St | open |
| Hunan Deli Korean & Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Korean · Asian | 7200 Telegraph Square Dr | open |
| IHOP IHOP | Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 7784 Gunston Plz | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 8971 Ox Road Suite 190 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 9433 Lorton Market St | open |
| Kabob Station | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 8971 Ox Rd | open |
| Kamawi | Bakery | Bakery | 8532Q Terminal Rd | open |
| Kathmandu Street Food | Food truck | 8538 Terminal Rd | open | |
| Kona Ice Of Annandale And Burke | Dessert | 7000 Newington Rd Ste K | open | |
| Kung Fu Tea Lorton | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 9423 Lorton Market St | open |
| Kyoto Palace Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9443 Lorton Market St | open | |
| La Brasa Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7738 Gunston Plz | open |
| Lasani Kabob Restaurant (حلال) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian · Middle Eastern | 8998-B Lorton Station Blvd | open |
| Le Thai Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 7200 Telegraph Square Dr | open |
| Ledo Pizza Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9049 White Spruce Way | open |
| Ledo Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 8971 Ox Rd Unit 245 | open |
| Lotus Pho & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 8971 Ox Rd | open |
| Louie's New York Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · Middle Eastern · American | 7908 Kincannon Pl | open |
| Mazza Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 8352 Terminal Rd Ste B | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9398 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Mellow Beach | Bar | 5724 Mallow Trl | open | |
| Nash & Smashed Nash & Smashed | Quick service | Burgers · Halal / kosher | 7722 Gunston Plz | open |
| Naty's Tex-Mex Cuisine | Casual dining · Bar | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 8170 Silverbrook Rd | open |
| Naz's Halal Food - Lorton Naz's Halal Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern · Indian | 7720 Gunston Plz | open |
| Newington Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8532B Terminal Rd | open |
| Old Dominion Barbecue and Bacon Company, LLC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | Frontier Kitchen, 8538 Terminal Rd | open |
| Paisano's Pizza Paisano's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 9429 Lorton Market St | open |
| Pane e Vino | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 9020 Lorton Station Blvd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 9402 Lorton Market Street | open |
| Papa John's Papa John's | Quick service | 7756 Gunston Plaza Drive | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7756 Gunston Plz | open |
| Pardon My Cheesesteak | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7784 Gunston Plz | open |
| Peru Fiesta Restobar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Peruvian · Latin American (other) | 10716 Richmond Hwy | open |
| Pho Chateau | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 7718 Gunston Plz | open |
| Pho Cong Ly Noodle & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 8971 Ox Rd | open |
| Poke Bros. Poke Bros. Polaris | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 9453 Lorton Market St Ste 17 | open |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 8971 Ox Rd Suite 250 | open |
| Quiznos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8971 Ox Rd Ste 160 | open |
| Quiznos | Other | Sandwiches | 9433 Lorton Market St | open |
| RanaCafe | Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Bakery · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 7756 Gunston Plz | open |
| Rich Grain | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7218 Lockport Pl | open | |
| Rob's Cafe & Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast | 7908 Kincannon Pl | open |
| Sha's Soul Cafe | Catering | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 8538 Terminal Rd | open |
| Soul Rebel | Food truck | 8538 Terminal Rd Ste L | open | |
| Spatula Restaurant Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 9000 Lorton Station Blvd | open |
| Squisito Pizza and Pasta Squisito Too, Pizza, Pasta and MORE | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 8971 Ox Rd #245 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 8971 Ox Rd | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9000 Lorton Town Station Blvd., Suite R | open |
| Sushi Ohayo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7730 Gunston Plz | open |
| Sweet Cake L&T | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | open | |
| T-Zo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 8538 Terminal Rd | open |
| Taco Rock - Lorton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 9021 White Spruce Way | open | |
| Taste Of Beijing Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7734 Gunston Plz | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 7784 Gunston Plz | open | |
| Texas Donuts Texas Donuts Centreville | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 8224 Gunston Corner Ln | open |
| The Corner Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino | 8170 Silverbrook Road | open |
| Tiki Roberts Flip Flop Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 2013 Tiki Ave | open | |
| Tokyo One | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Steakhouse | 9443 Lorton Market St | open |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 9457 Lorton Market St | open |
| Uncle Ping's Street Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Chinese · Bakery · Asian | 8538 Terminal Rd Suite L | open |
| Unofficial: Vocelli Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9000 Lorton Station Blvd | open |
| Veronica's Bakery and Taqueria | Bakery | Bakery · Latin American (other) | 8218 Gunston Corner Ln | open |
| Vinny's Italian Grill & Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 7730 Gunston Plz | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 9402 Lorton Market St. | open |
| Woodbridge Moose Lodge | Bar | 9612 Fernedge Ln | open | |
| Yafa Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Middle Eastern | 9033 White Spruce Way | open |
| Alli's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 10716 Richmond Hwy | closed | |
| Doorstep Rasoi Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8538 Terminal Rd | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 19 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 19 | 4 | 14 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 22 | 21 | 5 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 30 | 28 | 5 | 17 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 40 | 39 | 10 | 26 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 42 | 41 | 10 | 28 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 43 | 42 | 11 | 28 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 37 | 36 | 12 | 21 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 36 | 35 | 11 | 22 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 36 | 36 | 11 | 22 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 38 | 36 | 11 | 22 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 38 | 35 | 10 | 23 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 42 | 42 | 16 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 36 | 36 | 13 | 21 | 2 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 36 | 36 | 11 | 22 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 41 | 14 | 24 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 39 | 37 | 11 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 38 | 12 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 42 | 40 | 14 | 23 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 49 | 44 | 17 | 25 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 45 | 41 | 15 | 25 | — | — | NAICS2022 |