BMIE Market 22205

Arlington County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,738 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,225 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,765 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±453 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,087 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,628 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$201,094 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,998 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,911 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±240 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,092,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±30,314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22205
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-7.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 12–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	27 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22205. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.1	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.4	63	35%	+22.2
Market Momentum Score	26.8	27	25%	+6.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,738	79	40%	+31.8
Median household income (ACS)	201,094	99	40%	+39.6
Households (ACS)	6,765	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-7.1	20	35%	+6.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.3	83	25%	+20.8
Population (ACS)	17,738	79	20%	+15.9
Median household income (ACS)	201,094	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 27 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-7.1	21	50%	+10.5
10-year restaurant growth	-7.1	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	30	52	20%	+10.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (23)

By cuisine

Dessert 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Mediterranean 3 · Asian 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Thai 2 · Halal / kosher 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Casual dining 4 · Dessert 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Dip Me Baby Co (Arlington, VA)	Dessert · Bakery	Dessert · Bakery	6017 Wilson Blvd	open
Dominion Hills Grocery & Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6035 Wilson Blvd	open
Grand Hunan Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5845 Washington Blvd	open
Hunan BBQ Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6017 Wilson Blvd	open
King Of Koshary	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	5515 Wilson Blvd	open
La Union Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5517 Wilson Blvd	open
Layalina Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	5216 Wilson Blvd	open
Lebanese Taverna Restaurant Inc Lebanese Taverna Restaurant Group	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean	5900 Washington Blvd	open
Lost Dog Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bar	Coffee	5876 Washington Blvd	open
Meridian Pint	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	6035 Wilson Blvd	open
MOLTN Cookies MOLTN Cookies	Bakery · Dessert · Delivery-focused	Bakery · Dessert	6017 Wilson Blvd	open
Moroccan cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Halal / kosher	5100 Wilson Blvd	open
Pizza Boli's Pizza Boli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6033 Wilson Blvd	open
Pupatella PUPATELLA	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · American	5104 Wilson Blvd	open
Silver Diner, Springfield, VA Silver Diner Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American		open
Stray Cat Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5866 Washington Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1701 N George Mason Drive, Food Court, Zone C, 1st Floor	open
Thai Noy Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	5880 Washington Blvd	open
Toby's Homemade Ice Cream	Dessert · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee	5849 A Washington Blvd	open
Village Sweet	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5872 Washington Blvd	open
Warf- Washington DC	Restaurant (service type not stated)		I-66	open
Westover Market Beer Garden	Bar		5863 Washington Blvd	open
Westover Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5849 Washington Blvd B	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	10	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	10	9	7	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	6	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	14	12	7	2	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	12	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	8	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	11	7	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	15	10	7	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	18	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	19	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	20	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	21	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	17	13	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	14	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	15	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	14	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	13	7	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	19	14	6	5	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	18	13	5	5	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 22205. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
22203	1.4 mi	89	2023
22213	1.5 mi	6	2023
22044	1.7 mi	68	2023
22207	1.8 mi	52	2023
22046	2.2 mi	75	2023
22041	2.4 mi	79	2023
22201	2.4 mi	120	2023
22204	2.7 mi	61	2023
22042	3.2 mi	84	2023
22043	3.4 mi	15	2023
22211	3.5 mi	1	2016
22311	3.5 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.