BMIE Market 22213

Arlington County, Virginia · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,021 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±709 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,680 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±311 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,936 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,231 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$199,306 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51,177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,064,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54,507 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 22213
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	9 (range 8–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.82) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 22213. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.82, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Virginia and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 591, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.0	74	40%	+29.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.5	78	35%	+27.5
Market Momentum Score	86.4	86	25%	+21.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,021	57	40%	+22.8
Median household income (ACS)	199,306	99	40%	+39.6
Households (ACS)	1,680	58	20%	+11.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	35%	+34.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.9	53	25%	+13.3
Population (ACS)	4,021	57	20%	+11.4
Median household income (ACS)	199,306	99	20%	+19.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	30%	+29.2
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (11)

By cuisine

Coffee 2 · French 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Chasin' Tails	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2200 N Westmoreland St	open
Dang Seafood Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2200 N Westmoreland St Ste 103	open
Deli Italiano Deli Italiano	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	6505 29th St N	open
Gozukaya Entertainment Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2201 N Westmoreland St	open
La Cote D'Or Cafe	Café	French · European · Coffee	6876 Langston Blvd.	open
Lucky cat coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2121 N Westmoreland St	open
South Block South Block	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2121 N Westmoreland St	open
The Bistro des Célestins	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	6876 Lee Hwy	open
The Virginia Distillery Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		6100 35th St N	open
Yayla Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek	2201 N Westmoreland St	open
Yume Sushi Yume sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2121 N Westmoreland St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	3	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	3	1	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	6	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 22213. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
22046	1.2 mi	75	2023
22205	1.5 mi	13	2023
22043	1.9 mi	15	2023
22207	2.2 mi	52	2023
22044	2.3 mi	68	2023
22042	2.7 mi	84	2023
22203	2.9 mi	89	2023
22101	3.2 mi	55	2023
22027	3.3 mi	1	2016
22041	3.3 mi	79	2023
22201	3.7 mi	120	2023
22204	4.1 mi	61	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.