BMIE Market 27856

Nash County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,081 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,077 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,447 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±540 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,141 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,917 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,510 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,043 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$883 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±116 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$194,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	127.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 27856
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+81.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+222.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	54 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 27856. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.7	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.6	43	35%	+14.9
Market Momentum Score	53.7	54	25%	+13.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,081	79	40%	+31.5
Median household income (ACS)	66,510	41	40%	+16.6
Households (ACS)	6,447	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.5	20	35%	+7.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.0	46	25%	+11.5
Population (ACS)	17,081	79	20%	+15.7
Median household income (ACS)	66,510	41	20%	+8.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.4	64	50%	+32.2
10-year restaurant growth	-6.5	20	30%	+6.1
20-year restaurant growth	81.3	77	20%	+15.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

American 14 · Burgers 8 · Pizza 7 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Mexican 5 · BBQ 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Seafood 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 14 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Bar 2 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Amp’s Rib Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4140 W Castalia Rd	open
Bakers Brew Wagon LLC	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	8433 Red Oak Blvd	open
Bojangles' Bojangles	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	101 W Nashville Dr	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	104 Evans Dr	open
Butterfield’s Candies	Dessert	Dessert	2155 S Old Franklin Rd	open
Cackalacky	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Charcoal's Pit Beef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	4826 Red Oak Rd	open
Church Street Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	121 W Church St	open
Cook Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	102 Evans Dr	open
Crossroads Cafe	Café	Coffee	131 W Hillardston Rd	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	242 N Eastpointe Rd	open
Dos Hermanos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American · Latin American (other)	323 W Washington St	open
Doug Sauls BBQ and Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	813 Western Ave	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	102 W Nashville Dr	open
Freddy’s Taco’s	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	5902 NC-58	open
Great Wall Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	141 Nashville Commons Dr	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	Burgers · American	361 W Washington St	open
Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries Hwy 55 Burgers Shakes & Fries	Casual dining · Quick service	Burgers · American	137 Nashville Commons Dr	open
Iceland Nutrition Club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	106 Barnes St	open
It's a Vibe Nutrition	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	915 Eastern Ave	open
Italian Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	477 W Washington St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	100 West Nashville Dr	open
Lam's Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	725 E Washington St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	739 E Washington St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	501 W Washington St	open
Mucho Mexico Sizzlin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	912 Eastern Ave	open
Nashville Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	309 W Curtis St	open
Nashville Exchange	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	229 W Washington St	open
Nashville Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	723 S Barnes St	open
One of Deez Days Steamhouse	Bar	Seafood · American	235 Main St	open
Packhouse Coffee Company Packhouse Coffee Company	Coffee shop	Coffee	723 Barnes St	open
Pelican's SnoBalls of Nashville NC	Dessert · Food truck	Dessert	112 Barnes St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	106 W Nashville Dr	open
Ranosh PIZZA & SUB Slice of Italy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian	308 W Washington St	open
Red Oak Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10417 Red Oak Blvd	open
Ribeyes Steakhouse Nashville Ribeyes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	104 W Nashville Dr	open
Sal's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	308 W Washington St	open
Sawmill Pizza Co	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	723 S Barnes St Unit A	open
Smithfield's Chicken 'N Bar-B-Q Smithfield's Chicken 'N Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Chicken / wings · American	1169 Eastern Ave	open
strawberry city	Dessert	Dessert	5384 S NC Highway 58	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	104-B W Nashville Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2001 Eastern Ave	open
Sunset Slush Sunset Slush of Middle Georgia	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	922 Eastern Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	475 W Washington St	open
Taqueria La Lupita Taquería La Lupita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4883 S North Carolina Hwy 58	open
Taste & See Trini Food	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1005 Birchwood Village Ct	open
Tortillas San-Antonios	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4981 Old Bailey Hwy	open
Waffle House Waffle House	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	314 W Washington St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1205 Eastern Ave	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1200 Eastern Avenue	open
Wilsonjeff Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 W Nashville Dr	open
Yes Dear, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		137 Nashville Commons Dr	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	101 East Evans Dr	open
Blimpie	Other	Sandwiches	721 E Washington St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	7	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	16	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	18	15	6	8	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	16	14	4	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	18	15	3	11	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	19	16	2	14	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	23	21	7	14	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	21	18	6	12	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	24	20	7	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	25	9	15	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	26	23	8	14	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	28	26	9	16	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	30	27	10	16	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	30	28	11	16	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	30	27	11	15	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	34	31	14	16	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	32	30	13	16	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	30	28	13	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	13	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	28	26	10	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	27	10	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	32	30	12	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	27	11	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	27	10	16	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	27	11	15	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	29	11	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 27856. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.