BMIE Market 28467

Brunswick County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,313 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±721 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,917 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±437 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,703 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,519 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,341 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,643 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	65.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,511 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±191 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$308,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,158 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	17.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28467
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	31.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+4.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-11.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 16–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.18) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28467. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.18, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68	68	40%	+27.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	42.9	43	35%	+15.0
Market Momentum Score	41.2	41	25%	+10.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,313	75	40%	+29.9
Median household income (ACS)	75,341	56	40%	+22.3
Households (ACS)	6,917	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	35%	+6.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.0	43	25%	+10.7
Population (ACS)	13,313	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	75,341	56	20%	+11.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	4.4	61	50%	+30.4
10-year restaurant growth	-11.1	18	30%	+5.3
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (59)

By cuisine

American 13 · Seafood 13 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Breakfast 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Asian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Quick service 8 · Bar 7 · Dessert 7 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 5 · Specialty food shop 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aled Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10068 Beach Dr SW	open
Backporch Ice Cream Shoppe	Coffee shop · Dessert · Café	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	Beach Road	open
Beck's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1014 River Rd	open
Bella's Pizza and Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10136 Beach Dr SW	open
Bennett's Grill and Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	10009 Beach Dr SW	open
Blondiez Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1159 River Rd	open
Calabash Coffee Maker	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1277 Thomasboro Rd SW	open
Calabash Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9910 Beach Dr SW	open
Calabash Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	9929 Beach Dr SW	open
Calabash Garden Tea Room & Gift Shop	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	10152 Beach Dr SW	open
Calabash Garden Tea Room LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Tea / bubble tea · Bakery	10152 Beach Dr SW	open
Calabash Gourmet And Sushi Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	10101 Beach Dr SW	open
Calabash Seafood Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9945 Nance St	open
Calabash Seafood Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	1125 River Rd	open
Calabash Sweets & Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	9936 Beach Dr SW	open
Calabash Tavern & Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	10068 Beach Dr SW	open
Captain John's Seafood House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Steakhouse · Healthy / salads / bowls · Seafood · American	9887 Oak St	open
Captain Nance's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	9939 Nance St	open
Carbo's	Bar		10138 Beach Dr SW	open
Carmine’s Italian Deli and Pizzeria	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza	5990 Beach Drive SW	open
Christopher's Pizza	Delivery-focused	Pizza · Italian	9869 Ocean Hwy W	open
Coastal Craft Beverage Company	Brewery / taproom · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		10080 Beach Dr SW	open
Coffee Cottage	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10152 Beach Dr SW	open
Crow Creek	Restaurant (service type not stated)		240 Hickman Rd NW	open
Crow Creek Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	490 S Crow Creek Dr NW	open
Da Vinci Foods Retail Outlet	Dessert	Dessert	271 Calabash Rd NW	open
Derbster's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Highway 179	open
Dockside Seafood House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9955 Nance St	open
Dukes Shrimp	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1090 Hickman Rd NW	open
Ella's Of Calabash	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1148 River Rd	open
Erics Place Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Bakery	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	9869 Ocean Hwy W	open
Fit Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	10140 Beach Dr Sw Ste 9	open
Grand Strand Coffee Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	9869 Ocean Hwy W	open
Gravy Southern Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1165 Carlyle St SW	open
High Tides	Bar		Pop Up	open
Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9011 Beach Dr SW	open
Mama's Place	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10207 Beach Dr SW	open
Milk & Honey	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	9941 Beach Dr SW	open
MMM Que Rico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Peruvian	1533 Thomasboro Rd SW	open
Moka Cafe	Café	Coffee	1542 Hickman Rd NW	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9869 Ocean Hwy W #13	open
SBG	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10136 Beach Dr SW	open
SCW Marker 1	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		9869 Ocean Hwy W	open
Steve's Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Quick service · Bar		363 Boundaryline Dr NW	open
Sub-17	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10140 Beach Dr SW	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9869-08 Ocean Hwy W	open
Sunny Side Up Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	10068 Beach Dr SW	open
Sunrise Pancake House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American · Breakfast	10008 Beach Dr SW	open
The Boundary House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	1045 River Rd	open
The Cod Father	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	10000 Beach Dr SW	open
The Grapevine Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Seafood	9991 Beach Dr SW	open
The Hot Dog Works	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	10207 Beach Dr SW	open
The Original Famous Bagel Dock Cafe	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	1162 River Rd	open
The Oyster Rock Waterfront Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	9931 Nance St	open
The Salty Sailor Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1371 Thomasboro Rd SW	open
Tony's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1150 River Rd	open
Unique Pairings	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		10164 Beach Dr SW	open
Voyager Fishing Fleet	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9931 Nance St	open
Waterfront Seafood Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	9945 Nance St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	20	20	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	20	20	17	—	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	18	18	15	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	18	17	12	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	20	20	17	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	20	18	15	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	26	24	19	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	26	26	19	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	28	28	21	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	26	26	20	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	30	30	21	6	3	—	NAICS2002
2008	29	29	21	6	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	32	32	22	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	27	27	19	5	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	29	29	19	5	5	—	NAICS2007
2012	27	27	19	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	27	19	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	29	29	20	5	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	22	22	14	4	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	24	24	14	6	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	22	12	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	23	23	12	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	22	12	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	20	20	12	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	23	13	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	25	25	16	6	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	24	14	7	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28467. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
29566	4.4 mi	36	2023
28468	4.4 mi	11	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.