BMIE Market 28468

Brunswick County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,154 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±527 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,642 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,375 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,741 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,358 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,545 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	68.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$412,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,493 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	19.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28468
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	22.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	52 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28468. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.9	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.2	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	39.3	39	25%	+9.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,154	61	40%	+24.4
Median household income (ACS)	83,358	66	40%	+26.4
Households (ACS)	2,642	65	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.3	34	25%	+8.5
Population (ACS)	5,154	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	83,358	66	20%	+13.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	10	40	20%	+7.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (34)

By cuisine

American 10 · Seafood 5 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Peruvian 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 10 · Dessert 3 · Quick service 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aromas of Peru in Sunset Beach NC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	1780 Chandlers Ln	open
BB&C Bar & Patio	Casual dining · Bar		7300 Balmore Dr SW	open
Brassies Pub	Bar · Casual dining		210 Clubhouse Rd	open
Brew32	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom	American	310 Sunset Blvd N	open
Bridge Grill Pizza & Golf	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	305 Sunset Blvd N	open
Candy Island	Dessert		426 Sunset Blvd S	open
Central Mamma’s Restaurant & Mexican Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1021 Beach Dr	open
Coastal Grounds	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	424 Sunset Blvd S	open
Crabby Oddwaters Restaurant & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	310 Sunset Blvd N	open
East Coast Kitchens	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Chinese	8311 Ocean Hwy W	open
Fibber McGees	Bar	British / Irish pub food	1780 Queen Anne Unit 1	open
Host & Graze	Café	Coffee	7645 High Market St Unit 5	open
House's Patio Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	310B Sunset Blvd N	open
House's Place At The Beach	Restaurant (service type not stated)		200 Royal Poste Rd	open
How Sweet It Is	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	101 Shoreline Dr W	open
Inlet View Shallotte Point, NC Inlet View BAR & GRILL AT HUGHES MARINA	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35th St	open
La Cucina \| Italian	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	1780 Chandlers Ln #11	open
Las Palmeras Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1780 Chandlers Ln #4	open
Los Nuevos Charros Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1021 Beach Dr SW	open
Magnolia's Fine Food & Spirits Menu	Bar		75A Clubhouse Rd	open
Mavericks Java	Coffee shop	Coffee	303 Sunset Blvd N	open
Mavericks Pointe	Casual dining · Bar	American · Seafood	307 Sunset Blvd N	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7105 Ocean Hwy Sw	open
Oak & Palm Sunset Beach	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	102 Sunset Blvd N	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	7495 High Market St Suite #5	open
Rustic Reel Bar & Grill LLC	Casual dining · Bar	Seafood · American	310 Sunset Blvd N Unit B	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1773 Clippers Way SW	open
Sunset Beach Bliss	Bar		879 Great Egret Cir SW	open
Sunset Bistro & Sports Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		200 Royal Poste Rd	open
Sunset Prime	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining	American	75 Clubhouse Rd	open
Sunset Slush Classic Italian Ice - Sandcastles Sweets & Treats - SB	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	426 Sunset Blvd S	open
The Boat Landing Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 Sunset Blvd N	open
The Swing Bridge Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	430 S Sunset Blvd	open
Twin Lakes By The Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	102 Sunset Blvd N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	7	7	5	1	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	9	9	6	—	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	8	8	6	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	7	7	4	1	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	10	10	8	—	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	8	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	11	9	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	12	10	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	10	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	7	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	14	13	9	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	10	6	3	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	12	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	11	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	11	11	6	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	12	12	7	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	13	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	13	13	9	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	12	12	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28468. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28469	3.5 mi	27	2023
28467	4.4 mi	24	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.