BMIE Market 28469

Brunswick County, North Carolina · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,404 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±885 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±338 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,839 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,411 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$90,684 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,138 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	61.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$950 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±366 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$463,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,718 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	25.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 28469
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	37.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+350.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 28–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.43) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 28469. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.43, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. North Carolina and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 688, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.7	73	40%	+29.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	52.4	52	35%	+18.4
Market Momentum Score	51.0	51	25%	+12.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,404	71	40%	+28.6
Median household income (ACS)	90,684	74	40%	+29.5
Households (ACS)	4,719	73	20%	+14.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.9	49	35%	+17.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	26.0	25	25%	+6.3
Population (ACS)	10,404	71	20%	+14.3
Median household income (ACS)	90,684	74	20%	+14.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	3.9	49	30%	+14.7
20-year restaurant growth	80	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (76)

By cuisine

American 18 · Bakery 8 · Coffee 8 · Dessert 8 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 7 · Seafood 7 · Italian 6 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 4 · Japanese 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Sushi 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 38 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 13 · Dessert 12 · Bakery 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Quick service 6 · Specialty food shop 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
59 Causeway Drive Bagels and Coffee	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	59 Causeway Dr B	open
Amelia's Bar & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1564 Mkt Pl Blvd #700	open
Anchored Cafe & Deli	Café · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Coffee shop	Coffee · Sandwiches	7290 Beach Dr SW Unit 17	open
Antonio's Deli, Pizza and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5990 Beach Dr. SW	open
Atlantic Trade Group, Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20 E Second St	open
B&S Bistro II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	29 Fairmont St	open
Barts BBQ.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5850 Ocean Hwy W	open
Beach Easy	Bar		257 E 2nd St	open
Beach Life Sweets & Ice Cream Ocean Isle	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	109 Causeway Dr	open
Beaches Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	6551 Beach Dr SW	open
Beachside Bakeshop	Bakery	Bakery	6818 Beach Dr SW	open
Ben & Bean Bakery and Café	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	925 Seaside Rd SW #9	open
Big Nell's Pit Stop	Casual dining	American	6828 Beach Dr SW	open
Bones and Cones OIB	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	Sunset Commons Shopping Center, 925 Seaside Rd SW	open
Breakers Pizza Grill & Arcades	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12 E First St	open
Cakes by Care	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7210 Beach Dr SW	open
Castaway Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	112 Causeway Dr	open
Causeway Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	100 Causeway Dr #7	open
China King China King	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	925 Seaside Rd SW	open
Chubby Buddha Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		5990 Beach Dr SW	open
Coastal Wine and Tap	Bar	Spanish / tapas	20B E 2nd St	open
Cozy Oven Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7205 Beach Dr SW	open
D'Amici Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6931 Beach Dr SW	open
Drift Coffee Shop & Kitchen Drift Coffee Shop + Kitchen	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	20 E Second St	open
Durham Sub Shops, Inc.	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	113 Causeway Dr	open
Feast OIB	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	125 Causeway Dr	open
Giggling Mackerel Seafood Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	65 Causeway Dr	open
Hardee's Hardee's	Quick service	American · Burgers	1651 Seaside Road Sw	open
Island Seafood Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6778 Beach Dr SW	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	6278 Beach Drive SW Suite 9	open
Jinks Creek Waterfront Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	14 Causeway Dr	open
Joey O's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	6931 Beach Dr SW	open
Joey O's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1671 Seaside Rd SW	open
Le Volte Oceanfront Dining & Venue	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American · Seafood	417 W 2nd St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	118 Causeway Dr	open
Lombardi’s Fine Desserts	Bakery	Bakery	125 Causeway Dr	open
Makai Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5850 Ocean Hwy W	open
Marias Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	120 Causeway Dr Unit 7	open
MAYA Fine Food and Tequilas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1564 Mkt Pl Blvd #1000	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service		6030 Kilbart Xing	open
Michael's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6931 Beach Dr SW, 6931 Beach Dr SW	open
No Name Lounge	Bar		Causeway Drive	open
Ocean Isle Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8 Causeway Dr	open
Ocean Isle Fish Company	Bar	Seafood · Sushi · Japanese	65 Causeway Dr	open
OIB Surf and Java	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	6278 Beach Dr SW Ste 5	open
Paradise Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1882 Goose Creek Rd SW	open
Pelican’s Perch Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		8 E Second St	open
Pete's Sweets	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	113 Causeway Dr	open
Roberto's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Seafood · Pizza	6737 Beach Dr SW	open
Roberto's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6737 Beach Dr SW	open
Sand Dollars Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1 Causeway Dr	open
Sarah's Kitchen Sarah's Kitchen	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1671 Seaside Rd SW	open
Seabreeze Bar & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1882 Goose Creek Rd SW	open
Shaka-Laka Bowls of OIB	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Fast casual	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	11 Causeway Dr	open
Sharkys Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	61 Causeway Dr	open
Silver Coast Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6680 Barbeque Rd NW	open
Something Sweet	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	113 Causeway Dr	open
Spilt Milk	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	120 Causeway Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	925 Seaside Rd SW	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	113 Causeway Dr	open
Sugar Shack Jamaican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	1609 Hale Beach Rd SW	open
Sunset Slush	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	6 Causeway Dr	open
Sunset Slush - Classic Italian Ice Sunset Slush of Middle Georgia	Dessert	Dessert	6848 Beach Dr SW	open
SweetcakesTbc	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7026 Beach Dr SW #3	open
Talk of the Town	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	925 Seaside Rd SW	open
Tap Time	Bar		1564 Mkt Pl Blvd #900	open
The Brew House	Café · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	7207 Beach Dr SW	open
The Dawg House Diner and Grill OIB	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Breakfast · American	6415 Beach Dr SW	open
The Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6777 Beach Dr SW	open
The View At Brick Landing Plantation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1882 Goose Creek Rd SW	open
Tomo Hibachi Japanese Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	120 Causeway Dr	open
Vaught's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	6995 Beach Dr SW	open
Waterway Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		1882 Goose Creek Rd SW Unit 1	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1560 Mkt Pl Blvd	open
2 Ladies And A Scoop Plus More	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7290 Beach Dr Sw # Unit7	closed
Charlie Graingers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	59 A Causeway Dr	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	15	11	4	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	14	14	11	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	14	13	10	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	12	11	9	2	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	13	13	11	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	16	15	10	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	15	13	9	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	18	16	9	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	21	13	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	20	11	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	13	8	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	25	23	12	8	3	1	NAICS2007
2010	24	22	12	7	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	26	25	13	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2012	24	23	12	6	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	27	26	15	7	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	25	24	11	7	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	26	11	9	6	1	NAICS2012
2016	29	25	9	12	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	28	26	9	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	27	11	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	30	27	12	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	30	13	10	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	32	30	12	10	8	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	27	12	10	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	27	12	10	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 28469. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
28468	3.5 mi	11	2023
28470	5.0 mi	45	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.