BMIE Market 32826

Orange County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,006 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,719 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,001 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,347 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,613 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$64,755 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,776 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	26.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,564 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$254,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,310 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	56 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 32826
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+86.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+143.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+366.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	71 (range 66–76) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.6 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	84 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 32826. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	67.8	68	40%	+27.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.4	66	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	83.8	84	25%	+21.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,006	88	40%	+35.3
Median household income (ACS)	64,755	38	40%	+15.4
Households (ACS)	10,056	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	86.7	90	35%	+31.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.3	39	25%	+9.8
Population (ACS)	29,006	88	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	64,755	38	20%	+7.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.7	79	50%	+39.3
10-year restaurant growth	86.7	90	30%	+26.9
20-year restaurant growth	143.5	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (109)

By cuisine

Asian 15 · Coffee 13 · Pizza 12 · Burgers 10 · American 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Chicken / wings 6 · Italian 6 · Japanese 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Chinese 5 · Mexican 5 · Sushi 5 · Caribbean 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cuban 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Indian 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 74 · Quick service 19 · Café 10 · Bar 9 · Coffee shop 8 · Dessert 5 · Other 5 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
7 Brew Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	12199 East Colonial Drive	open
Amore Pizzeria and Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	13212 E Colonial Dr	open
Aramark	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12150 Research Pkwy	open
Aurora	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American · European	4105 N Alafaya Trail	open
Aussie Grill Waterford Lakes	Quick service		12305 E Colonial Dr	open
Baguette Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	12286 E Colonial Dr Ste 100	open
Biagios Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12231 E Colonial Dr Ste 220	open
Black & Gold Bar & Gri	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1724 Alafaya Trl N	open
Blaze Pizza Blaze Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4100 N Alafaya Trail #113	open
Bounce House Social Eats	Bar · Casual dining		12100 Challenger Pkwy	open
Broadway Ristorante & Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12014 E Colonial Dr	open
Bubbalou's Bodacious Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	12100 Challenger Pkwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	11834 E Colonial Dr	open
BurgerFi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · Hot dogs	4100 N Alafaya Trail Ste 125	open
Cafe Murano at Veranda Park	Café	Italian · Coffee	7001 W Pointe Dr	open
Cedar Halal Food and Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern	12100 E Colonial Dr	open
Cheba Hut "Toasted" Subs Cheba Hut "Toasted" Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches	12100 E Colonial Dr	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11816 E Colonial Dr	open
Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen Cheddar's Scratch Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	12201 E Colonial Dr	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service		14266 E Colonial Dr	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12181 E. Colonial Dr.	open
China Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	12231 E Colonial Dr #210	open
Chop5 Salad Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	4498 N Alafaya Trl	open
Colonial Foods 3 Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14813 E Colonial Dr	open
Culver's Culver's	Quick service	Burgers · American	13320 East Colonial Dr.	open
Cytriana Greek Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12309 E Colonial Dr	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	14532 E Colonial Dr	open
Dunfee's Bite Me Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1815 Palmetto Pine Ln	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	14813 East Colonial Dr	open
Dustin's Bar-B-Q Dustin's Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	14516 E Colonial Dr	open
Empanadas 21	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Latin American (other)	12350 E Colonial Dr	open
Estilo Casero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	14200 E Colonial Dr	open
Fable Coffee & Pastries	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	11909 E Colonial Dr	open
Flippers Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Sandwiches	4498 N Alafaya Trl	open
France-Ella's Caribbean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	13150 E Colonial Dr	open
Frozen Nitrogen	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4498 N Alafaya Trl Ste 330	open
Fuzzy's Taco Shop Fuzzy's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	12241 E Colonial Dr	open
Goodfella's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11873 E Colonial Dr	open
Gotcha Seafood LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Seafood · Bakery	14266 E Colonial Dr	open
Gss 01 Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11915 E Colonial Dr	open
Haraz Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	1737 N Alafaya Trail	open
His Jamaican Pot Her American Dish	Food truck		12914 E Colonial Dr	open
Island Wing Company - Ucf	Casual dining · Bar		4100 N Alafaya Trl Ste 107	open
It's Just Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12181 E. Colonial Dr.	open
Jet's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12231 E Colonial Dr	open
Jollibee Jollibee	Quick service	Filipino · Burgers	11891 E Colonial Dr	open
Junior Colombian Burger Junior Colombian Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Latin American (other)	11875 E Colonial Dr	open
JuniorÂ’s Pizza Plus	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13212 E Colonial Dr	open
Kreyol Kafe & Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	12014 E Colonial Dr Ste 120	open
Kyoto Avalon Kyoto Sushi & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	14807 E Colonial Dr	open
La Granja Central Florida	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian	4650 N Alafaya Trail Ste 101	open
Lan’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	13100 E Colonial Dr	open
Latin Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs · Latin American (other)	1725 N Alafaya Trl	open
Lenny's Sub Shop	Other	Sandwiches	12014 E Colonial Dr	open
Luminescent	Bar · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	12286 E Colonial Dr	open
Luya Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4498 N Alafaya Trail #276	open
Macs & Stacks - Ucf	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	4100 N Alafaya Trl	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	12301 E Colonial Dr	open
Moes Southwest Grill Moe's Southwest Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	4498 Alafaya Trl N	open
Nasry's Pizza & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13212 E Colonial Dr	open
New Shanghai Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	13212 E Colonial Dr	open
Nomi Sushi & Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	12189 E Colonial Dr	open
Noodles and Rice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian		open
Old Cuban Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean	12014 E Colonial Dr	open
Olive Garden Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	11882 E Colonial Dr	open
One Way Coffee	Coffee shop · Delivery-focused · Café	Coffee	1802 N Alafaya Trl	open
Orlando, FL - Alafaya Trail Blaze Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4100 N. Alafaya Trail, Suite 113	open
Orlando-UCF Whataburger	Quick service		12305 East Colonial Drive	open
Pdq Orlando: Waterford/ucf	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12195 E Colonial Dr	open
Phresh Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3267 Progress Dr	open
Piesanos Piesanos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	12231 E Colonial Dr	open
Pizza Hut Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11893 E Colonial Dr	open
Pizza Yolo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	13212 E Colonial Dr	open
Playa Bowls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	4650 N Alafaya Trail Ste 104	open
Pollo Campero Pollo Campero USA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Latin American (other)	13665 E Colonial Dr	open
Pollo Tropical Pollo Tropical	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	11860 E Colonial Dr	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	12001 East Colonial Road	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	4498 N Alafaya Trl Ste 330	open
Rice Noodles and Ramen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Japanese	11905 E Colonial Dr	open
Siam Garden Thai Sushi & Grill 11903 E.Colonial Dr.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	11903 E Colonial Dr	open
Sno Tea Caffe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · Chinese	4498 Alafaya Trl N	open
Spice Indian Grill Orlando	Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4498 N Alafaya Trail Video Viewing	open
Spice Indian Grill Orlando	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	4498 North Alafaya Trail	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4650 N Alafaya Trl	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13627 E Colonial Dr	open
Steak 'n Shake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	12035 E Colonial Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3912 N Alafaya Trl	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	13212 East Colonial Dr Suite 119	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	4650 N Alafaya Trl Ste 106	open
Sus Hi Eatstation Sus Hi Eatstation	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4498 Alafaya Trl N	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	11893 E Colonial Dr	open
Tamarind Indian Cuisine Ii Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12309 E Colonial Dr	open
Tan-Cha	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	11913 E Colonial Dr	open
Teriyaki Experience	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4498 N Alafaya Trl Ste 324	open
Thai Lantern Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11903 E Colonial Dr	open
The Knight’s Pub	Bar		3910 N Alafaya Trl	open
The Mad Hatter	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4498 N Alafaya Trl, Ste 248	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11915 E Colonial Dr	open
TheFlamin'Boss	Quick service	Burgers · Sandwiches	4650 N Alafaya Trl	open
Thinh An Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12286 E Colonial Dr	open
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	12201 Research Pkwy	open
Twistee Treat UCF Twistee Treat USA	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	11933 E Colonial Dr	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	14801 E Colonial Dr	open
Wild Bean Cafe	Café	Coffee	12914 E Colonial Dr	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	12014 East Colonial Drive	open
Yucca Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	14266 E Colonial Dr	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	12231 E Colonial Dr	open
Macs & Stacks - Plaza On University	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4100 N Alafaya Trl Ste 167	closed
The Flying Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	13212 E Colonial Dr Ste C1c	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	17	16	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	22	19	9	9	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	23	19	11	8	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	26	22	12	10	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	28	23	14	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	27	24	13	11	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	26	23	12	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	31	26	13	13	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	32	25	13	12	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	35	29	15	14	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	43	36	16	19	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	41	36	17	18	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	48	41	18	22	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	46	40	17	21	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	38	34	11	21	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	43	35	14	20	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	36	30	13	16	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	41	35	12	23	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	37	34	13	20	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	51	45	14	29	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	48	44	15	27	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	50	46	16	27	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	53	48	19	26	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	60	54	21	29	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	58	53	18	29	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	59	55	20	29	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	61	56	20	30	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 32826. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
32816	1.5 mi	8	2023
32820	3.0 mi	14	2023
32817	3.4 mi	96	2023
32828	3.6 mi	135	2023
32825	4.4 mi	29	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.