BMIE Market 34609

Hernando County, Florida · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	47,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,058 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	17,593 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	37,129 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,255 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$79,442 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,368 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,791 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±110 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$317,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,083 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	22.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	57 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 34609
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+54.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+137.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+159.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	68 (range 62–73) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +2.0 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 34609. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +2.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Florida and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 918, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.3	82	40%	+32.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.4	77	35%	+27.1
Market Momentum Score	81.2	81	25%	+20.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	47,257	96	40%	+38.5
Median household income (ACS)	79,442	61	40%	+24.6
Households (ACS)	17,593	96	20%	+19.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	54.1	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.1
Population (ACS)	47,257	96	20%	+19.3
Median household income (ACS)	79,442	61	20%	+12.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.8	76	50%	+38.2
10-year restaurant growth	54.1	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	137.5	88	20%	+17.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (128)

By cuisine

American 18 · Pizza 15 · Sandwiches 12 · Asian 11 · Coffee 11 · Italian 10 · Chinese 8 · Japanese 8 · Dessert 7 · Juice / smoothies 7 · Mexican 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Sushi 6 · Burgers 5 · Healthy / salads / bowls 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Breakfast 3 · Caribbean 3 · Hawaiian / Pacific 3 · Spanish / tapas 3 · Cuban 2 · Seafood 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · BBQ 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Greek 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 82 · Quick service 23 · Bar 14 · Dessert 10 · Food truck 10 · Casual dining 9 · Coffee shop 9 · Bakery 8 · Juice, smoothie, tea 8 · Café 6 · Other 4 · Delivery-focused 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
1000 Degrees Neapolitan Pizzeria 1000 Degrees Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11194 Spring Hill Dr	open
787 House Of Sugar	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	2113 Mariner Blvd	open
808 Island Treats	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	138 Mariner Blvd	open
Alpha Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Pizza	4196 Mariner Blvd	open
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Bar	American · Burgers	10601 County Line Road Seven Hills Medical and Professional Center	open
Bar Obscurite	Bar		2268 Arrow Ave	open
Beef O' Brady's Beef 'O' Brady's Fern Creek	Bar · Casual dining	American	14387 Spring Hill Dr Suite 400	open
Belleria Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	13481 County Line Rd	open
Breakfast Club of Seven Hills	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	148 Mariner Blvd	open
BTS Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		13017 Spencer Ct	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3100 Anderson Snow Rd	open
C's Paninis & Spirits	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		12570 Spring Hill Dr	open
Caffe Connection	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Chinese	4196 Mariner Blvd	open
Cali Street Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11175 Spring Hill Dr	open
Captain D's Captain D's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	2096 Mariner Blvd	open
Cat'z Dawgz N' Caterin'	Food truck		1026 Godfrey Ave	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · American	4200 Mariner Blvd	open
Charleys Philly Steaks Charleys Philly Steaks	Quick service	Sandwiches	4200 Mariner Blvd	open
Checkers Checkers and Rally's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2137 Mariner Blvd. Spring Hill, FL	open
Cheese Dreams Llc	Other	Sandwiches	4275 Mariner Blvd	open
Cheese Dreams llc	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11175 Spring Hill Dr	open
Chester's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	14314 Spring Hill Dr	open
China Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	11198 Spring Hill Dr	open
China Star China Star Wichita Falls Texas 華星中國料理	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chinese · Asian	13475 County Line Rd	open
China Town	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4245 Mariner Blvd	open
CHINA WOK	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14361 Spring Hill Dr	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican	10377 County Line Rd	open
Churro111	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3063 Stanton Ave	open
Copacabana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	4193 Mariner Blvd	open
Curbside Craving	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		12377 Seagate St	open
D'Lites Emporium	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Bakery	14363 Spring Hill Dr	open
Decristofaro's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	14277 Powell Rd	open
Dluxe Nutrition	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls	13155 Spring Hill Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	13081 Spring Hill Dr	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	11133 County Line Rd Unit 101 and 103	open
Donnelly's Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	2112 Mariner Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	10455 County Line Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	4287 Mariner Blvd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	14314 Spring Hill Dr	open
Dunkin' Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	100 Mariner Blvd	open
E Sushi Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	13485 County Line Rd	open
Evom Lounge	Bar		14251 Powell Rd, Spring Hill, FL 34609	open
Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	4165 Mariner Blvd.	open
Fuji Hibachi Express Spring Hill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	14257 Powell Rd	open
Gigi's Pizza and Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	12505 Spring Hill Dr	open
Golden Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4148 Mariner Blvd	open
GuateCuba Kitchen	Food truck		12173 Spring Hill Dr	open
Heavenly Ice cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	10324 Quality Dr	open
Herbalife Evolve Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	11147 County Line Rd	open
Hot Box Pizza Truck	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Pizza · Juice / smoothies	14298 Spring Hill Dr	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza · BBQ	5166 Mariner Blvd.	open
Indrani's Roti Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3073 Anderson Snow Rd	open
It's LEMONlicious	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		11175 Spring Hill Dr	open
Itchy Belly Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar			open
Jam's Cafe	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	4185 Mariner Blvd	open
Joie’s Cheesecakes	Bakery · Catering	Bakery	5175 Mariner Blvd	open
Justin & Jace, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10457 County Line Rd	open
Kielbasa Bus	Food truck	German / Eastern European	13127 Spring Hill Dr	open
King's Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14239 Powell Rd	open
La Cucina Internazionale La Cuccina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Cuban	10551 Spring Hill Dr	open
La India Food Truck ( Latin Cuisine )	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	13127 Spring Hill Dr	open
La Lechonera Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	11147 County Line Rd	open
Larray's Loaded Mac	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5166 Mariner Blvd	open
Legends Academy Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee · American	5175 Mariner Blvd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14319 Spring Hill Dr	open
Mariner Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5174 Mariner Blvd	open
Mark Anthony’s Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2165 Mariner Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4166 Mariner Blvd	open
Mio y Tuyo A&Y Food Truck	Food truck	Latin American (other)	4275 Mariner Blvd	open
Momiji Sushi House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4241 Mariner Blvd	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	146 Mariner Blvd	open
Nicole And Eric Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		148 Mariner Blvd	open
Niki's Gyromania	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	12578 Spring Hill Dr	open
Okinawa Ramen&Hibachi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	11166 Spring Hill Dr	open
Padula's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14355 Spring Hill Dr	open
Panda Express Panda Express	Quick service		7165 Mariner Blvd	open
Papa Clyde's Two Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4129 Mariner Blvd	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4173 mariner blvd e	open
Papa’s Grill LLC	Food truck		3074 Polo Ln	open
Picaera Sabor Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	4275 Mariner Blvd	open
Pizza Villa and Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	13122 Spring Hill Dr	open
PJ's Brick Oven Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2144 Mariner Blvd	open
Pops Ice Cream House	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	10324 Quality Dr	open
Rally's	Quick service		2137 Mariner Blvd	open
Reggae's Jamaican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	3073 Anderson Snow Rd	open
Rice & Beans	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean · Spanish / tapas · Cuban	14313 Spring Hill Dr	open
Rookies Family Grille and Bar	Bar · Casual dining		3095 Anderson Snow Rd	open
Sakura Asian Cuisine & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	128 Mariner Blvd	open
Sassy Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Tea / bubble tea	13155 Spring Hill Dr	open
Sesa Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3095 Anderson Snow Rd	open
Silverthorn Wine & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4550 Golf Club Ln	open
Simply Sweet Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1212 Carlton St	open
Slice of Life Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	188 Mariner Blvd	open
Smoothie King Smoothie King	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	2097 Mariner Blvd	open
Spring Hill 2 Beef O'Brady's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	14387 Spring Hill Dr Ste 400	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	190 Mariner Blvd	open
Stc Of Hernando County, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10457 County Line Rd	open
Stolz Pool Deck	Bar		13433 Amanda Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	132 Mariner Blvd Unit 16	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4144 Mariner Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11218 Spring Hill Dr Unit 50	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14308 Spring Hill Drive	open
Susie's Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1252 Mariner Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	11140 Springhill Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3112 Anderson Snow Rd	open
Tacobistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	14321 Spring Hill Dr	open
Taqueria montalvo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4275 Mariner Blvd	open
TaterHead’s	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		11175 Spring Hill Dr	open
The Daily Grind	Coffee shop	Coffee	11080 Marysville St	open
The Dancing Crab	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	4241 Mariner Blvd	open
The Kale Lunch Pail	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1182 Mariner Blvd	open
The Philly's Pit Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	13401 Spring Hill Dr	open
The Pitstop Y Mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches · American	13041 Spring Hill Dr	open
The Wellington Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	400 Wexford Blvd	open
The Whodey CAFE	Café · Coffee shop · Bar	Coffee	12453 Little Farms Dr	open
Tidal Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		14311 Spring Hill Dr	open
Toms Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13175 Spring Hill Dr	open
Up 4 Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	14359 Spring Hill Dr	open
Uptown Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3544 Mariner Blvd	open
VN PHO	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Asian · Tea / bubble tea	14245 Powell Rd	open
Warehouse Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	13763 Linden Dr	open
Weeki Wachee Candy Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4142 Mariner Blvd PMB 141	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	14339 Spring Hill Drive	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	11206Spring Hill Drive	open
Zaxby's Zaxby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3042 Anderson Snow Rd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	160 Mariner Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	4158 Mariner Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific	14371 Spring Hill Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	18	18	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	22	19	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	27	22	10	9	3	3	NAICS1997
1999	29	22	11	9	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	25	20	9	10	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	23	19	8	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	24	22	10	11	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	27	24	13	11	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	25	23	13	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	26	21	10	10	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	32	28	12	14	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	43	36	12	17	6	5	NAICS2002
2008	36	33	10	19	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	36	34	15	17	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	35	32	14	15	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	40	35	16	16	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	43	36	15	20	1	6	NAICS2012
2013	43	37	18	18	1	5	NAICS2012
2014	43	37	17	19	1	5	NAICS2012
2015	50	43	22	19	2	5	NAICS2012
2016	48	45	22	21	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	49	45	20	22	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	55	48	21	25	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	59	55	24	29	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	58	53	23	28	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	60	56	25	27	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	55	51	22	27	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	63	57	24	29	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 34609. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
34608	2.7 mi	9	2023
34604	4.6 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.