BMIE Market 35213

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,603 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,401 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,621 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±511 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,185 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,017 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$159,824 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,310 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,795 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±106 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$789,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±69,849 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	6.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35213
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+3.9% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+92.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+58.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 21–32) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35213. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	85.4	85	40%	+34.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.2	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	38.1	38	25%	+9.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,603	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	159,824	97	40%	+38.8
Households (ACS)	6,621	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	3.9	49	35%	+17.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.3	45	25%	+11.2
Population (ACS)	15,603	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	159,824	97	20%	+19.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15.6	15	50%	+7.6
10-year restaurant growth	3.9	49	30%	+14.7
20-year restaurant growth	92.9	79	20%	+15.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 9 · Pizza 4 · Asian 3 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Greek 1 · Halal / kosher 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Casual dining 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Basil Gourmet Pizza & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1101 Dunston Ave	open
Bo's Kosher Kitchen	Café	Halal / kosher · Middle Eastern · Coffee		open
Bongiorno	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	68 Church St	open
Brixx Wood Fire Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	181 Main St	open
Chen Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	221 Country Clb Pk	open
China Way Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5220 Oporto Madrid Blvd	open
Christiana.Roussel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings		open
Chueys Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex		open
Church Street Coffee and Books	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	81 Church St	open
Class A Express Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	5334 Oporto Madrid Blvd	open
Core Strong	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3918 Montclair Rd Ste 207	open
Crestline Bagel Company Crestline Bagel Company	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	66 Church St Apt B	open
Crestline Seafood Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	Church Street	open
Dinner.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	73 Church St	open
Dyron's Lowcountry	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	121 Oak St	open
Fire	Restaurant (service type not stated)		212 Country Club Park	open
Gus's Hot Dogs Gus's Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	71 Church St	open
Indie Candy	Dessert		73 Church St	open
La Paz La Paz Restaurant & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	99 Euclid Ave	open
Mafiaoza's Pizzeria & Neighborhood Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2 Dexter Ave	open
McDonald's	Quick service		800 Montclair Rd	open
Miss Dots	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	49 Church St	open
O'Henry's Coffees	Coffee shop	Coffee	93 Euclid Ave	open
Ollie Irene	Restaurant (service type not stated)		75 Church Street	open
Otey's Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		224 Country Clb Pk	open
Porch	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2 Dexter Ave	open
Real & Rosemary Crestline	Restaurant (service type not stated)		75 Church St	open
Saw's Juke Joint Saw's Juke Joint	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	1115 Dunston Ave	open
Slice Pizza & Brew Crestline Slice Montevallo	Bar	Pizza · Italian	1101 Dunston Ave	open
Slim's Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		65 Church St	open
Sugar Inc	Dessert		69 Church St	open
Surin of Thailand Surin of Thailand: Huntsville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	64 Church St	open
Taco Mama Taco Mama	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	63 Church St	open
The Birmingham Candy Company	Dessert	Dessert	81 Church St Ste 104	open
The Sugar Shoppe - Crestline	Dessert	Dessert	69 Church St	open
Urban Cookhouse Urban Cookhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	212 Country Clb Pk	open
Wall Street Deli - Birmingham- Bmc Montclair	Restaurant (service type not stated)		860 Montclair Rd	open
Zoes Kitchen Zoёs Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek	225 Country Clb Pk	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	15	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	15	14	8	5	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	15	13	8	4	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	17	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS1997
2002	22	20	9	7	4	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	20	16	7	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	22	16	8	6	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	15	7	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	21	17	10	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	21	17	8	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	18	14	5	8	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	16	7	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	27	24	16	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	28	26	16	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	27	25	16	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	29	27	16	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	30	28	16	10	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	36	33	15	15	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	32	15	14	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	26	15	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	26	15	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	25	15	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	25	13	10	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	29	27	14	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35213. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35223	1.4 mi	29	2023
35222	1.9 mi	17	2023
35212	2.9 mi	8	2023
35233	3.3 mi	70	2023
35249	3.4 mi	—
35205	3.8 mi	43	2023
35203	3.9 mi	53	2023
35229	4.1 mi	1	1997
35234	4.1 mi	10	2023
35243	4.5 mi	79	2023
35206	4.7 mi	13	2023
35209	4.8 mi	132	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.