BMIE Market 35212
Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 10,160 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±893 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,520 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 11,539 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,550 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $36,633 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,622 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $841 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±121 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $232,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 8 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35212 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -38.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -27.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -38.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 6 (range 4–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.4 per year, r² 0.87) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 34 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 11 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35212. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.87, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 34 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 44.8 | 45 | 40% | +17.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 38.3 | 38 | 35% | +13.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 11.1 | 11 | 25% | +2.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 10,160 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,633 | 4 | 40% | +1.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,520 | 73 | 20% | +14.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -38.5 | 8 | 35% | +3.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.9 | 81 | 25% | +20.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 10,160 | 71 | 20% | +14.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,633 | 4 | 20% | +0.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 11 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -20 | 13 | 50% | +6.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -38.5 | 8 | 30% | +2.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -27.3 | 10 | 20% | +2.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (47)
By cuisine
American 6 · Coffee 6 · Burgers 5 · Bakery 4 · Chicken / wings 2 · Dessert 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 13 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Dough Girlz Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5422 1st Ave N | open |
| Airport Lounge | Bar | 1409 50th St N | open | |
| Alibi Bar & Tapas | Casual dining · Bar | Spanish / tapas | 5514 1st Ave N | open |
| American Ranch House (Airport location) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 5113 Messer Airport Hwy | open |
| Bapjip, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5017 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open | |
| Bayles Catering & Takeout | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5422 1st Ave N | open | |
| Bayles Catering And Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5831 1st Ave N # 300 | open | |
| Best Wings & Deli Best Wings & Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5017 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open |
| Blck noir lounge | Casual dining · Bar | American | 5 55th Pl S | open |
| Boston Fish Supreme | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4201 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | Birmingham Airport Concourse B/C Food Court | open |
| Ceibita restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 5005 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open |
| Charley's Steakery | Bakery | Bakery | 5900 Messer Airport Hwy | open |
| Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A | Quick service · Brewery / taproom · Bakery | Chicken / wings · Bakery · American | 5900 Messer Airport Hwy | open |
| Crestwood Tavern | Coffee shop · Casual dining · Bar | Coffee | 5500 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| D Icon Bar and Lounge | Bar | 4847 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open | |
| Georgia Road Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6420 Georgia Rd | open | |
| Good People Brewing | Bar | Birmingham-Shuttlesworth International Airport | open | |
| Hardee's | Quick service | 5113 Messer Airport Hwy | open | |
| House Eleven | Café · Bar | Coffee | 5229 1st Ave N | open |
| Kabobs House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5005 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken Hayward | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 4500 10th Ave N | open |
| LaFleur Coffee Boutique, LLC | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 5521 1st Ave S | open |
| Lehman’s Pizzeria | Dessert | Dessert | 5422 1st Ave N | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 5900 Messer Airport Hwy | open | |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5904 1st Ave N | open |
| O'Henry's Coffees | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hwy 31 | open | |
| Pacific Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 6021 1st Ave N | open |
| Phoenix Thai & Pho Steak House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Vietnamese · Steakhouse | 5216 Messer Airport Hwy | open |
| Red Bike Coffee Shop | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 5512 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Royalty Pastries Llc | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 5504 1st Ave N | open |
| Sammy's Sandwich Shop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | Airport highway | open |
| SluttyVegan Birmingham | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Vegan | 7 55th Pl S | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 5900 Messer Airport Hwy | open |
| Steel City Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5000 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Other · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5506 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| Taj India | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | open | |
| Taqueria El Taconazo Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5005 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open | |
| Tha Tea Shop Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 4847 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open | |
| The Filling Station | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 5524 Crestwood Blvd | open |
| The Local | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5900 Messer Airport Hwy | open | |
| The Spot | Bar | 4438 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | open | |
| True Story Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 5510 Crestwood Blvd | open | |
| Urbano Taco-Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 6400 1st Ave N | open |
| Woodlawn Cycle Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 5530 1st Ave S | open |
| Madear's Kitchen And Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4847 Richard Arrington Jr Blvd N | closed | |
| Woodlawn Bar And Lounge | Bar | 5505 1st Ave N | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 11 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 11 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 9 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 13 | 1 | 12 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 12 | 10 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 12 | 10 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 12 | 10 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 12 | 10 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 12 | 9 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 12 | 9 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 12 | 8 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |