BMIE Market 35206

Jefferson County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,621 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,276 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,441 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±385 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,177 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,141 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$42,549 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,024 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±55 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$153,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,595 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	10.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 35206
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-18.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-38.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 12–15) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 35206. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	49.7	50	40%	+19.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.2	55	35%	+19.3
Market Momentum Score	39.4	39	25%	+9.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,621	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	42,549	8	40%	+3.1
Households (ACS)	6,441	78	20%	+15.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	35%	+18.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	15,621	77	20%	+15.5
Median household income (ACS)	42,549	8	20%	+1.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	8.3	53	30%	+15.8
20-year restaurant growth	-18.8	14	20%	+2.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 8 · Chicken / wings 7 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Coffee 3 · Mexican 3 · Dessert 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 9 · Bar 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Dessert 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Blaze Hookah Lounge	Bar		229 Roebuck Plaza Dr	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9248 Parkway E	open
Burger King	Quick service		7529 1st Ave N	open
Cakes by Audrey	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	7753 1st Ave S	open
China Buffet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	9136 Parkway E	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7529 1st Avenue North	open
Crave Wings N Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings	9136 Parkway E	open
Daiquiri Factory BHM	Bar		7623 1st Ave N	open
Delicious Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6805 1st Ave N	open
Downstairs Diner	Casual dining	American	7753 1st Ave S	open
East 59 Vintage & Cafe	Café	Coffee	7619 1st Ave N	open
El Girasol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8506 1st Ave N	open
El Girasol Mexican Tienda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7428 1st Ave S	open
Emerald Lounge	Bar		7619 1st Ave N	open
Green Acres Cafe South	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8500 1st Ave. S	open
HOTSPOT 1st Ave	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	6601 1st Ave N	open
Krispy Kreme Krispy Kreme Doughnuts	Bakery · Quick service · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	8601 First Ave N	open
Lady Vee's Southern Cuisine	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7763 2nd Ave S	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7630 1st Ave N	open
N & J Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		8315 1st Ave N	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	9109 parkway e	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9170 Parkway E	open
Pizza Passion Chicken & Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6805 1st Ave	open
Rally's	Quick service		7736 1st Ave N	open
Roadside Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7303 1st Ave N	open
Slice Pizza Italian Brothers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6805 1st Ave N	open
Soul Licious BBQ & Soulfood	Food truck		7700 1st Ave S	open
State Fair Coney Island	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Hot dogs	6630 1st Ave N	open
Taqueria Guerrero	Food truck	Mexican	8533 1st Ave N	open
Taqueria Sophia	Food truck		7601 1st Ave N	open
Taste it	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	8500 1st Ave N	open
The Tavern at East Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8436 1st Ave, 8436 1st Ave	open
Three Hots & A Cot	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7353 Kimberly Ave	open
Urban Collective East Lake	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	7753 1st Ave S	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	9248 Parkway E	open
Wing kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	9147 Parkway E	open
WingOut Express	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	9201 Parkway E	open
Wings & Rings Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Burgers	301 Oporto-Madrid Blvd S	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	9256 Parkway East, Suite D	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	24	22	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	21	18	8	9	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	22	19	9	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	23	20	10	10	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	29	24	12	10	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	27	21	8	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	21	16	6	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	14	4	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	17	13	5	7	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	19	16	6	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	3	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	12	2	7	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	4	7	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	14	4	8	2	2	NAICS2007
2011	12	11	4	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	5	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	14	13	4	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	14	14	4	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	5	7	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	13	3	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	14	14	3	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	13	13	—	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	—	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	—	8	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	—	10	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 35206. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
35212	2.8 mi	8	2023
35210	3.2 mi	46	2023
35217	3.8 mi	13	2023
35222	4.6 mi	17	2023
35213	4.7 mi	27	2023
35235	5.0 mi	50	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.