BMIE Market 36604

Mobile County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,836 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±803 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,778 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±296 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,456 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,159 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$915 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$249,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,766 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36604
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-15.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+6.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+30.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	17 (range 14–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	49 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36604. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.1	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.6	50	35%	+17.4
Market Momentum Score	32.3	32	25%	+8.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,836	69	40%	+27.6
Median household income (ACS)	66,357	41	40%	+16.5
Households (ACS)	3,778	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	35%	+17.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.2	39	25%	+9.8
Population (ACS)	8,836	69	20%	+13.8
Median household income (ACS)	66,357	41	20%	+8.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-15	15	50%	+7.7
10-year restaurant growth	6.3	51	30%	+15.2
20-year restaurant growth	21.4	47	20%	+9.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (41)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 4 · Seafood 4 · Asian 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 11 · Bar 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adams Flavor House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings · American	959 Government St	open
Aroy Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	966 Government St	open
By The Way Snack Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1621 Springhill Ave	open
China Chef II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1702 Government St	open
Club Equalizer	Bar		208 N Lafayette St	open
Conrad & Barlar	Bar		1406 Dauphin St	open
Cream & Sugar	Coffee shop	Coffee	351B George St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1354 Government St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1616 Government St.	open
E S Ventures Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1455 Monroe St	open
Fitkits	Quick service		1330 Spring Hill Ave	open
G's Bakery & Cafe	Café	Coffee	1714 Dauphin St	open
Guido's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		351 George St	open
Guncles Gluten Free	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	1252 Government St	open
Honeybun Donuts And Kolaches	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	1500 Government St	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2206 Airport Blvd., Suite F	open
John Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1150 Spring Hill Ave	open
Kimmy's Wings	Food truck · Catering	American	1507 Springhill Ave	open
Kitchen on George	Restaurant (service type not stated)		351A George St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		1275 SpringHill Avenue	open
Mobile Greek Fest	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek	50 S Ann St	open
Monroe's Pub & Patio	Casual dining · Bar		1455 Monroe St	open
Oakleigh Lawn Club	Bar	Spanish / tapas	916 Church St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1500 H Government St	open
Pb And J Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 S Ann St	open
Red or White Wine Mobile Red or White Wine	Bar		1104 Dauphin St	open
Saucy Q Bar B Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1111 Government St	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1461 Springhill Avenue	open
Soul Caffeine	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1714 Dauphin St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	Shoppes of Midtown, 1510 Government St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1411 Springhill Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1115 Government St	open
Tadd’s Coastal Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1455 Monroe St	open
The Hummingbird Way Oyster Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	351 George St	open
The Spiffy Fox Pizza And Pub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1455 Monroe St	open
The Webb Tiki Hut	Bar	Pizza	1564 Dauphin St	open
True Midtown Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1104 Dauphin St	open
Via Dauphin Street Cafe	Café	American · Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1717 Dauphin St	open
Wendy's	Quick service		959 Government St	open
Wild Bowl & Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Chicken / wings · Sushi · Japanese · Asian	1500 Government St	open
Wintzell's Oyster House Cooperate Office	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	960 Dauphin St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	13	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	10	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	15	5	8	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	18	14	4	8	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	17	14	4	8	2	1	NAICS1997
2001	21	16	5	9	2	1	NAICS1997
2002	20	15	3	10	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	18	14	3	11	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	16	6	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	23	19	6	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	18	6	11	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	21	19	6	13	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	23	21	5	15	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	22	20	4	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	21	18	4	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	3	10	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	17	14	3	11	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	19	16	4	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	17	5	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	20	17	4	13	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	18	15	3	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	22	18	4	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	20	5	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	21	18	5	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	4	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	20	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	20	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36604. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
36603	0.9 mi	3	2023
36652	1.2 mi	1	2016
36602	2.0 mi	40	2023
36606	2.4 mi	56	2023
36607	2.5 mi	24	2023
36617	2.8 mi	6	2023
36615	3.6 mi	1	2012
36610	3.8 mi	3	2022
36663	4.5 mi	1	1996

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.