BMIE Market 36607

Mobile County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,393 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,444 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±353 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,852 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,557 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$42,772 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,505 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$969 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$169,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±61,350 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	3.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36607
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	32.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+9.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+60.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 21–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	29 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	40.7	41	40%	+16.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	29.1	29	35%	+10.2
Market Momentum Score	57.0	57	25%	+14.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,393	62	40%	+24.7
Median household income (ACS)	42,772	8	40%	+3.2
Households (ACS)	2,444	64	20%	+12.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 29 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	44.5	11	25%	+2.9
Population (ACS)	5,393	62	20%	+12.3
Median household income (ACS)	42,772	8	20%	+1.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	9.1	39	20%	+7.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (57)

By cuisine

American 11 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 9 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 5 · Chicken / wings 5 · BBQ 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Breakfast 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Sushi 2 · Chinese 1 · Greek 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 33 · Quick service 11 · Café 7 · Bar 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ashland Midtown Pub	Casual dining · Bar		2453 Old Shell Rd	open
Au Bon Pain	Other	Sandwiches	5 Mobile Infirmary Cir	open
Bake My Day - Midtown	Bakery	Bakery	2407 Old Shell Rd	open
Bakery Outlet	Bakery	Bakery		open
Bay Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	59 N Florida St	open
Big Bad Breakfast Big Bad Breakfast - Florence	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1812 Old Shell Rd Ste D	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3200 SpringHill Ave	open
Butch Cassidy's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	60 N Florida St	open
By Grace Nutrition LLC	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	3221 Spring Hill Ave	open
Cammie's Old Dutch Ice Cream Shoppe Cammie's Old Dutch Ice Cream Shoppe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2511 Old Shell Rd	open
China Chef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2667 Spring Hill Ave	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3171 Moffatt Road	open
Coffee Monster	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	100 N Florida St F1	open
Crunch Time Sports Bar	Bar		2700 Spring Hill Ave	open
Cw Lee Ventures Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2453 Old Shell Rd	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	3213 Spring Hill Ave	open
Delish's Desserts	Café	Coffee	23 Upham St	open
Dew Drop Inn Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	1808 Old Shell Rd	open
Dimwold Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2066 Old Shell Rd	open
Dreamland BBQ Dreamland BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3314 Old Shell Rd	open
Dunkin Donuts Dunkin'	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1753 Springhill Ave	open
Fitkits Food Truck	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		3309 Old Shell Rd	open
Fuego	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2066 Old Shell Rd	open
Garbanzo Mediterranean Fresh The Simple Greek	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek	100 N Florida St	open
Gulf States Sub, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3211 Moffett Rd Ste 101	open
Hart's Fried Chicken Hart's Fried Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2951 Spring Hill Ave	open
Heavenly Pies Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2724 Old Shell Rd Ste F	open
Jimmy Johns	Quick service		1753 Spring Hill Ave Ste B	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2850 Springhill Ave	open
Lbm Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2534 Old Shell Rd Ste B	open
Lost Pizza Co. Lost Pizza Co. Indianola	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	2540 Old Shell Rd	open
Love's Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2959 Spring Hill Ave	open
M&P Lounge	Bar		453 Bay Shore Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	100 N Florida St	open
Mary's Southern Cooking	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern	3011 Spring Hill Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3119 Moffet Rd	open
MoMo's Wings and Things	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2662 Spring Hill Ave	open
Morrison Cafeteria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	American · Coffee	3200 Springhill Ave	open
Nixon's Midtown	Bar		1801 Old Shell Rd	open
Old Shell Growler Station	Bar		1801 Old Shell Rd	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	2825 Springhill Avenue	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3020 Dauphin Sq Connector	open
Rear Pocket	Bar		93 N Sage Ave	open
Remas Famous Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	3011 SpringHill Ave	open
Rock N Roll Sushi Rock N Roll Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2534 Old Shell Rd	open
Roshell's Cafe and Deli	Casual dining · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	American · Sandwiches · Coffee	2906 Spring Hill Ave	open
Saucy-Q Bar B Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3211 Moffett Rd Ste 106	open
Soul Heaven Cafe & Catering	Bakery · Café	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Coffee · Bakery	3365 Moffett Rd	open
Springhill Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	2709 Spring Hill Ave	open
Sub King Sandwich Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3211 Moffett Rd	open
Taco Mama - Midtown Mobile	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2534 Old Shell Rd Ste A	open
The Toasted Yolk Cafe The Toasted Yolk Cafe	Café	Breakfast · Coffee	2066 Old Shell Rd	open
Underground Custom Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	54 Upham St	open
Which Wich	Other	Sandwiches	1753 Spring Hill Ave	open
Wingfield's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3211 Moffett Rd, 106	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service		100 N Florida St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	100 N Florida St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	15	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	18	13	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1996	21	15	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1997	23	19	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	23	19	6	12	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	24	21	6	13	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	25	22	8	12	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	25	22	8	12	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	26	23	8	12	3	2	NAICS1997
2003	25	22	9	11	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	25	22	9	11	2	2	NAICS2002
2005	28	25	9	14	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	26	23	9	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	21	18	6	11	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	27	23	7	15	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	25	21	7	13	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	26	22	9	12	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	26	23	10	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	27	23	9	12	2	2	NAICS2012
2013	30	24	9	12	2	4	NAICS2012
2014	24	21	8	10	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	21	8	12	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	25	22	8	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	23	21	8	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	20	7	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	8	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	22	9	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	24	8	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	23	8	12	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	24	7	14	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 36607. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
36617	1.3 mi	6	2023
36652	1.5 mi	1	2016
36606	2.1 mi	56	2023
36604	2.5 mi	17	2023
36663	2.6 mi	1	1996
36610	3.3 mi	3	2022
36603	3.3 mi	3	2023
36612	3.7 mi	9	2023
36602	3.9 mi	40	2023
36609	4.4 mi	38	2023
36618	4.6 mi	24	2023
36688	4.9 mi	1	1997

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.