BMIE Market 36617
Mobile County, Alabama · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 11,128 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±899 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,655 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±348 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,967 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,129 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $40,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,458 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 47.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,067 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±93 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $75,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,008 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 36617 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 9 (range 7–12) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 44 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 36617. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Alabama and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 471, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 44 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 46.2 | 46 | 40% | +18.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50.7 | 51 | 35% | +17.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 32.3 | 32 | 25% | +8.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 11,128 | 72 | 40% | +29.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 40,900 | 7 | 40% | +2.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,655 | 73 | 20% | +14.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 5.4 | 90 | 25% | +22.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 11,128 | 72 | 20% | +14.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 40,900 | 7 | 20% | +1.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -25 | 11 | 50% | +5.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (25)
By cuisine
American 8 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 5 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 9 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 2 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asia’s Seafood And Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2305 Costarides St | open | |
| Babes Famous Hotdogs | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 1981 St Stephens Rd | open |
| Brown's Lounge | Bar | 533 Helveston St | open | |
| Checkers - Closed | Quick service | 2300 Saint Stephens Rd | open | |
| Chicken Kings Mobile | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1974 St Stephens Rd | open |
| Church's Chicken | Quick service | 2325 Saint Stephens Rd | open | |
| Fat Man’s Cafe, LLC Fat Man's Mill Café & Catering | Café · Quick service | Coffee · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2503 St Stephens Rd | open |
| Fry Daddy's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2304 St Stephens Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2351 St. Stephens | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 2311 Saint Stephens Rd | open | |
| Mama's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1980 Saint Stephens Rd | open | |
| Manci's Antique Club Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1715 Main St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2291 St Stephens Rd | open |
| Michigan Ave Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · American | 2154 Dr Martin Luther King Jr Ave | open |
| New Peking Garden 88 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2316 Saint Stephens Rd | open | |
| Peking Garden Restaurant Peking Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2316 St Stephens Rd | open |
| Phat Nozz Phishery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1981 Saint Stephens Rd | open | |
| Potato Head | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining | Sandwiches · American | 512 S Wilson Ave | open |
| Rodgers B-B-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2350 St Stephens Rd | open |
| Sam's Seafood & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2351 St Stephens Rd | open |
| Soul House Lounge | Bar | 1869 St Stephens Rd | open | |
| Sweet Snack Shop | Dessert | Dessert | 1600 Roach St | open |
| Touch of the Blues | Bar | 2070 St Stephens Rd | open | |
| Wild Wing Station Wild Wing Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 504 S Wilson Ave | open |
| Rascals Lounge | Bar | 2156 Costarides St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 7 | 6 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 8 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 6 | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 4 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 5 | 4 | — | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 7 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 6 | — | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 8 | 6 | — | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 7 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 10 | 8 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 10 | 9 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 11 | 8 | — | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 13 | 10 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 12 | 9 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |