BMIE Market 38108
Shelby County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,562 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,898 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,508 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±649 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,729 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,463 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $36,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $902 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $71,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,386 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 38108 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -22.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 8 (range 6–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.19) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 34 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 38108. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.19, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 49.0 | 49 | 40% | +19.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52.7 | 53 | 35% | +18.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 33.9 | 34 | 25% | +8.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,562 | 79 | 40% | +31.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,257 | 4 | 40% | +1.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,508 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 4.0 | 95 | 25% | +23.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,562 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 36,257 | 4 | 20% | +0.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 34 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -22.2 | 13 | 20% | +2.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (32)
By cuisine
American 10 · Chicken / wings 6 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Mexican 4 · BBQ 2 · Burgers 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 5 · Food truck 3 · Casual dining 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 star Jr | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Chicken / wings | 2531 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Alitas al carbón “La Graham” | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1633 N Graham St | open | |
| Autenticas Pupusas Salvadoreñas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3522 Kendrick Rd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2304 Chelsea Avenue | open |
| Don Don's Hot Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2356 Jackson Ave | open |
| Edna Diner | Casual dining | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2904 Chelsea Ave | open |
| El Patio Del Sazon | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 1475 Stacey St | open | |
| Everybody’s Gotta Eat | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers · Breakfast | open | |
| Exlines Best Pizza In Town | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2545 Jackson Ave | open |
| Five Star Meal Chef Twan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2149 Howell Ave | open | |
| Jack Pirtles Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2484 Jackson Ave | open | |
| Jaxon's Hot Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2302 Peres Ave | open |
| JC's Crumpy's Hotwings | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 2171 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Jerry's Sno Cones | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1657 Wells Station Rd | open |
| JJ's Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3188 Chelsea Ave | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2452 Jackson Ave | open |
| Lue Wings and more | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · American · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Burgers | 4005 Chelsea Ave Ext | open |
| Mejarra Frita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3681 Jackson Ave | open |
| Rincon Catracho Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 1456 Wells Station Rd | open |
| Sherri Kay's Bar & Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2052 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Snack Shack | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1423 Springdale St | open | |
| Taqueria Moreno | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | open | |
| Taylor'd Soul Foods & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2395 Chelsea Ave | open |
| The CueGuard Smokehouse | Food truck | 1352 N Watkins St | open | |
| The Taste Of Breakfast And Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1393 N Hollywood St | open | |
| Tommie's Bar B Que & Snackbar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2457 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Trevies Sweeties | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2312 Golden Ave | open |
| Turkey Babee | Specialty food shop · Quick service | American · Sandwiches | 3271 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Twanz five star mealz | Food truck | 2149 Howell Ave | open | |
| Waffle Mania | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2302 Peres Ave | open | |
| Yo Mama | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · BBQ | 2545 Jackson Ave | open |
| Yum's Chinese Carry Out | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2451 Jackson Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 9 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 8 | 7 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 7 | 7 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 7 | 7 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 9 | 8 | — | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 8 | 7 | — | 5 | — | — | NAICS2022 |