BMIE Market 38107
Shelby County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,912 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,925 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±566 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 17,698 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,793 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $35,265 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,073 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±70 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $152,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±37,176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 38107 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -44.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -44.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 7 (range 4–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 37 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 11 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 38107. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 37 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 47.5 | 48 | 40% | +19.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 42.4 | 42 | 35% | +14.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 11.1 | 11 | 25% | +2.8 |
Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,912 | 75 | 40% | +30.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 35,265 | 4 | 40% | +1.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,925 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -44.4 | 7 | 35% | +2.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 3.6 | 96 | 25% | +24.0 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,912 | 75 | 20% | +15.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 35,265 | 4 | 20% | +0.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 11 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -16.7 | 15 | 50% | +7.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -44.4 | 7 | 30% | +2.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -37.5 | 8 | 20% | +1.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (45)
By cuisine
American 14 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 8 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · BBQ 3 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 24 · Bar 17 · Casual dining 8 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Café 3 · Quick service 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Bakery 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Real Place | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Coffee | 1021 Jackson Ave | open |
| Alex's Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1445 Jackson Ave | open | |
| Alex's Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | 1445 Jackson Ave | open | |
| Arqam House Community Space | Coffee shop | Coffee | 1286 Jackson Ave | open |
| Bean's Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 1211 N Bellevue Blvd | open | |
| Blue Note Bourbon | Winery / distillery / taproom | 802 Royal Ave | open | |
| Cafe Eclectic | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 603 N McLean Blvd | open |
| CFAUptownMemphis | Quick service | 550 Uptown St | open | |
| Chef Cole's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 258 Bethel Ave | open | |
| Chester's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 648 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Chicago’z Fast Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1076 N Watkins St | open | |
| Dino's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 645 N McLean Blvd | open |
| Energy Famous Pasta Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1689 Jackson Ave | open |
| Grind City Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 76 Waterworks Ave | open | |
| Hog Wild-Real Memphis Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1291 Tully St | open |
| Hot N Heavy Dogs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs | 724 N Belvedere Blvd | open |
| Hot Wings Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 1373 Thomas St | open |
| Hugstables Sports Bar & Grill | Bar | 813 Jackson Ave | open | |
| Jack Pirtle's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 890 Thomas St | open |
| Jackson Corned Beef House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Steakhouse · American | 845 Jackson Ave | open |
| Jackson Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 1420 Jackson Ave | open |
| Krispy Wings | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 1336 Jackson Ave | open |
| L D Restaurant & Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1422 Thomas St | open | |
| Lucy Js Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 1350 N 7th St | open |
| Memphis Blues and Entertainment | Bar | 1427 Thomas St | open | |
| Memphis Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 615 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Memphis Mushroom Festival | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 673 N Auburndale St | open | |
| Memphis Toast | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 954 Jackson Ave | open |
| Our Bar | Bar | 1343 Jackson Ave | open | |
| Over Keel At The Kent | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 61 Keel Ave | open | |
| Patricia's Independent Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 615 Chelsea Ave Ste 102 | open |
| Pyramid Vodka | Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom | 802 Royal Ave | open | |
| Rachells | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 258 Bethel Ave | open |
| Replay Gentlemen's Club | Bar | 1221 Thomas St | open | |
| Smoky City BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1023 Jackson Ave | open |
| Soul & Spirits | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 845 N Main St | open | |
| Special Wings Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 615 Chelsea Ave # 101 | open | |
| Straight Drop Seafood Memphis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 615 Chelsea Ave | open |
| The Blac Betty | Bar · Casual dining | 1331 Thomas St | open | |
| The Lynx Lair | Casual dining · Bar | American | open | |
| The M Smoke And Sip | Bar | 1317 Jackson Ave | open | |
| The Mac Room | Bar | 1215 Thomas St | open | |
| Tinostakz Bar And Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 733 Chelsea Ave | open |
| Tops Bar-B-Q Tops Bar-B-Q & Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1383 Jackson Ave #4334 | open |
| Wild Bill's | Bar | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1580 Vollintine Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 9 | 9 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 9 | 7 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 12 | 10 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 5 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 7 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 8 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |