BMIE Market 38106
Shelby County, Tennessee · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,962 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,880 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,640 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±607 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 27,222 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,782 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $30,232 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,190 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $952 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $71,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 10.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 38106 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -11.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -21.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 16 (range 14–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 38106. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Tennessee and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 472, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 50.3 | 50 | 40% | +20.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58.4 | 58 | 35% | +20.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 57.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,962 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 30,232 | 2 | 40% | +0.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,640 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 35% | +20.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.2 | 84 | 25% | +20.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,962 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 30,232 | 2 | 20% | +0.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 73 | 50% | +36.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 30% | +17.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -11.8 | 16 | 20% | +3.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 13 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 10 · Chicken / wings 8 · BBQ 4 · Asian 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Coffee 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · African 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Dessert 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Italian 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Bar 16 · Quick service 10 · Casual dining 6 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A&R Bar-B-Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1802 Elvis Presley Blvd | open |
| All Star Hot Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1381 Elvis Presley Blvd | open |
| Annex Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches · Pizza | 1544 Netherwood Ave, 1544 Netherwood Ave | open |
| Aunt Cora's Cafe | Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 75 E McLemore Ave | open |
| Big S Grill | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ · American | 1179 Dunnavant St | open |
| Blow Hookah & Cigar Lounge | Bar | 1383 Silver St | open | |
| Bone's Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1551 Netherwood Ave | open |
| Boscos Brewing Company, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 827 S Main St | open | |
| Brenda"s Bar And Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers | 1053 Walk Pl | open |
| Cajun Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 936 Florida St | open |
| Captain D's Captain D's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 179 E E.H.Crump Blvd | open |
| Casa Blanca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1190 Florida St | open |
| Chase the Taste (Memphis) | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1137 Southparkway E | open | |
| Chester's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1058 S. Parkway | open | |
| Chop Suey House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2285 Elvis Presley Blvd | open |
| Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2275 Elvis Presley Boulevard | open |
| Cj Rider's Mc | Bar · Quick service | 565 S Parkway E | open | |
| Club Insight | Bar | Third @ McLemore, 1156 S 3rd St | open | |
| Coletta's Italian Restaurant Coletta's Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1063 S Pkwy E | open |
| Coney Island | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2351 Elvis Presley Blvd | open |
| Crack of Dawn Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 765 S Pkwy E | open |
| Daisy's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1631 S Third St | open |
| Dixie Queen | Quick service | 1181 S Bellevue Blvd | open | |
| Double Trouble Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1381 ELVIS PRESLEY Blvd | open | |
| Down South Wings & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 936 Florida St | open | |
| Electrolyfe Juice Bar & Grill | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 1417 Elvis Presley Blvd | open |
| Ezekiel 47 Verse 12 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegetarian | 1177 Mississippi Blvd | open |
| Flying Sobies Hen House Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Ghost River Brewery and Taproom | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 827 S Main St | open | |
| Golden China Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1160 S Bellevue Blvd | open |
| Hangar 54 Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Chicken / wings · BBQ | 1335 S Bellevue Blvd | open |
| Harrell Transportation Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1145 Kansas St | open | |
| Hawaiian Isle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific | 1542 Elvis Presley Blvd | open |
| Hawks Motorcycle Club | Bar | 1459 Elvis Presley Blvd | open | |
| J T's Lounge | Bar | 1403 Elvis Presley Blvd | open | |
| Jack Pirtle's Chicken Jack Pirtle's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 1217 S Bellevue Blvd | open |
| Jazsper's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1450 Gaither Pkwy | open | |
| Jim & Samella's Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 841 Bullington Ave | open |
| Johnnie Mae's of Memphis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 969 E McLemore Ave | open | |
| K3 Studio Cafe | Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 1130 S Third St | open |
| KFC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 742 S Parkway E | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 869 S. 3rd St | open |
| Kings Sports Bar and Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 911 S 3rd St | open | |
| Krewe Of DeJavu | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 936 Florida St | open |
| M-dad, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 855 Kentucky St | open | |
| Memphis Best Soul Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1499 S Third St | open |
| Moetown Grill and Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 461 E Trigg Ave | open |
| Momma's | Casual dining · Bar | American | 855 Kentucky St | open |
| Parkway Fish Market | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 600 S Pkwy E | open |
| Pine Hill The Links At | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1005 Alice Ave | open | |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 915 East McLemore Avenue | open | |
| Rearplate Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1289 Willie Mitchell Blvd | open |
| Rhythm and Blues Bar and Grill | Bar · Casual dining | 1243 Walker Ave | open | |
| Sin City Mc | Bar | 1550 Netherwood Ave | open | |
| Smoky Herbs Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1580 E Person Ave | open | |
| Soulsville Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 745 E McLemore Ave | open |
| Soulz Cafe & House of Soul | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 547 S Pkwy E | open |
| Southside valero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · Breakfast · American | 951 S Parkway E | open |
| Stein's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2248 S Lauderdale St | open |
| Symbolic Manna Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1514 Ely St | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 826 S Third | open |
| The Cafeteria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 850 S 3rd St | open |
| The Hershey Company HERSHEY'S | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 975 Kansas St | open |
| The New Spot | Bar | 1313 Mississippi Blvd | open | |
| The Rockin Chair | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1542 Elvis Presley Blvd | open | |
| Vic's Grill & Grocery | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 1575 Pillow St | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 19 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 18 | 18 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 23 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 24 | 22 | 5 | 17 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 19 | 5 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 13 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 22 | 20 | 6 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 19 | 5 | 14 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 16 | 3 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 16 | 16 | 2 | 14 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 12 | 12 | 2 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 13 | 13 | 3 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 15 | 4 | 10 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 18 | 15 | 4 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2022 |