BMIE Market 41073

Campbell County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,636 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,745 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±188 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,955 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,974 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,166 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,061 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,265 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±169 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$206,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±33,841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	0.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41073
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	25.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+41.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+118.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+166.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	24 (range 20–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41073. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.6	58	40%	+23.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.0	51	35%	+17.9
Market Momentum Score	83.1	83	25%	+20.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,636	62	40%	+24.9
Median household income (ACS)	71,166	49	40%	+19.5
Households (ACS)	2,745	66	20%	+13.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	42.6	12	25%	+3.1
Population (ACS)	5,636	62	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	71,166	49	20%	+9.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	41.2	88	50%	+43.9
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	118.2	86	20%	+17.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

American 10 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Bar 12 · Quick service 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	34 Donnermeyer Dr	open
Avenue Brew	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		310 Fairfield Ave	open
Bellevue Vets Bar	Bar		24 Fairfield Ave	open
Buckhead Mountain Grill Buckhead Mountain Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	35 Fairfield Ave	open
Cakes by Capano	Bakery	Bakery		open
Cb Restaurant Company, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 Fairfield Ave Ste 200	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		52 Donnermeyer Dr	open
Cork N Crust Bellevue	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	710 Fairfield Ave	open
Danyelle's Bellevue Tavern	Bar		615 Fairfield Ave	open
Darkness Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		224 Fairfield Ave	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15 Donnermeyer Dr	open
Elusive Cow Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		519 Fairfield Ave	open
Enson Harbor \| Seafood & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	25 Fairfield Ave	open
Fairfield Coffee Co	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	313 Fairfield Ave	open
Frisch's Big Boy Big Boy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	100 Landmark Dr	open
Gobrüus	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		317 Union St	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Quick service	American · Burgers	47 Donnermeyer Dr	open
Goofy's bar	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza		open
Hillbee, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 Fairfield Ave Ste 200	open
Joe's Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	25 Fairfield Ave	open
Krsna Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		45 Fairfield Ave	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	33 Donnermeyer Dr	open
Loyal Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · American	402 Foote Ave	open
Mama C's	Bakery	Bakery	225 Fairfield Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	15 Donnermeyer Dr	open
MRBL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	119 Fairfield Ave 4th Floor	open
Mrs. Teapots Tearoom and Eatery	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	339 Fairfield Ave	open
New Riff Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		24 Distillery Way	open
Pasquale's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	343 Fairfield Ave	open
Prost	Bar		615 Fairfield Ave	open
Rudd Properties Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		313 Fairfield Ave	open
Schneider's Homemade Candies	Dessert	Dessert	420 Fairfield Ave	open
Siam Orchid	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	511 Fairfield Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	45 Fairfield Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	45 Fairfield Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	312 Fairfield Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	55 Donnermeyer Dr	open
The B-List	Bar · Casual dining		343 Division St	open
The Fairfield Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)		700 Fairfield Ave	open
The Fill Inn	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		52 Donnermeyer Dr	open
The Pretzel Place	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	411 Fairfield Ave	open
Three Spirits Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		209 Fairfield Ave	open
Tulum	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	225 Fairfield Ave	open
WineDog Gardens	Bar		504 Taylor Ave	open
Witt's End Candy	Dessert		305 Fairfield Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	8	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	10	5	5	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	5	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	13	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	6	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	16	13	5	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	13	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	15	13	6	6	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	16	7	9	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	19	15	7	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	19	15	6	9	—	3	NAICS2007
2011	19	15	7	8	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	21	17	8	8	1	3	NAICS2012
2013	21	18	9	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	21	18	9	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	21	18	9	8	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	21	18	8	8	2	2	NAICS2012
2017	22	19	7	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	20	17	6	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	6	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	22	18	6	9	3	4	NAICS2017
2021	24	20	8	10	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	28	24	10	12	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	29	24	10	11	3	5	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41073. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
41074	1.1 mi	5	2023
45202	1.5 mi	190	2023
41075	1.7 mi	14	2023
45206	1.8 mi	20	2023
41071	1.9 mi	75	2023
45219	2.5 mi	71	2023
45207	2.8 mi	6	2023
45267	2.9 mi	1	2016
41014	2.9 mi	3	2023
45203	3.0 mi	5	2023
45226	3.1 mi	16	2023
45214	3.2 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.