BMIE Market 41074
Campbell County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 5,756 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±34 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,540 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±170 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 5,338 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,365 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $66,087 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,634 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 39.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±156 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $164,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,776 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41074 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +25.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 7 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 64 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41074. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 54.2 | 54 | 40% | +21.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 63.6 | 64 | 35% | +22.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 76.5 | 77 | 25% | +19.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 5,756 | 63 | 40% | +25.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,087 | 41 | 40% | +16.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,540 | 65 | 20% | +12.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 64 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 35% | +23.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.7 | 77 | 25% | +19.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 5,756 | 63 | 20% | +12.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 66,087 | 41 | 20% | +8.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 66.7 | 93 | 50% | +46.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 25 | 67 | 30% | +20.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 25 | 49 | 20% | +9.8 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (28)
By cuisine
Coffee 4 · American 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Bar 12 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Bakery 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 601 6th Ave #2 | open |
| Bucks Bbq | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 640 Sixth Ave | open | |
| Buona Vita Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 441 6th Ave | open |
| Burns Bar & Grill Poolside | Casual dining · Bar | open | ||
| Chatta's Kenton Cafe | Café · Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 3 Rd and Kenton | open |
| Dayton Bar & Grill | Bar | 640 6th Ave | open | |
| Dayton Chili | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 624 6th Ave Ste A | open |
| Divine Waffles & Weck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 624 6th Ave | open |
| El Señor Pig Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 441 6th Ave | open |
| Elliott Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 825 6th Ave | open |
| Galactic Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 624 6th Ave | open |
| Hometown Heroes Sports Cafe | Bar · Casual dining | American | 640 6th Ave | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 602 Dayton Ave | open | |
| Manhattan Harbour Marina | Bar · Casual dining | 1301 4th Ave | open | |
| Riverside Marina Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 145 Mary Ingles Hwy | open | |
| Roebling Point Books & Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 301 6th Ave | open |
| Rose Room | Bar | 528 6th Ave | open | |
| Smitty's Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 201 6th Ave | open | |
| The Purple Poulet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 846 York St | open |
| The Reef, at Manhattan Harbour | Bar | 1301 4th Ave | open | |
| Tony's Ole Saloon | Bar | 613 Berry St | open | |
| Tropics | Bar | 1301 4th Ave | open | |
| Trotta's Steak & Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 441 6th Ave | open |
| Tuba Baking Co. | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · German / Eastern European | 517 6th Ave | open |
| Unataza Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee · Latin American (other) | 603 6th Ave | open |
| Wayfarer Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | Pizza | 635 6th Ave | open |
| Plastic Printing Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 320 Clay St | closed | |
| Wise Guys Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 517 6th Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 5 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 5 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 4 | 3 | 2 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 5 | 4 | 4 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 7 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |