BMIE Market 45229

Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,529 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,371 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,794 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±570 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	13,020 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,070 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$32,263 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,235 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$884 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$285,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76,651 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45229
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+83.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 7–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	47 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45229. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	47.0	47	40%	+18.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47.8	48	35%	+16.7
Market Momentum Score	58.3	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,529	75	40%	+30.0
Median household income (ACS)	32,263	3	40%	+1.2
Households (ACS)	6,794	79	20%	+15.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.1	80	25%	+19.9
Population (ACS)	13,529	75	20%	+15.0
Median household income (ACS)	32,263	3	20%	+0.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	10	68	50%	+33.8
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

American 4 · Chinese 3 · BBQ 2 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 13 · Bar 4 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Quick service 2 · Buffet 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Bar 29	Casual dining · Bar		4040 Reading Rd	open
Blue Gibbon Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1231 Tennessee Ave	open
Cincinnati Children's Hospital Cafeteria	Buffet		3333 Burnet Ave	open
Dragon City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3521 Reading Rd	open
Drea's On Reading	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3305 Reading Rd	open
Dunkin' Dunkin'	Dessert · Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee	435 E Martin Luther King Dr	open
Gold Star Chili	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3333 Burnet Ave,	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4544 Reading Rd	open
Hook Fish & Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	3500 READING Rd	open
Mark Pi's (University Hospital)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	234 Goodman St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	413 Martin Luther King Dr	open
S&S BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	BBQ	4007 Reading Rd	open
Saturday Morning Vibes Cereal Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3539 Reading Rd Ste 101	open
Sixteen Bricks	Bakery	Bakery	4760-B Paddock Rd	open
Small Bar	Bar		4208 Red Bud Pl	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3200 Burnet Ave	open
Sugar N' Spice Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4381 Reading Rd	open
Sweets & Meats BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3440 Burnet Ave	open
Tacos El Gordis	Food truck	Mexican	4545 Reading Rd	open
The Wardell’s	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		562 Stewart Pl	open
Zola's Avondale Cafe	Café	Coffee · Caribbean · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3539 Reading Rd Suite 105	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	10	6	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	12	8	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	12	7	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	12	7	4	3	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	11	6	3	2	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	13	7	4	3	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	11	5	3	2	—	5	NAICS1997
2002	14	9	5	4	—	4	NAICS1997
2003	14	7	2	5	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	13	6	3	3	—	5	NAICS2002
2005	10	4	2	2	—	4	NAICS2002
2006	10	5	3	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	13	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	10	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2009	12	7	4	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	15	10	6	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	8	5	2	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	16	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	16	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	13	5	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	20	14	5	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	12	4	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	9	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	11	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	13	11	4	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45229. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45217	1.1 mi	11	2023
45207	1.1 mi	6	2023
45267	1.4 mi	1	2016
45206	1.8 mi	20	2023
45220	1.9 mi	21	2023
45212	2.0 mi	41	2023
45219	2.3 mi	71	2023
45232	2.9 mi	6	2023
45208	3.1 mi	53	2023
45209	3.1 mi	80	2023
45216	3.3 mi	10	2023
41074	3.4 mi	5	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.