BMIE Market 45216

Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,569 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,625 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±363 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,570 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,809 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$44,099 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,205 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,123 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$155,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,294 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45216
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	18.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-23.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	46 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	38 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	19 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45216. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 36 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.6	46	40%	+18.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	37.9	38	35%	+13.3
Market Momentum Score	19.0	19	25%	+4.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,569	70	40%	+28.1
Median household income (ACS)	44,099	9	40%	+3.6
Households (ACS)	3,625	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	35%	+4.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.5	70	25%	+17.6
Population (ACS)	9,569	70	20%	+14.0
Median household income (ACS)	44,099	9	20%	+1.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 19 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.1	19	50%	+9.7
10-year restaurant growth	-23.1	13	30%	+3.8
20-year restaurant growth	0	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 12 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A F Schuermann	Restaurant (service type not stated)		600 Township Ave	open
Andrew Allen Corporation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8343 Vine St	open
Andy's Cafe	Café · Bar	Coffee · American	7201 Vine St	open
Bridges Nepali Cuisine - Elmwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6304 Vine St	open
Carribbean Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	6305 Vine St	open
Cearal R US CAFE	Café	Coffee	7114 Vine St	open
Chiko's Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	318 Oak St	open
Cincinnati Buccaneers	Bar		6916 Vine St	open
Cosmic Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7 Woodsdale Ave	open
DJ's Sports Bar	Bar		6006 Chestnut St	open
Dr Pepper Snapple Group Dr Pepper Snapple Group - Ronkonkoma, New York	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		1115 Regina Graeter Way	open
Dragon City Restaurant \| Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	8343 Vine St	open
El Nuevo Valle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6711 Vine St	open
Famous Hot Dog House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	8225 Vine St # A	open
Food Truck La Antigua	Food truck		123 E Galbraith Rd	open
Frisch's Big Boy Big Boy	Casual dining	Burgers · American	8383 Vine St	open
Givaudan Flavours Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 E 69th St	open
Gold Star Chili Gold Star	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	21 E Galbraith Rd	open
Graeter's Graeter's	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	1175 Regina Graeter Way	open
Ice Cream On Wheels	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	601 Township Ave	open
JB's Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar	American	7201 Vine St	open
Jim Beam Brands	Winery / distillery / taproom		7324 Paddock Rd	open
KickbacksCincy	Bar		8087 Vine St	open
Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken Lee's Famous Recipe Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	8319 Vine St	open
Mikey's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Seafood · British / Irish pub food	6304 Vine St	open
Mister Softee of Cincinnati	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	8383 Burns Ave	open
New Stumble Inn	Bar		201 Linden St	open
No Drama Lounge	Bar		8087 Vine St	open
Our Pub	Bar		6408 Vine St	open
Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8401 Vine St	open
Renaissance Club Lounge	Bar		36 E 4th St	open
Scoop Dawg	Bar · Casual dining		6305 Vine St	open
Some Place Different	Bar		8087 Vine St	open
Tea Room	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee · Juice / smoothies	7120 Vine St	open
Teranga African Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	African · American	8438 Vine St	open
The Vogue Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Coffee	8441 Vine St	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8240 Vine St	open
White Castle White Castle	Quick service	Burgers · American	7400 Vine St	open
Zaze	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7301 Vine St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	11	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1995	16	10	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	22	14	—	—	—	8	SIC1987
1997	20	13	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	18	11	4	6	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	17	10	4	5	1	5	NAICS1997
2000	16	9	5	4	—	5	NAICS1997
2001	18	10	5	5	—	6	NAICS1997
2002	18	11	5	6	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	16	10	4	6	—	4	NAICS2002
2004	15	9	4	5	—	4	NAICS2002
2005	17	10	4	6	—	6	NAICS2002
2006	18	10	4	6	—	7	NAICS2002
2007	17	11	6	5	—	6	NAICS2002
2008	17	12	6	6	—	5	NAICS2007
2009	19	13	6	7	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	23	18	9	9	—	5	NAICS2007
2011	16	14	7	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	17	14	6	8	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	16	13	5	8	—	3	NAICS2012
2014	16	12	3	9	—	4	NAICS2012
2015	18	13	3	10	—	5	NAICS2012
2016	15	11	3	8	—	4	NAICS2012
2017	16	12	5	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	15	11	4	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	18	14	4	10	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	15	11	—	9	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	18	13	4	9	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	18	13	4	8	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	15	10	3	6	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 45216. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
45237	1.7 mi	12	2023
45232	2.3 mi	6	2023
45217	2.5 mi	11	2023
45215	2.6 mi	42	2023
45224	2.7 mi	16	2023
45212	3.0 mi	41	2023
45229	3.3 mi	11	2023
45213	3.5 mi	18	2023
45207	4.1 mi	6	2023
45220	4.3 mi	21	2023
45223	4.3 mi	25	2023
45231	4.3 mi	53	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.