BMIE Market 45217
Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 6,454 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±901 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±288 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,566 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,332 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $62,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,740 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,047 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $171,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±20,214 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 2.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45217 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 18.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -21.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -26.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 11 (range 10–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.31) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 37 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45217. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.31, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 52.4 | 52 | 40% | +21.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 36.6 | 37 | 35% | +12.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 28.2 | 28 | 25% | +7.0 |
Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 6,454 | 64 | 40% | +25.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,200 | 34 | 40% | +13.5 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,676 | 65 | 20% | +13.1 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 37 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.4 | 16 | 35% | +5.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 17.0 | 46 | 25% | +11.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 6,454 | 64 | 20% | +12.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,200 | 34 | 20% | +6.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 28 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -15.4 | 16 | 30% | +4.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -21.4 | 13 | 20% | +2.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (30)
By cuisine
American 7 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Bakery 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Italian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Bar 7 · Quick service 7 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggby Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4921 Vine St | open |
| Chicken Scratch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4727 Vine St | open | |
| Chili Time | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4727 Vine St | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · American | 4437 Vine St 4437 Vine St | open |
| Five Stars Mediterranean Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · European | 4501 Vine St | open |
| Food truck Naranjo | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 5135 Kieley Pl | open |
| Garfield Tavern | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4529 Vine St | open | |
| GG’s Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 4529 Vine St | open | |
| Gold Star Chili Gold Star | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | American | 4911 Vine St | open |
| Gs Ice Cream Enterprises, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4437 Vine St | open | |
| I AM Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 4509 Vine St | open |
| Klosterman Baking Cincinnati | Bakery | Bakery | 1000 E Ross Ave | open |
| LaRosa's Pizza St Bernard LaRosa's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4601 Vine St | open |
| Midwest Mobile Cigar Lounge | Bar | 4529 Vine St | open | |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 35 West Mitchell Avenue | open |
| Scherpies Produce & Deli | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 503 E Ross Ave | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4911 Vine St | open |
| St. Bernard Pub LaRosa's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 4537 Vine St | open |
| streetpops | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4720 Vine St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 4921 Vine St | open |
| Tacos Leonsito | Food truck | Mexican | 50 W Mitchell Ave | open |
| THE JESTER BAR & CIGAR PATIO | Bar | 4529 Vine St | open | |
| The Motors Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4811 Vine St | open | |
| Triple Crown Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4609 Vine St | open | |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4910 Vine St | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 64 W Mitchell Ave | open |
| Wiedemann’s Fine Beer, Brewery & Pub | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 4811 Vine St | open | |
| Wok Inn Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 4609 Vine St | open |
| Woodstone Creek Winery & Distillery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 4712 Vine St | open | |
| Lost Corner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4935 Vine St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 19 | 15 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 18 | 14 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 13 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 13 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 13 | 11 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 13 | 11 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 12 | — | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 14 | 12 | — | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 14 | 12 | — | 10 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 14 | 12 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 13 | 11 | — | 8 | — | — | NAICS2022 |