BMIE Market 45232
Hamilton County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 6,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,065 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±548 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 6,358 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,732 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $28,367 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,447 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 28.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $616 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $130,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±29,974 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 45232 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 6 (range 4–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 40 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 83 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 45232. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 39.7 | 40 | 40% | +15.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.6 | 61 | 35% | +21.2 |
| Market Momentum Score | 82.8 | 83 | 25% | +20.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 40 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 6,363 | 64 | 40% | +25.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 28,367 | 2 | 40% | +0.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,975 | 67 | 20% | +13.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 35% | +28.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.4 | 74 | 25% | +18.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 6,363 | 64 | 20% | +12.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 28,367 | 2 | 20% | +0.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 83 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 50 | 90 | 50% | +45.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 50 | 82 | 30% | +24.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 50 | 65 | 20% | +13.0 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (18)
By cuisine
American 4 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Bakery 2 · Sandwiches 2 · African 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Quick service 4 · Café 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12209 Mitchell Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 255 W Mitchell Ave | open | |
| BUBBA Stone's Concession STAND | Food truck | BBQ · Seafood | 421 Kings Run Ct | open |
| El Sabor Catracho | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 4732 Spring Grove Ave | open |
| Evergreen Foods | Bakery | Bakery | 5880 Winton Ridge Ln | open |
| Frisch's Big Boy | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · Coffee · Burgers · American | 4645 Spring Grove Ave | open |
| Graeter's Ice Cream Graeter's Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 899 W Galbraith Rd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Quick service | 249 W Mitchell Ave | open | |
| Larosas Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · Pizza | 5008 Gray Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 255 W Mitchell Ave | open |
| Picky Eaters | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4732 Spring Grove Ave | open |
| Rally's Checkers and Rally's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 4810 Spring Grove Ave | open |
| S & S Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 4600 Winton Rd | open |
| Spring Grove Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 638 E Epworth Ave | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 4777 Kenard Ave | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 249 W Mitchell Ave | open |
| Wasserstrom Restaurant Supply | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4020 Rev Dr | open | |
| Yàkoyó Nigerian Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 5720 Winton Rd | open |
| Taft's Brewpourium | Brewery / taproom | 4831 Spring Grove Ave # 1 | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 6 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 6 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 6 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |