BMIE Market 41075

Campbell County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	17,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±181 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,557 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,459 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,339 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,875 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,126 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$335,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,395 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41075
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+7.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+55.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	70 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41075. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.8	81	40%	+32.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.7	71	35%	+24.7
Market Momentum Score	70.4	70	25%	+17.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	17,240	79	40%	+31.6
Median household income (ACS)	104,875	84	40%	+33.6
Households (ACS)	6,557	78	20%	+15.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	35%	+18.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.1	80	25%	+20.0
Population (ACS)	17,240	79	20%	+15.8
Median household income (ACS)	104,875	84	20%	+16.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	27.3	82	50%	+41.0
10-year restaurant growth	7.7	52	30%	+15.6
20-year restaurant growth	55.6	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (27)

By cuisine

American 6 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Coffee 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 8 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 2 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
915 Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	915 N Fort Thomas Ave	open
Cobblestone Cafe	Other	Sandwiches	654 Highland Ave Ste 1	open
Colonel's Catering & Kitchen Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18 N Fort Thomas Ave	open
COMAL_at_FortThomas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	18 N Ft Thomas Ave	open
Emma's Ice- Custom Shaved Ice	Dessert	Dessert	654 Highland Ave	open
Fort Thomas Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	118 N Fort Thomas Ave	open
Fort Thomas Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1013 S Fort Thomas Ave	open
Fort Thomas Parlor	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	1013 S Ft Thomas Ave	open
Fort Thomas Pizza and Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	1109 S Ft Thomas Ave Ste A	open
Highland Square Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	654 Highland Ave	open
Kampuchea Kitchen Cambodian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	1041 S Ft Thomas Ave	open
Midway Cafe	Casual dining · Bar	American	1017 S Ft Thomas Ave	open
New Garden New Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Sushi · Japanese	1031 S Ft Thomas Ave	open
Olde Fort Pub	Bar	American	1041 S Ft Thomas Ave	open
Padrino Fort Thomas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	14 N Grand Ave	open
Sivle Llc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		915 N Fort Thomas Ave	open
Snappy Tomato Pizza Snappy Tomato Pizza - Union City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1177 S Ft Thomas Ave	open
Southern Smoke BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1041 S Fort Thomas Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	10 N Fort Thomas Ave	open
The Cookie Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1049 S Ft Thomas Ave	open
The Green Line Kitchen and Cocktails	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	25 N Ft Thomas Ave	open
The Post - Pours & Rations	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1136 S Fort Thomas Ave	open
Tickle Pickle Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Burgers	915 N Ft Thomas Ave	open
Top This Donut Bar	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	18 N Fort Thomas Ave	open
Traveler's Table	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	1011 S Fort Thomas Ave	open
Twisty Grill	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	314 N Fort Thomas Ave	open
Vito's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	654 Highland Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	18	16	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	17	16	9	6	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	16	15	9	5	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	15	14	10	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	16	13	10	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	15	12	7	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	12	9	6	3	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	13	9	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2005	15	14	8	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	12	9	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	9	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	9	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	15	14	10	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	10	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	8	5	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	14	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	12	11	5	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	6	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	15	14	4	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	11	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	13	11	5	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	5	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	12	6	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	5	4	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	16	14	9	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 41075. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
41071	1.4 mi	75	2023
41073	1.7 mi	24	2023
41074	1.9 mi	5	2023
45226	2.8 mi	16	2023
41014	2.8 mi	3	2023
45202	3.0 mi	190	2023
45206	3.4 mi	20	2023
45230	3.7 mi	25	2023
45208	3.9 mi	53	2023
45207	4.2 mi	6	2023
41011	4.2 mi	72	2023
45219	4.2 mi	71	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.