BMIE Market 41076
Campbell County, Kentucky · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 17,158 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±633 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,268 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,468 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,565 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $73,283 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,203 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±64 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $226,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,469 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 47 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 41076 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 22.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +17.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +23.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +80.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +147.4% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 53 (range 48–57) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 41076. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Kentucky and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 407, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.4 | 68 | 40% | +27.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 55.1 | 55 | 35% | +19.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 73.0 | 73 | 25% | +18.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 17,158 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,283 | 52 | 40% | +20.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,268 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 23.7 | 66 | 35% | +23.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 27.4 | 23 | 25% | +5.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 17,158 | 79 | 20% | +15.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 73,283 | 52 | 20% | +10.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 17.5 | 75 | 50% | +37.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 23.7 | 66 | 30% | +19.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 80.8 | 77 | 20% | +15.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (91)
By cuisine
American 24 · Pizza 12 · Sandwiches 12 · Burgers 9 · Coffee 7 · Breakfast 6 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 5 · Italian 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 24 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 13 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Other 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angilo's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4674 Mary Ingles Hwy | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2810 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Arby's Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 12 Martha Layne Collins Blvd Near Alexandria Pike | open |
| Barleycorn's Cold Spring Barleycorn's | Bar · Casual dining | 1073 Industrial Rd | open | |
| Biggby Coffee Biggby | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Tea / bubble tea | 64 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open |
| Blau & Kriege Pllc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3699 Alexandria Pike | open | |
| Bob Evans Bob Evans | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 4000 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3720 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Busken Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2895 Alexandria Way | open |
| Chan's Asian Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 359 Crossroads Blvd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2527 Wilson Rd | open |
| City Barbeque City Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2760 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Cracker Barrel Cracker Barrel Old Country Store | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 4210 Alexandria Pike | open |
| D J Zang Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 199 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open | |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Dessert | Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 1010 Town Dr | open |
| Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2517 Wilson Rd | open |
| Double D Bar | Bar | 1087 Blossom Dr Cir | open | |
| Duck Creek Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 1942 Industrial Rd | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Coffee shop · Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 4765 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Dunkin' | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3917 Alexandria Pike | open | |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery · Breakfast | 20 Kenton Dr | open |
| El Nopal Cold Spring El Nopalito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5350 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2790 Alexandria Pike | open |
| First Watch First Watch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3721 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Fischer Special Manufacturing Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1188 Industrial Rd | open | |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2515 Wilson Rd. | open |
| Frisch's Big Boy Big Boy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Breakfast · American | 2611 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Gold Star | Quick service | 1007 Town Dr | open | |
| Honey Baked Ham Seasonal Store | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 3976 Alexandria Pike | open |
| IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 300 Cross Roads Blvd. | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 2521 Wilson Ave | open |
| Kirtan Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 38 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open | |
| Knotty Pine On The Bayou | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 6720 Licking Pike | open |
| LaRosa's Pizza LaRosa's Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4757 Alexandria Pike | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse LongHorn Steakhouse | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 200 Cross Roads Blvd | open |
| Longnecks Sports Grill Longnecks Sports Grill - Hebron | Bar · Casual dining | American | 1009 Town Dr | open |
| Mac's Pizza Pub | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 42 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open |
| Maharaja Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 1007 Town Dr | open |
| Maki Asian Bowls | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Thai · Asian · American | 56 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open |
| Margaritas Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 220 Plaza Dr | open |
| Marquise Banquet & Conference | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1016 Town Dr | open | |
| McAlister's Deli McAlister's Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3721 Alexandra Pike | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1450 Saint Johns Lane | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3720 Alexandria Pike | open |
| McDonald's | Quick service | 1930 Alexandria Pike | open | |
| Mellow Mushroom Mellow Mushroom | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Vegetarian · American | 1014 Town Dr | open |
| Nittha Siam Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 2415 Alexandria Pike | open |
| O'Charley's O'Charley's Restaurant + Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 100 Cross Roads Blvd | open |
| One More Bar | Bar | 6680 Licking Pike | open | |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee | 4318 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Papa John's Pizza Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 357 Crossroads Blvd | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | open | |
| Paradise Restaurant & Café | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Mediterranean · Greek | 4135 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Penn Station East Coast Subs Penn Station East Coast Subs | Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 3980 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Peppers Mexican Grill Cold Spring Peppers Mexican Grill Dry Ridge | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 48 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open |
| Pita Pit | Other | Sandwiches | 2740 Alexandria Way | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2730 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Poseidon's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4135 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Qdoba Qdoba | Quick service | 1021 Magnolia Lane | open | |
| QDOBA Mexican Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 20 Kenton Dr, Student Union | open |
| Raising Cane's Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 3614 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Risppartners Llp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1412 Gloria Terrell Dr | open | |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5350 Alexandria Pike | open | |
| Sbarro Sbarro | Quick service | Pizza · Italian | 20 Kenton Dr | open |
| Servatii Highland Heights | Bakery | Bakery | 2740 Alexandria Way | open |
| Skyline Chili Skyline Chili | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 199 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open |
| Skyline Tavern | Casual dining · Bar | American | 430 Johns Hill Rd | open |
| Smashburger | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2517 Wilson Rd | open |
| Snappy Tomato Pizza Snappy Tomato Pizza - Union City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4140 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 4941 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 20 Kenton Dr | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 20 Kenton Dr | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 375 Crossroads Blvd | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 355 Cross Roads Blvd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1412 Gloria Terrell Dr Suite 1 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 38 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open |
| Sweet-51 | Dessert | Dessert | 60 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 14 Martha Layne Collins Blvd. | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Other | Sandwiches | 300 Cross Roads Blvd | open |
| The Hangout | Casual dining · Bar | 42 Martha Layne Collins Blvd | open | |
| The Original Hot Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · American | 5010 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Top 10 Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 1412 Gloria Terrell Dr | open | |
| Toppers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2517 Wilson Avenue | open |
| Trisha Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 355 Cross Roads Blvd | open | |
| Tropical Smoothie Cafe Tropical Smoothie Cafe | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Juice / smoothies · American | 1021 Magnolia Lane | open |
| Waffle House Waffle House | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 251 AA Hwy | open |
| Wendy's Wendy's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 3708 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Whit's Frozen Custard Whit's Frozen Custard of Daphne | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2517 Wilson Rd | open |
| White Castle White Castle | Quick service | Burgers · American | 125 Plaza Dr | open |
| Wing Snob | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2730 Alexandria Pike | open |
| Karla Cakes Llc | Bakery | Bakery | 4720 Mary Ingles Hwy | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 22 | 19 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 16 | 14 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 21 | 19 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 24 | 22 | 10 | 12 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 13 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 23 | 10 | 13 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 29 | 24 | 12 | 12 | — | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 25 | 13 | 12 | — | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 26 | 14 | 12 | — | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 28 | 25 | 15 | 10 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 34 | 29 | 16 | 13 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 34 | 32 | 17 | 15 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 39 | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 37 | 32 | 20 | 12 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 32 | 21 | 11 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 40 | 37 | 21 | 16 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 41 | 36 | 20 | 16 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 44 | 40 | 22 | 18 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 44 | 38 | 17 | 21 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 46 | 39 | 18 | 20 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 41 | 37 | 17 | 19 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 39 | 35 | 17 | 18 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 42 | 39 | 18 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 44 | 40 | 19 | 21 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 47 | 43 | 22 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 50 | 46 | 20 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 50 | 46 | 20 | 22 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 48 | 44 | 20 | 20 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 52 | 47 | 21 | 21 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |