BMIE Market 43008

Licking County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	2,434 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,014 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	2,479 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,329 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,558 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,273 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$860 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±399 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$164,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±163,849 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	1.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43008
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	36.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+37.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	12 (range 10–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.45) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43008. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.45, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.1	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49.6	50	35%	+17.4
Market Momentum Score	76.9	77	25%	+19.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	2,434	48	40%	+19.4
Median household income (ACS)	88,558	72	40%	+28.8
Households (ACS)	1,014	50	20%	+9.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	45.2	11	25%	+2.8
Population (ACS)	2,434	48	20%	+9.7
Median household income (ACS)	88,558	72	20%	+14.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	37.5	87	50%	+43.4
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (22)

By cuisine

American 4 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Chinese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 6 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
52 Nrg	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	4453 Walnut Rd SE	open
Barrel Bar	Bar		4675 Walnut Rd	open
Boat Yard at Buckeye Lake	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	5171 Northbank Rd	open
Bob's Bar & Grill LLC	Casual dining · Bar		10982 Hebron Rd	open
Buckeye Lake Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5176 Walnut Rd	open
Buckeye Lake Margaritas	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4675 Walnut Rd	open
Chef Shack	Casual dining · Bar	American	5176 Walnut Rd SE	open
Coffee Shack Coffee Roasters_North Shore	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4675 Walnut Rd	open
Creno's Pizza Creno's Pizza Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11184 Hebron Rd SE	open
Donatos Pizza Donatos Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11048 Hebron Rd SE	open
Dragon Village of Buckeye Lake	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	11097 Hebron Rd	open
Louie's Corner House	Casual dining · Bar		11174 Hebron Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10780 Hebron Rd Se	open
Our Lakeside Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5276 Walnut Rd SE	open
Pizza Cottage Pizza Cottage Zanesville	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4592 Walnut Rd	open
Roadside Lunchbox	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1009 hebron rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11097 Hebron Road	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	10800 Hebron Rd	open
TWO BROS SLUSHY BAR	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4595 Walnut Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	10281 Hebron Rd	open
Whit’s Frozen Custard	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	4595 Walnut Rd Ste P	open
Wooten's House of Mee Krob	Restaurant (service type not stated)		129 Lake St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	8	2	5	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	10	4	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	15	12	6	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	15	9	3	6	—	3	NAICS1997
2003	10	7	3	4	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	4	5	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	11	9	3	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	11	10	2	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	11	9	2	7	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	10	8	3	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	11	9	4	5	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	13	11	4	6	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	3	7	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	11	9	2	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	10	8	1	7	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	9	7	1	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	1	6	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	9	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	10	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	8	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	10	—	7	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	14	10	—	7	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	15	11	4	6	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 43008. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
43025	3.2 mi	11	2023
43046	3.7 mi	7	2023
43030	4.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.