BMIE Market 43607
Lucas County, Ohio · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 19,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,677 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±586 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 23,958 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 12,177 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $41,335 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,786 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 33.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $877 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±46 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $75,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,593 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 7.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 43607 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 7.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +10.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +4.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +15.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 25 (range 22–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.44) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 43607. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.44, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Ohio and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 989, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 51.7 | 52 | 40% | +20.7 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.3 | 53 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 57.4 | 57 | 25% | +14.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 19,469 | 81 | 40% | +32.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 41,335 | 7 | 40% | +2.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,677 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10 | 54 | 35% | +18.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 11.3 | 67 | 25% | +16.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 19,469 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 41,335 | 7 | 20% | +1.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 10 | 68 | 50% | +33.8 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10 | 54 | 30% | +16.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 4.8 | 37 | 20% | +7.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (66)
By cuisine
American 13 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Burgers 2 · Chinese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Seafood 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Breakfast 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 20 · Quick service 11 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Buffet 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 R&B Craft Cocktail Lounge | Bar | 406 N Westwood Ave | open | |
| 909 | Bar | 909 Junction Ave | open | |
| Aj's Bar And Grill | Bar | 406 N Westwood Ave | open | |
| Allure Hookah Lounge | Bar | 2903 Dorr St | open | |
| Ann's Bar-B-Que | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 1008 N Hawley St | open |
| Arby's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1455 Secor Rd | open |
| Big Knuckle Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Burgers · American | 2903 Dorr St | open |
| Blimpie | Quick service | 1210 N Byrne Rd | open | |
| Blum Street Cafe | Bar · Café | Coffee | 622 Hoag St | open |
| BREW Coffee BAR | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2903 Dorr St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 1441 Secor Road | open |
| Buster's Bar & Grill | Bar | 2704 Nebraska Ave | open | |
| China House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1122 N Byrne Rd | open |
| CHUANCAI FANG SICHUAN RESTAURANT | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 3527 Dorr St | open |
| Circle 8 | Bar | 2501 Nebraska Ave | open | |
| Classic Lounge | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2224 Nebraska Ave | open |
| Comboz | Other | Sandwiches · American | 1326 N Detroit Ave | open |
| Cottage Inn Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1122 N Byrne Rd | open |
| Destinee's Diner | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1343 Avondale Ave | open | |
| Dublin University Bar | Bar | 2633 W Bancroft St | open | |
| El Viejon Mexican Street Tacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 730 N Westwood Ave | open |
| Fine As Wine | Bar | 1 Fine Wine Blvd | open | |
| Fishermen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 1122 N Byrne Rd Unit 15 | open |
| Gradkowski's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1440 Secor Rd Ste R | open | |
| Hydeaway Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 1557 Indiana Ave | open |
| Italian authentic restaurant toledo art and food | Quick service | Italian | open | |
| Jake's Saloon & Sports Pub | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Pizza | 2520 Dorr St | open |
| Jed's on Campus | Bar | 3534 Dorr St | open | |
| Jimmy John's | Other | Sandwiches | 1440 Secor Rd | open |
| JoJo's Pizza On Campus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 2645 W Bancroft St | open |
| Kausion Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1343 Avondale Ave | open | |
| KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3506 Dorr St | open |
| La Liban Cafe | Bar · Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1417 Secor Rd | open |
| Mac’s Trapp BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1018 Campbell St | open | |
| Malczewski's Catering Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2541 Nebraska Ave | open | |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3510 Dorr Street | open |
| Maria’s Loose Leaf Tea’s | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea | 2463 Nebraska Ave | open |
| Maxwell's Brew | Bar | 2661 W Bancroft St | open | |
| MC"CRAVERS" BBQ ohio | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2265 Dorr St | open |
| Netty's Netty's Marblehead | Dessert | Hot dogs · Ice cream / frozen desserts · American | 2701 Dorr St | open |
| Ninja Teriyaki Juicy Crab House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2903 Dorr St | open |
| Octagon No. IV, Inc | Bar | 638 N University Ave | open | |
| Papa Johns Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3231 Dorr St | open |
| Pita Pit (University Of Toledo) | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Sandwiches · Mediterranean | 2903 Dorr St | open |
| R&B Bubble Tea and Poke Bowl | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian | 3402 Dorr St | open |
| RARE Savory Taste Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 2903 Dorr St | open |
| Rice Blvd | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 1440 Secor Rd Ste N | open |
| Rick's City Diner | Casual dining | American | 2633 W Bancroft St | open |
| Rockets Lounge | Bar | 1471 Secor Rd | open | |
| Sahara Express Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern | 2903 Dorr St | open |
| South Side | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | open | ||
| Steven’s Skillet | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 2633 W Bancroft St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 1223 N Byrne Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1470 Secor Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 3149 Dorr Street | open |
| The Ale House Toledo | Bar | 2633 W Bancroft St | open | |
| The Food Station | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 2051 Dorr St | open |
| The Original Jamaican Spice | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1223 N Byrne Rd | open |
| The Velvet Room | Bar | 742 Junction Ave | open | |
| This Is It Drinks And BBQ | Casual dining · Bar | BBQ | 302 N Detroit Ave | open |
| Toledo Public Schools Food Services | Buffet | 1025 Hoag St | open | |
| Trap Nutrition ~ Wellness | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies | 2903 Dorr St | open |
| Uncle John's Pancake House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 1440 Secor Rd r | open |
| University Carry-Out | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1852 W Bancroft St | open |
| Wendy's | Quick service | 3454 Dorr St | open | |
| Yummies Two | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 801 Nebraska Ave | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 27 | 19 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 17 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 27 | 16 | — | — | — | 11 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 33 | 21 | — | — | — | 12 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 30 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 2 | 11 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 34 | 20 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 14 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 34 | 21 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 13 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 2 | 10 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 30 | 18 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 11 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 32 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 3 | 11 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 33 | 22 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 11 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 28 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 10 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 22 | 14 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 8 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 26 | 16 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 17 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 12 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 25 | 15 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 28 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 28 | 18 | 2 | 14 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 30 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 9 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 28 | 20 | 5 | 13 | 2 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 27 | 18 | 4 | 13 | 1 | 7 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 6 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 31 | 23 | 5 | 16 | — | 7 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 26 | 20 | 4 | 14 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 26 | 21 | 3 | 16 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 23 | 4 | 17 | — | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 17 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 27 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2022 |