BMIE Market 48225

Wayne County, Michigan · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	16,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±515 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,902 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±402 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,554 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,669 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$61,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,861 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,368 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±51 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$153,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,393 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 48225
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-36.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-58.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-65.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-69.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	2 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -1.0 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	41 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	60 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	5 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 48225. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Michigan and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 887, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	59.6	60	40%	+23.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.3	46	35%	+16.2
Market Momentum Score	4.7	5	25%	+1.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	16,098	78	40%	+31.1
Median household income (ACS)	61,750	33	40%	+13.2
Households (ACS)	5,902	77	20%	+15.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 46 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-58.8	2	35%	+0.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.4	94	25%	+23.5
Population (ACS)	16,098	78	20%	+15.6
Median household income (ACS)	61,750	33	20%	+6.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 5 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-36.4	8	50%	+3.8
10-year restaurant growth	-58.8	2	30%	+0.6
20-year restaurant growth	-65	2	20%	+0.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Sandwiches 7 · American 4 · Coffee 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 25 · Quick service 14 · Bar 8 · Specialty food shop 4 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Casual dining 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Brothers Mobil Gourmet Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	19202 Harper Ave	open
50 Shades of Hookah	Bar		19366 Kelly Rd	open
Applebee's	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	17810 E Eight Mile Rd	open
Auntie Anne's	Dessert · Bakery · Quick service	Dessert · Bakery	18000 Vernier Rd Ste T62	open
Barstool Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)		20912 Harper Ave	open
Candlelite Lounge	Bar		19228 Kelly Rd	open
Charleys Cheesesteaks	Other	Sandwiches	18000 Vernier Rd Ste 403	open
Chili's Grill & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	17890 Vernier Rd	open
Cool Blendz Smoothie Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee		open
Ej's Fish and More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	19304 Kelly Rd	open
Frullati Cafe	Café	Coffee	18000 Vernier Rd	open
Goodfellas Lounge	Bar · Casual dining		20912 Harper Ave	open
Grinderz	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	19550 Kelly Rd	open
Harper Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	20408 Harper Ave	open
Healthier Comforts	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Italian Village Pizza & Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19550 Kelly Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	20990 Harper Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	17800 East 8 Mile Road	open
Nona's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19764 Harper Ave	open
Pretzel Time	Quick service		18000 Vernier Rd	open
Rex's Deli Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19101 Vernier Rd	open
Saad Restaurant Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17890 Vernier Rd	open
Saroki's Crispy Chicken & Pizza Saroki's Crispy Chicken & Pizza	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17700 8 Mile Rd	open
Se Qaj Affair	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19676 Woodland St	open
Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Pizza · Coffee	18000 Vernier Rd (Target - Harper Wood, S T-0776)	open
Starter's Bar & Grill Starters Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	17890 Vernier Rd	open
Steve's Back Room Llc	Bakery	Bakery	19872 Kelly Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	20710 Harper Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19548 Kelly Rd	open
Sweetheart Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	19200 Kelly Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	20726 Harper Ave.	open
The Detroit Pepper Company	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Specialty food shop	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches	17180 E Warren Ave	open
The Royal Eagle Fine Dining	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18725 Old Homestead Dr	open
They Say Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	17810 Vernier Rd	open
Tim Hortons	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Coffee	19353 Vernier Rd	open
Trump Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood	19220 Kelly Rd	open
Victoria's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · French	19840 Kelly Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	20979 Harper Ave	open
Ye Olde Tap Room	Bar		20466 Fleetwood Dr	open
Yoshi Hibachi Grille Yoshi's Hibachi Chesterfield	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	19304 Kelly Rd	open
Abo Pizza & Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20032 Kelly Rd	closed
Ugly Duckling Saloon Inc	Bar		20912 Harper Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	23	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	23	21	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	26	23	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	29	27	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	27	25	6	13	6	1	NAICS1997
1999	26	25	4	15	6	—	NAICS1997
2000	30	28	4	18	6	—	NAICS1997
2001	27	25	6	14	5	1	NAICS1997
2002	28	26	6	14	6	—	NAICS1997
2003	23	20	3	13	4	1	NAICS2002
2004	26	21	6	12	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	26	21	6	11	4	2	NAICS2002
2006	21	17	6	8	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	26	20	7	9	4	3	NAICS2002
2008	22	16	3	11	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	20	15	2	9	4	2	NAICS2007
2010	22	17	5	9	3	2	NAICS2007
2011	20	16	5	9	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	20	16	5	9	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	21	17	4	11	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	22	18	5	12	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	19	15	3	11	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	18	14	3	10	1	2	NAICS2012
2017	16	12	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	17	13	—	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	13	—	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	10	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 48225. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
48224	2.0 mi	27	2023
48021	2.1 mi	44	2023
48236	2.2 mi	65	2023
48080	2.5 mi	59	2023
48205	2.7 mi	26	2023
48089	3.8 mi	46	2023
48230	3.9 mi	41	2023
48081	4.2 mi	25	2023
48213	4.4 mi	19	2023
48215	4.6 mi	17	2023
48066	4.8 mi	100	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.