BMIE Market 55071

Washington County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,719 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±97 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,473 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±269 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,569 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,201 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$100,798 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,148 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,171 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±389 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$267,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,728 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55071
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+66.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-16.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+0.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 3–7) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.25) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55071. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.25, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70.5	70	40%	+28.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78.7	79	35%	+27.5
Market Momentum Score	75.7	76	25%	+18.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,719	63	40%	+25.0
Median household income (ACS)	100,798	81	40%	+32.6
Households (ACS)	2,473	64	20%	+12.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	35%	+30.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.7	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	5,719	63	20%	+12.5
Median household income (ACS)	100,798	81	20%	+16.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	66.7	93	50%	+46.5
10-year restaurant growth	66.7	87	30%	+26.2
20-year restaurant growth	-16.7	15	20%	+2.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

American 3 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 5 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
328 Grill	Casual dining · Bar		328 Broadway Ave	open
Broadway Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	244 Broadway Ave	open
Carbone's Pizzeria Carbone's Minneapolis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	301 Broadway Ave	open
Club Karizma	Bar		1453 Summit Ave	open
Franke's Corner Bar	Bar		304 Broadway Ave	open
Harborside Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		388 9th Ave	open
Kp Cafe & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)		335 Broadway Ave	open
Lana, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 Broadway Ave	open
Mik Mart Ice Cream	Dessert · Food truck	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	531 Broadway Ave	open
Park Cafe	Café · Casual dining	Coffee · American	335 Broadway Ave	open
Park Place Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		200 Broadway Ave	open
Richard Dingle Post 98 Building Corp	Restaurant (service type not stated)		328 Broadway Ave	open
Super Mom's	Bakery	Bakery	625 2nd St	open
Tavern 829 at Hidden Harbor Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	388 9th Ave West	open
Whiskey Creek BBQ	Food truck · Catering	BBQ	328 Broadway Ave	open
Willies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Pizza	388 9th Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	5	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	6	2	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	6	2	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	5	2	2	—	—	3	NAICS1997
1999	6	2	2	—	—	4	NAICS1997
2000	7	4	3	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	6	3	2	1	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	7	5	4	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	6	3	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	7	5	3	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	5	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	5	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	5	2	2	—	—	3	NAICS2002
2008	4	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	5	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2007
2011	4	2	2	—	—	2	NAICS2007
2012	5	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS2012
2013	5	3	3	—	—	2	NAICS2012
2014	6	4	4	—	—	2	NAICS2012
2015	6	4	4	—	—	2	NAICS2012
2016	6	4	4	—	—	2	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	5	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55071. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55076	1.9 mi	29	2023
55016	3.2 mi	34	2023
55055	3.7 mi	4	2023
55077	3.9 mi	7	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.