BMIE Market 55076
Dakota County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,374 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±944 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,552 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±449 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 21,323 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,115 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $93,847 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 44.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,374 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±156 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $323,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,485 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 9.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55076 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 14.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -6.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +61.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +383.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 27 (range 24–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.39) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55076. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.39, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.6 | 81 | 40% | +32.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 53.4 | 53 | 35% | +18.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.2 | 41 | 25% | +10.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,374 | 82 | 40% | +33.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,847 | 77 | 40% | +30.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,552 | 85 | 20% | +16.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.5 | 20 | 35% | +7.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 13.6 | 58 | 25% | +14.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,374 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 93,847 | 77 | 20% | +15.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 0 | 42 | 50% | +20.9 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -6.5 | 20 | 30% | +6.1 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 61.1 | 71 | 20% | +14.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (63)
By cuisine
Pizza 10 · American 9 · Coffee 5 · Mexican 5 · Burgers 4 · Dessert 4 · Asian 3 · Chinese 3 · Japanese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Vietnamese 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Bar 13 · Casual dining 9 · Quick service 9 · Dessert 6 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Bakery 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 Beer | Bar | 6530 Cahill Ave E | open | |
| A&W Restaurants A&W Restaurants | Quick service | Burgers · American | 9061 Buchanan Trail | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5855 Blaine Avenue | open |
| Ashton Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6449 Concord Blvd | open | |
| Baja Sol Restaurant Group, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2922 Upper 55th St | open | |
| Baja Sol-corporate Office | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5786 Blackshire Path | open | |
| Bb Burger Ventures Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5639 Bishop Ave | open | |
| Bella Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6550 Cahill Ave | open |
| Cahill Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6504 Cahill Ave | open |
| Carbone's Pizzeria Carbone's Minneapolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6432 Cahill Ave | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9008 Cahill Ave | open |
| Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5763 Blaine Ave | open |
| Celts Pub | Bar | 6559 Concord Blvd | open | |
| Charley Cat Chicken Mallards Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern · Seafood · American | 5681 Blaine Ave | open |
| China Delight | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 5800 Cahill Ave | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5697 Blaine Ave | open |
| Chocolate Dash | Dessert | Dessert | 5802 Blackshire Path | open |
| Cuppa More Pages | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7826 Cahill Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6655 Cahill Ave E | open |
| Delgado Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6550 Cahill Ave | open | |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 6635 Cahill Ave | open |
| Don Papi Chulo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7834 Cahill Ave | open |
| Drac's Pub and Restaurant | Bar · Casual dining | 6710 Cahill Ave E | open | |
| Drifters Bar & Grill | Bar | 4455 64th St E | open | |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Quick service | 6800 Cahill Avenue | open | |
| Dunn Bros Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 9092 Buchanan Trl | open |
| E & S Sweet Treats | Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Dessert · Coffee | 3056 65th St E | open |
| Hangry Joe's Hot Chicken & Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 9043 Broderick Blvd | open |
| Hometown Sweets | Dessert | Dessert | 3045 80th St E | open |
| Inver Grove Brewing Co | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 9051 Buchanan Trail | open | |
| iPho 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Asian | 6508 Cahill Ave | open |
| J's Fish and Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6550 Cahill Ave | open | |
| Jersey's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6449 Concord Blvd | open |
| La Dulceria Pinatas y Mas | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 3058 65th St E | open |
| Lakeville Burger Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5639 Bishop Ave | open | |
| Little Asia Bowl | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Chinese · Vietnamese · Asian | 3035 80th St E | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6485 Cahill Ave E | open |
| Los Portales Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 5816 Blaine Ave E | open |
| Lw's Bierstube | Bar | 6434 Cahill Ave | open | |
| M And Z Food Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6504 Cahill Ave | open | |
| M And Z Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6504 Cahill Ave | open | |
| Majors Sports Cafe | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 5639 Bishop Ave | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 3075 80th St E | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5760 Cahill Ave | open |
| Mississippi Pub | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 4455 66th St E | open |
| Old World Pizza Pizza Pub of Pine city | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual · Casual dining · Bar | Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5660 Bishop Ave | open |
| Outback Steakhouse Outback Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · American | 5723 Bishop Ave | open |
| Overboard Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4455 64th St E | open | |
| PAD THAI & SUSHI RESTAURANT Thai•Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Sushi · Japanese | 5800 Cahill Ave | open |
| Papa John's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7834 Cahill Ave | open |
| Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9034 Cahill Ave | open |
| Peterson Popcorn | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3045 80th St E | open |
| Pizza Man | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6508 Cahill Ave | open |
| Rincon Mexicano | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6500 Cahill Ave E | open |
| Ruby Tuesday | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 9051 Buchanon Trl | open |
| Snowfox Inver Grove Heights | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Japanese · Sushi · Bakery | 7850 Cahill Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9061 Broderick Blvd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6555 Cahill Ave | open |
| Super Wok | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 9030 Cahill Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Girasol | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6550 Cahill Ave E | open |
| Tono Pizzeria + Cheesesteaks Tono Pizzeria + Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Sandwiches · Italian | 5751 Blaine Ave E | open |
| Turitto's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6611 Concord Blvd | open |
| El Loro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5681 Blaine Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 10 | 6 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 10 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 15 | 13 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 30 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 14 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 39 | 35 | 13 | 20 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 31 | 13 | 16 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 17 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 17 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 34 | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 33 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 31 | 15 | 12 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 28 | 15 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 29 | 14 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2022 |