BMIE Market 55075

Dakota County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,467 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±289 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,152 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,667 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$88,386 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,878 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,199 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$281,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,165 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	24 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55075
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+26.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+4.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+9.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–26) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55075. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	78.0	78	40%	+31.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71.2	71	35%	+24.9
Market Momentum Score	66.6	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,714	82	40%	+32.8
Median household income (ACS)	88,386	72	40%	+28.7
Households (ACS)	8,467	82	20%	+16.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	26.3	69	35%	+24.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.6	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	20,714	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	88,386	72	20%	+14.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	26.3	69	30%	+20.6
20-year restaurant growth	4.4	37	20%	+7.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (43)

By cuisine

American 12 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Chinese 3 · Pizza 3 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Steakhouse 2 · African 1 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Japanese 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 28 · Casual dining 8 · Bar 7 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Food truck 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
$5 pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1158 Southview Blvd	open
Al's Corral Bar	Casual dining · Bar		440 Concord St S	open
Amna Enterprises Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		501 Farwell Ave	open
Angelos Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Pizza · Italian · American	100 7th Ave S	open
Black Sheep Coffee Cafe Black Sheep Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	705 Southview Blvd	open
Bourbon Street Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	200 Concord Exchange N # N	open
Brother’s Café & Grill at Stockmen’s	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Breakfast · Bakery	501 Farwell Ave	open
Bugg's Place	Bar · Casual dining		925 Concord St N	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	100 Grand Ave E	open
Crunchy Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1158 Southview Blvd	open
Dairy Queen Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	Dairy Queen Ltd Brazier 602 Southview Blvd	open
Dairy Queen	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1443 Concord St S	open
Drover's Inn & Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	701 Concord St S	open
El Hornito Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1527 5th Ave S	open
El Jibarito Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		901 Southview Blvd	open
Ernie’s Ice Cream LLC	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		South St. Paul High School, 700 2nd St N	open
Famfare Kitchen	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1539 5th Ave S	open
Hilltop International Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mediterranean · African	417 Marie Ave	open
Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Japanese · Asian	231 13th Ave S	open
Hype Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	613 Marie Ave	open
Joe's Whitetail Saloon	Bar			open
Johnny The Hub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1443 Concord St S	open
Lakeside Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Greek	214 13th Ave S	open
Magnolia Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	421 Marie Ave	open
Michelandia Bar and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	600 Concord St N	open
National Choice Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	130 Hardman Ave S	open
Nick's	Bar		432 Concord Exchange S	open
Peking Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Coffee	1521 5th Ave S	open
Petey's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	BBQ · American	1519 5th Ave S	open
PNA Lodge 1033	Bar		622 1st Ave S	open
Quik Sub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	214 13th Ave S	open
Rusty Moose Bakeshop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1539 5th Ave S	open
Soul Insane 22	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	644 4th Ave S	open
Stockmen's Truck Stop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	501 Farwell Ave #2	open
Stockyards Tavern & Chophouse	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	456 Concord Exchange S	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	166 N Concord Exchange	open
Sunlight	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	100 7th Ave S	open
The Coop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	157 3rd Ave S	open
The Cozy Coop Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	427 18th Ave N	open
VFW 295	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		111 Concord Exchange S	open
Wellness Cafe	Café	Coffee	1025 Southview Blvd	open
wishFULL	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	229 13th Ave S	open
El Nuevo 7 Mares	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	600 Concord St N	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	22	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	27	21	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	29	25	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	32	28	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	28	22	10	12	—	5	NAICS1997
1999	30	24	10	14	—	5	NAICS1997
2000	32	27	13	13	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	30	25	11	12	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	34	28	11	14	3	4	NAICS1997
2003	29	23	8	13	2	5	NAICS2002
2004	32	24	8	13	3	7	NAICS2002
2005	32	24	8	14	2	7	NAICS2002
2006	30	24	9	13	2	6	NAICS2002
2007	29	23	8	13	2	6	NAICS2002
2008	28	21	7	12	2	6	NAICS2007
2009	28	22	8	12	2	5	NAICS2007
2010	27	21	8	12	1	5	NAICS2007
2011	24	19	6	12	1	4	NAICS2007
2012	24	20	6	12	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	25	19	6	11	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	25	19	6	12	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	21	16	4	11	1	4	NAICS2012
2016	22	18	5	12	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	23	18	4	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	25	20	7	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	25	20	6	12	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	26	21	6	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	25	19	5	13	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	26	20	6	12	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	28	24	8	15	—	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55075. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55055	2.3 mi	4	2023
55118	2.9 mi	60	2023
55107	3.5 mi	15	2023
55076	3.8 mi	29	2023
55119	4.0 mi	33	2023
55106	4.8 mi	63	2023
55101	4.9 mi	41	2023
55102	4.9 mi	74	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.