BMIE Market 55107
Ramsey County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 15,377 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,129 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,037 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±392 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 14,776 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,704 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $74,531 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,862 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,371 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $269,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,278 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55107 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 12.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -31.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 15 (range 11–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.14) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 60 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55107. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.14, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 60 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.0 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.8 | 57 | 35% | +19.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 50.2 | 50 | 25% | +12.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 15,377 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,531 | 54 | 40% | +21.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,037 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.8 | 73 | 25% | +18.3 |
| Population (ACS) | 15,377 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 74,531 | 54 | 20% | +10.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.1 | 64 | 50% | +32.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 7.1 | 38 | 20% | +7.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
Mexican 12 · Coffee 8 · Latin American (other) 8 · Dessert 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Middle Eastern 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Filipino 1 · Italian 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arepa Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 84 Wabasha St S | open |
| Babani's Kurdish Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Middle Eastern | 32 Fillmore Ave E | open |
| Black Market StP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 120 Plato Blvd W | open |
| Boca Chica Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 11 Cesar Chavez St | open | |
| Boca Chica Restaurante Mexicano y Cantina Boca Chica Restaurante y Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other) | 11 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| Boca Chica Taco House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 407 Wabasha St S | open |
| Bootstrap Coffee Backstory Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 432 Wabasha St S | open |
| Bread Coffee & Cake | Coffee shop | Coffee | 385 Wabasha St S | open |
| Brown & Bigelow Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 345 Plato Blvd E | open |
| Café Milagro | Coffee shop | Coffee | 197 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| Capital View Cafe and Catering | Café | Middle Eastern · Coffee | 637 Smith Ave S | open |
| Carbone's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 193 Robert St S | open |
| Catrinas Cerveza & Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 84 Wabasha St S Ste 3 | open |
| CORA'S BEST CHICKEN WINGS | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Filipino · Chicken / wings | 168 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| Crasqui Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 84 Wabasha St S #3 | open |
| Don Panchos Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Mexican | 140 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| El 7 Mares | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 201 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| El Burrito Mercado | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 175 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| EL CHARRITO TAQUERÍA | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 168 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| El Rincon Chalateco Restaurants | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 201 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| Gorditas Estilo Durango | Quick service | Mexican | 222 Congress St E | open |
| Grumpy Steve's Coffee | Café | Coffee | 215 Wabasha St S | open |
| Holman's Table | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 644 Bayfield St | open |
| I Heart Mac & Cheese | Dessert | Dessert | 429 Wabasha St S | open |
| Icy Cup | Dessert · Coffee shop | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Coffee | 63 George St W | open |
| Joseph's Coffee and Donuts | Coffee shop · Dessert · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert | 736 Oakdale Ave | open |
| Joseph's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 140 Wabasha St S | open | |
| La Costa Mexican Sports Bar & Grill | Bar · Casual dining | Mexican | 194 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| La Oficina Bar | Bar | 202 Cesar Chavez St | open | |
| Le Fresuchii Neveria Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 197 Cesar Chavez St | open |
| Mazatlan | Bar | 567 Stryker Ave | open | |
| Michael's Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 441 Robert St S | open | |
| Michael's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 441 S Robert St | open |
| Milly's Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 421 Wabasha St S | open |
| Ms. Beehaven's Brittle | Dessert | 285 George St W | open | |
| New Adventures, Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 273 W Lafayette Frontage Rd | open | |
| Ole Mexican Foods Ole Mexican Foods | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 314 Chester St #370 | open |
| Papa Legba Lounge | Bar | 202 Cesar Chavez St | open | |
| Payshee's Popcorn | Food truck | 469 Hall Ave | open | |
| Premier Management Llc Dba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 194 Cesar Chavez St | open | |
| Pupuseria & Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 201 Cesar Chavez St | open | |
| Shadey's Bar | Bar | 674 Dodd Rd | open | |
| St Paul Flatbread Co | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 439 S Robert St | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 84 Wabasha St S Ste 2 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 124 Wabasha Street, South | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 221 S Robert St, St Paul, MN 55107 | open |
| Surelab Superior Research Laboratories | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 150 Eaton St | open | |
| Taco N Madre Taqueria Y Cevicheria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 63 Winifred St W | open |
| Taco N Madre taqueria y cevicheria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 63 Winfred st w | open |
| Timber Lodge Steakhouse, Inc. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 380 E Lafayette Frontage Rd Ste 110 | open | |
| Wabasha Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 429 Wabasha St S | open | |
| Wabasha Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 32 Fillmore Ave E | open |
| Backstreet Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 195 Robert St S | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 29 | 22 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 18 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 16 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 23 | 18 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 24 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 28 | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 24 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 24 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 20 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 25 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 16 | 11 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 15 | 9 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |