BMIE Market 55417
Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 25,102 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,324 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 10,860 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±451 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 24,875 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,247 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $126,261 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,647 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 41.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,420 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $382,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,545 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 4.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55417 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +15.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +21.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +27.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +43.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 24 (range 19–28) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55417. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 88.4 | 88 | 40% | +35.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 76.8 | 77 | 35% | +26.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 65.9 | 66 | 25% | +16.5 |
Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 25,102 | 85 | 40% | +34.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,261 | 92 | 40% | +36.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 10,860 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.1 | 64 | 35% | +22.5 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 9.2 | 75 | 25% | +18.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 25,102 | 85 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 126,261 | 92 | 20% | +18.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 15 | 73 | 50% | +36.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 21.1 | 64 | 30% | +19.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 27.8 | 51 | 20% | +10.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (48)
By cuisine
American 11 · Mexican 6 · Coffee 5 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Burgers 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Vegan 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 9 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Tiers | Bakery | Bakery | 5011 34th Ave S | open |
| 5-8 Club 5-8 Club | Casual dining · Bar | Burgers · American | 5800 Cedar Ave S | open |
| Adrian's Tavern | Bar | 4812 Chicago Ave | open | |
| Asa's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery · American | 5011 34th Ave S | open |
| Berry Sweet Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 5406 S 34th Ave | open |
| Cap's Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5000 Hiawatha Ave | open | |
| Crema | Coffee shop · Dessert · Café | Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5013 S 34th Ave | open |
| Dairy Queen Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6014 S Portland Ave 6014 S Portland Ave | open |
| Dominguez Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 3313 E 50th St | open |
| El Burrito Restaurante y Cantina, Mpls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4820 Chicago Ave | open |
| Fat Lorenzos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5600 Cedar Ave | open |
| First Course | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 5607 Chicago Ave S | open |
| Frank's Italian Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 5605 Chicago Ave S | open |
| Fusion Pancake House and Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café | Coffee · American | 5001 S 34th Ave | open |
| Godfathers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5099 Hwy 55 | open |
| Grande Sunrise Seafood And Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5554 34th Ave S | open |
| Guava's Cuban Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cuban · Latin American (other) · Caribbean | 5607 Chicago Ave S | open |
| Heather's | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 5201 Chicago Ave | open |
| Herbie Butcher's Fried Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vegan | 735 E 48th St | open |
| Hippo Pockets Hippo Pockets | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 735 E 48th St | open |
| Hot Plate | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 5204 Bloomington Ave | open |
| Huie's Chow Mein | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 5358 Chicago Ave | open |
| Las Teresitas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5744 34th Ave S | open |
| Mel-O-Glaze Bakery | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 4800 S 28th Ave | open |
| Nokomis Beach Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 4956 28th Ave S | open |
| Nokomis Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5155 Bloomington Ave | open | |
| Pepitos Tex-Mex Bar & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Sandwiches | 4820 Chicago Ave | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4800 Chicago Ave Hennepin | open |
| Pizza Hut | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5004 34Th Ave S | open |
| Plucky Pickle Dip | Restaurant (service type not stated) | open | ||
| Rick's Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5402 43rd Ave S | open |
| Rooster's Coop | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | SOUTHSIDE | open | |
| Sandcastle | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 4955 W Lake Nokomis Pkwy | open |
| Sassy Spoon | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 5011 34th Ave S | open |
| Sea Salt Eatery | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Seafood | 4825 Minnehaha Ave | open |
| Singapore | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5554 34th Ave S | open |
| Sovereign Grounds | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 813 E 48th St | open |
| Stonegarden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 5401 Chicago Ave | open |
| Sum Dem Korean BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Korean · BBQ | 735 E 48th St | open |
| Tacos Tacuba | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 5748 S 34th Ave | open |
| The Creekside Supper Club | Casual dining · Bar | American | 4820 Chicago Ave | open |
| The Sidecar at the Tap | Bar | 4810 Chicago Ave S | open | |
| The Tipsy Steer Hiawatha The Tipsy Steer | Casual dining · Bar | American | 5000 Hiawatha Ave | open |
| Town Hall Tap | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 4810 Chicago Ave | open | |
| Vegan East | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery · Vegetarian | 5501 S 34th Ave | open |
| Wings Pizza Co | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5501 S 34th Ave, 5501 S 34th Ave | open | |
| Qc Pizza - Minneapolis | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5501 34th Ave S | closed |
| Tacos Lupita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5748 34th Ave S | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 16 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 20 | 18 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 20 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 22 | 21 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 22 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 23 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 24 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 23 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 25 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 23 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 23 | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 23 | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 23 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 21 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 22 | 19 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 24 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 25 | 23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |