BMIE Market 55419

Hennepin County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,738 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,619 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,947 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±562 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	26,406 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,202 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$148,350 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,721 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,609 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$495,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,938 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	4.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	36 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 55419
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+111.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+157.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	39 (range 34–44) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 55419. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.7	92	40%	+36.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.0	75	35%	+26.3
Market Momentum Score	47.3	47	25%	+11.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,738	89	40%	+35.5
Median household income (ACS)	148,350	96	40%	+38.4
Households (ACS)	11,947	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.1	64	25%	+16.0
Population (ACS)	29,738	89	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	148,350	96	20%	+19.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5.3	22	50%	+11.2
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	111.8	85	20%	+17.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (86)

By cuisine

American 13 · Coffee 10 · Mexican 10 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 7 · Latin American (other) 7 · Chinese 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Dessert 4 · Italian 4 · Asian 3 · BBQ 3 · French 3 · Breakfast 2 · British / Irish pub food 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · European 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Peruvian 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 60 · Bar 10 · Café 8 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
50th Street Malt Shop Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		809 W 50th St	open
Amazing Momo: Tibetan Dumpling Delight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	6024 Penn Ave S	open
Beek's King of Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5336 Lyndale Ave S	open
Best Steak House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	5455 Nicollet Ave	open
Blackbird Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	815 W 50th St	open
Boom Island Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5000 S Newton Ave	open
Brasa Premium Rotisserie Brasa Rotisserie	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American · Caribbean	812 W 46th St	open
Broders' Pork & Piccata	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Sandwiches	2221 50th St W	open
Broders’ Pasta Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Noodles / ramen / pho	5000 Penn Ave S	open
Café Maude	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	5411 Penn Ave S	open
Caribou Coffee Caribou Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	4606 Nicollet Ave	open
Casa Marianna	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
Chelas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4751 Nicollet Ave	open
Chez Annalise	Bakery	Bakery	6001 S Lyndale Ave	open
Cintia's Of Mexico Bar And Rest. Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6042 Nicollet Ave	open
classic catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	403 W 60th St	open
Colita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican · Latin American (other)	5400 Penn Ave S	open
Corner Table	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4537 Nicollet Ave	open
Devjam Studios	Restaurant (service type not stated)		818 W 46th St	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	5957 Penn Ave S	open
Driftwood	Bar · Casual dining		4415 Nicollet Ave	open
El Asador	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4750 Grand Ave S	open
El Jefe Cocina & Bar Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5309 Lyndale Ave S	open
Em Company Services Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4415 Nicollet Ave	open
Ena	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	4601 Grand Ave S	open
Fast Eddie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4747 Nicollet Ave	open
FreeStyle Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert	5315 Lyndale Ave S	open
Fresh Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4610 Nicollet Ave	open
George and the Dragon	Bar · Casual dining	British / Irish pub food	813 W 50th St	open
High Five Bakery	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	5540 Garfield Ave	open
INTI Kitchen & Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		4537 Nicollet Ave	open
Itasca Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	Terminal 1, Concourse B	open
Jack's Food Coffee Drink	Coffee shop	Coffee	818 W 46th St	open
Kings Wine Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	4555 Grand Ave S	open
Kwan's Chinese Cuisine On Penn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	5412 Penn Ave S	open
La Chaya Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4537 Nicollet Ave	open
La Estancia Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Steakhouse	4751 Nicollet Ave	open
La Fresca - Nouveau Mexican Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4750 Grand Ave S	open
Lake Harriet Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5009 Penn Ave S	open
Mac's Fish	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Seafood	610 W 54th St	open
Mixcakes & Bakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5825 Logan Ave S	open
Mmm.MaltShop	Restaurant (service type not stated)		809 W 50th St	open
Neighborhood Foods Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5325 Lyndale Ave S	open
Nico’s Taco & Tequila Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4959 Penn Ave S	open
Norseman Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		4915 S Dupont Ave	open
North Star Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	315 W 46th St	open
Olivera's Authentic Mexican Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican	5412 Lyndale Ave S	open
Orale Mexican Eats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5447 Nicollet Ave	open
Orange Parachute	Bar		4801 Nicollet Ave Ste A	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4618 Nicollet Ave	open
Patisserie 46	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · French · Dessert	4552 Grand Ave S	open
Patrick's Bakery & Cafe Patrick's Bakery & Cafe at Bachman's on Lyndale	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	6010 Lyndale Ave S	open
Patty Wagon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Sandwiches	6042 Nicollet Ave	open
Pierre's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	2221 W 50th St	open
Pizza Italia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4743 Nicollet Ave	open
Prima	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	5325 Lyndale Ave S	open
Q-Fanatic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	6009 Nicollet Ave	open
Red Wagon Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian · American	5416 Penn Ave S	open
Revival Smoked Meats	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4537 Nicollet Ave	open
Saturday Dumpling Co	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	5401 Penn Ave S	open
Scott Ja-Mama's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3 W Diamond Lake Rd	open
Shortwave Coffee Shortwave Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	824 W 50th St	open
Somos Peru	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian	6009 Nicollet Ave	open
Sparrow Cafe	Café	Coffee	5001 Penn Ave S	open
St. Genevieve	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	5003 Bryant Ave S	open
St. Paul Bagelry	Bakery	Bakery	5426 Nicollet Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	5351 Lyndale Ave S	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	5317 Lyndale Ave S	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4622 Nicollet Ave S	open
Sun Street Breads	Bakery	Bakery	4600 Nicollet Ave	open
Tailgate Sports Cafe	Bar · Casual dining		6050 Nicollet Ave	open
Tap Society	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar		4555 Grand Ave S	open
Taqueria A toda máquina 1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6020 Nicollet Ave	open
Thai Pepper	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	5455 Nicollet Ave	open
The Hyderabad Indian Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	6009 Nicollet Ave	open
The Lynn On Bryant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5003 Bryant Ave S	open
The Roastery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	616 W 54th St	open
Tinto Cocina + Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas · Latin American (other)	4959 Penn Ave S	open
Toppers Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5447 Nicollet Ave	open
Whole Sum Cafe + Juice Bar	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · American	824 W 50th St	open
Wild Mind Ales	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Coffee shop · Brewery / taproom	Coffee	6031 Pillsbury Ave S	open
Wise Acre Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	5401 Nicollet Ave	open
Xin Wong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4749 Nicollet Ave	open
Yong Xing Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4749 Nicollet Ave	open
C&G's Smoking Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4743 Nicollet Ave	closed
Lucky Oven Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	5401 Penn Ave S	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	19	19	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	18	17	5	8	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	22	20	6	10	3	—	NAICS1997
2000	19	16	8	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	21	17	9	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	21	17	7	7	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	21	17	8	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	26	22	10	8	4	—	NAICS2002
2005	26	23	11	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	24	21	10	8	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	28	25	12	8	5	1	NAICS2002
2008	28	26	13	9	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	30	27	15	9	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	33	30	18	9	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	34	31	18	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	35	31	17	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	34	30	16	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	35	31	17	11	3	—	NAICS2012
2015	36	31	15	13	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	40	34	19	11	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	39	33	17	11	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	44	38	21	12	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	42	36	21	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	43	38	21	10	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	40	35	20	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	31	16	9	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	40	36	18	11	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 55419. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
55410	1.5 mi	38	2023
55409	1.7 mi	23	2023
55423	2.0 mi	61	2023
55417	2.6 mi	23	2023
55407	2.6 mi	73	2023
55408	2.6 mi	144	2023
55424	2.8 mi	19	2023
55435	3.2 mi	60	2023
55450	3.7 mi	5	2023
55406	4.0 mi	58	2023
55416	4.0 mi	63	2023
55404	4.1 mi	53	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.