BMIE Market 56303
Stearns County, Minnesota · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 25,827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,224 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 11,184 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±578 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 25,984 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 11,528 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $65,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,315 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $927 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±54 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $205,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,019 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 11.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 56303 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 6.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +46.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +57.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +83.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 22 (range 18–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.36) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 86 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 56303. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.36, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Minnesota and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 715, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 67.5 | 68 | 40% | +27.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 74.5 | 74 | 35% | +26.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 86.4 | 86 | 25% | +21.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 25,827 | 86 | 40% | +34.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,198 | 39 | 40% | +15.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 11,184 | 88 | 20% | +17.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 57.1 | 86 | 35% | +29.9 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.5 | 78 | 25% | +19.5 |
| Population (ACS) | 25,827 | 86 | 20% | +17.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 65,198 | 39 | 20% | +7.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 86 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 46.7 | 89 | 50% | +44.3 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 57.1 | 86 | 30% | +25.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 100 | 82 | 20% | +16.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (43)
By cuisine
Coffee 10 · American 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Caribbean 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Pizza 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 18 · Café 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Quick service 8 · Bar 7 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AHTA Cakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5635 W Oakes Dr | open |
| B-Side Indie Music Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee | 27 7th Ave N | open |
| Benoit Distributing | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1220 32nd Ave N | open | |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 3701 W Division St #111 Ste. 111 West Pointe Centre | open |
| Certain New | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 15851 33rd St NW | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1708 Crossing Loop | open |
| Club DOA Hole | Bar | 10th Ave N | open | |
| Daily Dough Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 1512 Cypress Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 5801 Ridgewood Rd. Suite 3 | open |
| Dunn Brothers Coffee - Closed | Café | Coffee | 71 County Road 120 Ste 400 | open |
| Energy Blend | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 101 County Rd 120 Suite 600 | open |
| Erin’s Oven | Bakery | Bakery | 4254 Sauk Dr | open |
| Fabiola Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 3306 3rd St N Ste 101-102 | open |
| Frugals | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 50 County Road 120 | open | |
| Hardee’s | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Sandwiches | 151 County Road 120 | open |
| Hong Kong Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 37 33rd Ave N | open |
| Howie's Sports Bar and Grill | Bar | American | 101 9th Ave N | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 101 County Rd 120 Ste. 100 | open |
| Jimmy Z's Food Truck | Food truck | American · Sandwiches | 32173 CR-1 | open |
| JJ Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Sushi · Japanese · Asian | 2104 8th St N | open |
| Kinder Coffee | Coffee shop | Coffee | 203 Cooper Ave N | open |
| Korppi Coffee + Bakeshop | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 71 County Rd 120 | open |
| Lily's Wings, Burgers & Things | Food truck | Burgers · Chicken / wings | 129 7th Ave N | open |
| Lily's Wings, Burgers, & Things | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1501 Northway Dr | open |
| Mr. Twisty | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 5821 Ridgewood Rd | open |
| MT's on 8th | Casual dining · Bar | 2022 Veterans Dr | open | |
| Muggsy's Beans | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 99 Osseo Ave N | open |
| New York Gyro 3rd Street New York Gyro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean · Middle Eastern · Greek | 3316 3rd St N | open |
| Oblivion Coffeebar | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 27 7th Ave N | open |
| Pantown Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 408 37th Ave N | open | |
| Riverfront Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1406 6th Ave N | open |
| Rt And Pt 3 Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 905 County Road 4 | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1608 Crossing Loop | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 905 County Road 4 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 1501 Northway Dr | open |
| Taco John's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 25 9th Ave N | open |
| The Pantown Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom · Café | Coffee | 3318 3rd St N | open |
| The Place | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 413 9th Ave N | open |
| Tool Shed | Bar | open | ||
| Vfw 428 | Bar | 9 18th Ave N | open | |
| Visit 77 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean | 1000 County Road 134 | open |
| Waamo Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3419 3rd St N | open |
| Waffle It | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Breakfast | 2018 Veterans Dr | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 15 | 12 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 19 | 15 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 18 | 14 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 16 | 12 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 17 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 19 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 19 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 20 | 17 | 5 | 11 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 10 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 19 | 15 | 3 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 14 | — | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 18 | — | 14 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 26 | 21 | 4 | 15 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |