BMIE Market 60071

McHenry County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	3,851 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±86 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,843 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,598 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,666 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$74,426 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,600 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,242 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±104 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$331,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±49,462 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	24.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60071
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	30.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 17–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.77) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60071. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.77, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.2	56	40%	+22.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.0	51	35%	+17.8
Market Momentum Score	66.0	66	25%	+16.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	3,851	56	40%	+22.5
Median household income (ACS)	74,426	54	40%	+21.7
Households (ACS)	1,843	60	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	41.6	13	25%	+3.2
Population (ACS)	3,851	56	20%	+11.3
Median household income (ACS)	74,426	54	20%	+10.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	45.5	61	20%	+12.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

American 7 · Coffee 5 · Italian 4 · Breakfast 3 · Steakhouse 3 · Bakery 2 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Bakery 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ace's Gaming and Bar	Bar		9307 US-12	open
Anderson's Candy Shop	Dessert	Dessert	10301 N Main St	open
Big G's Sports Bar & Gaming	Bar		10331 N Main St	open
Brüchachos	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	10310 N Main St B	open
Cubby Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	8609 US-12	open
Cubby Hole Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	10713 N Main St	open
Dilar Restaurant	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	8704 US-12	open
Doyle's Pub	Bar		5604 Mill St	open
Doyle's Pub. Richmond IL	Bar		5604 Mill St (corner of Rte 12 & Mill)	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	10909 North Main Street, Unit A	open
Granny's Diner	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	11302 US-12	open
Granny's Diner Of Richmond	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	11302 US-12	open
International House of Wine and Cheese and American Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Breakfast	11302 US Highway 12	open
J W Platek's	Casual dining	American	8609 US Highway 12	open
Jamie's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11302 N Main St	open
Joy Gaming Cafe	Café	Coffee	10007 N Main St	open
Keystone Printing Graphics Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11302 US Highway 12	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10607 N Main St	open
Olive Black Lounge	Bar		5607 Broadway St	open
Paisano's On Broadway Italian Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Steakhouse	5614 Broadway St	open
Papa Saverio's Papa Saverios of Huntley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	5600 Kenosha St	open
Red Dogs Sandwiches	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Hot dogs	11011 US-12	open
Richmond BratHaus	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers	10310 N Main St	open
Richmond Cafe	Café	Coffee · American	10321 N Main St	open
Richmond Dog N Suds	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	11015 N Main St	open
Rosati's Pizza Rosati's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10004 N Main St	open
Seaside Prime Steak & Seafood by Paisano's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · Italian · Seafood · Sandwiches · Middle Eastern	5628 Broadway Rd	open
Studio Hotrods Smokehouse	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · Steakhouse	4118 US-12	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	5600 Kenosha St Unit C	open
Sweet Angeline's Bake Shop - Gourmet Café	Bakery	Bakery	5626 Broadway St	open
Sweets & Bean Ice Cream Parlor	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	10315 N Main St	open
Szechwan Palace Richmond	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	5600 Kenosha St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	10710 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	11	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS1997
1999	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	12	11	5	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	4	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	10	4	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	15	11	5	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	15	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2002
2008	14	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	14	11	7	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	6	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	13	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	7	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	16	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	18	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	18	15	5	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	14	6	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	18	15	5	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	21	16	6	7	3	4	NAICS2022
2023	21	16	6	8	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 60071. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
53128	4.3 mi	10	2023
60072	4.3 mi	3	2021
60081	4.7 mi	13	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.