BMIE Market 60081
McHenry County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 9,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±404 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 3,335 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±249 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 10,079 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 3,712 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $116,706 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,917 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,201 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±207 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $355,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,016 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 19.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 60081 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 9.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -27.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +30.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +85.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +225.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 20 (range 15–25) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 42 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 60081. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 77.1 | 77 | 40% | +30.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.4 | 70 | 35% | +24.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 41.7 | 42 | 25% | +10.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 9,088 | 69 | 40% | +27.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,706 | 89 | 40% | +35.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 3,335 | 68 | 20% | +13.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 35% | +24.8 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.3 | 55 | 25% | +13.8 |
| Population (ACS) | 9,088 | 69 | 20% | +13.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,706 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 42 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -27.8 | 9 | 50% | +4.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 30 | 71 | 30% | +21.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 85.7 | 78 | 20% | +15.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (36)
By cuisine
Pizza 5 · American 3 · Coffee 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Bar 15 · Casual dining 4 · Quick service 4 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Food truck 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andyland | Casual dining · Bar | 6712 Normandy Dr | open | |
| Baba Jeva's Gaming Food & Spirits | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2214 N US-12 | open | |
| Bacci Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2450 N US Highway 12 | open |
| Billy's Beef Hot Dogs | Quick service | Hot dogs · American | 2020 US-12 | open |
| Bricks & Ivy Sports Tavern | Bar · Casual dining | 2508 US-12 | open | |
| Casey's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2400 Us-12 | open |
| China City | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 1278 N US Highway 12 # 12 | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2450 US-12 Unit N | open |
| Drunken Parrot Tiki Lounge | Bar | open | ||
| Kari's Gaming Cafe | Café | Coffee | 2207 US-12 Ste F | open |
| Kay's Vending | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7706 Industrial Dr Ste G | open | |
| KC's Cabin | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 309 IL-173 | open | |
| Lakeview Place | Bar | 39151 N Jackson Dr | open | |
| Loaded Energy and Nutrition | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2450 N US-12 | open | |
| Lucky Bernie's Spring Grove | Bar | 2450 US-12,Unit C & D | open | |
| Magic Moon Gaming & Wine Bar | Bar | 2020 US-12 | open | |
| Maria's Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 2207 N US-12 | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 2451 Route 12 | open |
| Midwest Breakfast Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 2207 N US-12 | open |
| Most Valuable Pizza Mvp | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2450 N US Highway 12 | open |
| New China Taste | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2450 U S 12 Ste M | open | |
| Pratt Brewing Company | Brewery / taproom | 2025 Main Street Rd | open | |
| Route 12 Bar & Grill | Bar | 37540 N US Highway 12 | open | |
| Ruppenthal Management Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6817 State Park Rd | open | |
| Sams sip N go | Bar | 27970 W Greenwood Ave | open | |
| Saylor Mick's Pizza & Pub | Bar | Pizza | 2020 US-12 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2450 US Route 12 Unit A | open |
| Tammy's Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 6817 State Park Rd | open |
| The Cafe Connection | Coffee shop | Coffee | 7606 Industrial Dr | open |
| The Grove Pub & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2008 Main St Rd | open |
| The Lumberyard Bar & Eatery | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7701 Blivin St | open | |
| Tommy's Sports Pub | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2020 N US-12 | open | |
| Tropical Chill Ice Cream Truck | Dessert · Food truck | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 7705 Industrial Dr | open |
| Whiskey Waters | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7237 State Park Rd | open | |
| Wild Crab Boil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 2450 US-12 Unit I | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Bakery · Asian | 2401 US-12 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 5 | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 15 | 6 | 9 | — | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 22 | 18 | 11 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 17 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |