BMIE Market 62024
Madison County, Illinois · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 9,493 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±484 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,223 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±325 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 9,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 4,581 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $56,761 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,667 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 43.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $895 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±92 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $126,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,732 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 62024 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +7.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +7.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 18 (range 16–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.75) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 62024. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.75, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Illinois and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,016, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 52.1 | 52 | 40% | +20.8 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.5 | 56 | 35% | +19.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 64.8 | 65 | 25% | +16.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 9,493 | 70 | 40% | +28.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,761 | 24 | 40% | +9.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,223 | 72 | 20% | +14.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.3 | 69 | 35% | +24.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.8 | 54 | 25% | +13.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 9,493 | 70 | 20% | +14.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 56,761 | 24 | 20% | +4.9 |
Market Momentum Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 7.7 | 65 | 50% | +32.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 27.3 | 69 | 30% | +20.8 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 40 | 58 | 20% | +11.7 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (37)
By cuisine
American 6 · Bakery 4 · Mexican 4 · Pizza 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Coffee 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 11 · Casual dining 8 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 2 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Coffee shop 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airliner Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 573 E Airline Dr | open |
| B & R Cavern | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 325 W St Louis Ave | open | |
| Blue Ice Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 127 Eastgate Plz | open |
| Cafe Creations Ice Cream and More | Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 127 Eastgate Plaza | open |
| Casa Romero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 521 E Airline Dr | open |
| caydens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 16 Terminal Dr | open |
| Chico's Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 576 6th St | open |
| China Star Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 624 Berkshire Blvd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 341 W Saint Louis Ave | open |
| Don's No Man's Land Tavern | Bar | 610 E St Louis Ave | open | |
| Dugout Lounge | Bar | 99 S 9th St | open | |
| First Stop Bake Shop | Bakery | Bakery | 611 E Airline Dr | open |
| Food A Fare | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 139 Eastgate Plaza | open |
| Heather's Table | Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery | Juice / smoothies · Bakery | 611 E Airline Dr | open |
| High Flyers Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 16 Terminal Dr | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 614 Berkshire Blvd | open |
| Hunt Brothers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 740 E Airline Dr | open |
| Jillian's Sweet Treats | Dessert · Bakery | Dessert · Bakery | 241 Eastgate Plz | open |
| Joe's Pizza and Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar · Casual dining | 17 Eastgate Plz | open | |
| Kaden's Kickin' Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 113 East Dr | open |
| Little Four Tavern | Bar | 311 N Shamrock St | open | |
| Lucky Jack's | Bar | 100 Kingshighway | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 102 Niagara Ave | open |
| Mr Pancho's Mexican Restaurant and Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 119 East Gate Plaza | open |
| Pace Restaurant Group, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 16 Terminal Dr | open | |
| R & L Sports Bar | Bar · Casual dining | 525 E St Louis Ave | open | |
| Rosewood Café | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Breakfast | 961 E Airline Dr | open |
| Saucee Food Truck | Food truck · Delivery-focused | 100 E St Louis Ave | open | |
| Shortstop Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | 317 E St Louis Ave | open | |
| Sip & Play Wine and Gaming Cafe | Bar | 14 W Airline Dr | open | |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 103 Niagara Street | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 612 Berkshire Blvd | open |
| Sugar's Ice Cream | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 14 W Airline Dr | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 101 Niagara St. | open |
| Terry’s Tropical Sno - East Alton, IL | Dessert · Quick service | Dessert | Wilshire Plaza | open |
| The Salad Shop | Quick service · Fast casual | Healthy / salads / bowls · American | 217 E St Louis Ave | open |
| Three Crows Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 99 Eastgate Plz | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 20 | 13 | — | — | — | 7 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 21 | 13 | — | — | — | 8 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 16 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 20 | 15 | — | — | — | 5 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 21 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 19 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 4 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 6 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 19 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 6 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 7 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 7 | — | 5 | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 22 | 14 | 5 | 7 | — | 5 | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 22 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 6 | NAICS2022 |