BMIE Market 66209
Johnson County, Kansas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,413 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,316 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±571 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,561 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 8,445 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $143,393 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,351 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 46.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,577 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±96 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $598,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,008 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 66209 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -8.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -19.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +21.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 34 (range 29–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.2 per year, r² 0.08) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 24 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 66209. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.08, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Kansas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 462, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 87.3 | 87 | 40% | +34.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 52.1 | 52 | 35% | +18.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 23.7 | 24 | 25% | +5.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,413 | 82 | 40% | +32.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 143,393 | 95 | 40% | +38.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,316 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 52 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.1 | 14 | 35% | +5.0 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 16.7 | 47 | 25% | +11.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,413 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 143,393 | 95 | 20% | +19.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 24 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -8.1 | 20 | 50% | +10.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -19.1 | 14 | 30% | +4.3 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 21.4 | 47 | 20% | +9.3 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (69)
By cuisine
American 14 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Burgers 4 · Breakfast 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Seafood 3 · Asian 2 · Japanese 2 · Steakhouse 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 40 · Quick service 12 · Bar 10 · Casual dining 8 · Bakery 6 · Café 6 · Dessert 5 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Sardines | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 11942 Roe Ave | open |
| A1 Sushi & Hibachi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese | 6357 W 119th St | open |
| Andre's Overland Park | Bakery · Café | Bakery · European · Coffee | 4929 W 119th St | open |
| Best Regards Bakery & Cafe | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · American | 6759 W 119th St | open |
| Bingbox | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Tea / bubble tea · Dessert | 4937 W 119th St | open |
| Bogey's Pub | Bar · Casual dining | 13170 State Line Rd | open | |
| BRGR Kitchen + Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5031 W 135th St | open |
| Bristol Seafood Grill Bristol Seafood, Steak + Social KC | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | Seafood | 5400 W 119th St | open |
| Chateau Freeland | Winery / distillery / taproom | 12702 Overbrook Rd | open | |
| Chili's Grill & Bar | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 7001 W. 119th | open | |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service | Mexican | 5065 W 119th St | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 4535 W 119th St | open |
| Conroy's Public House Conroy's Public House | Bar · Casual dining | British / Irish pub food | 12924 State Line Rd | open |
| Dean & DeLuca | Café | Coffee | 4700 W 119th St | open |
| Dragon Dynasty Chinese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 12248 State Line Rd | open |
| Duck Donuts Duck Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 12130 State Line Rd | open |
| Einstein Bros. Bagels | Bakery | Bakery | 4949 W 119th St | open |
| Fazoli's Fazoli's | Quick service | Italian · Pizza | 12045 Metcalf Ave | open |
| Fo Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai | 4331 W 119th St | open |
| Houlihan's Houlihan's | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 4900 W 119th St | open |
| Hrs Properties Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 13451 Briar Dr Ste 200 | open | |
| IHOP IHOP | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 6936 W 119th St | open |
| It's Just Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7001 W. 119th | open |
| Jimmy John's Jimmy John's | Quick service · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 4302 W 119th St | open |
| Johnny's Tavern Johnny's Tavern in Lawrence | Bar · Casual dining | 6765 W 119th St | open | |
| Johnson County Bar Association | Bar | 5400 W 119th St | open | |
| KC Craft Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 6830 W 119th St | open |
| La Bodega | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Spanish / tapas | 4311 W 119th St | open |
| LongHorn Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse | 4500 W 119th St | open |
| Louie's Wine Dive and Kitchen Louie's Wine Dive Des Moines | Casual dining · Bar | American | 6701 W 119th St | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 4600 W 119th St | open |
| Minsky's Pizza Minsky's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 12920 State Line Rd | open |
| Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5005 W 119th St | open |
| Nico & Ana's Italian Street Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6541 W 119th St | open |
| North Italia North Italia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 4579 W 119th St | open |
| On The Border Mexican Grill & Cantina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5200 W 119th St | open |
| Op5305, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6936 W 119th St | open | |
| Orange Leaf Frozen Yogurt | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Dessert | 4260 W 119th St (Just Southeast Of Hen House 119/Roe) | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 11751 Nall Avenue | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6900 w 119th st | open |
| Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | 12118 State Line Road | open |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 4306 W 119th St Johnson | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Pizza Tascio - Overland Park Pizza Tascio KC | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6705 W 119th St | open |
| Planet Sub | Other | Sandwiches | 6705 W 119th St | open |
| Rachel's Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 5500 W 123rd St | open |
| Shake Shack Shake Shack | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5200 W 119th St | open |
| Smashburger | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6551 W 119th St | open |
| Spice N Rice | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 6537 W 119th St | open |
| SpicyOne | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southeast Asian (other) · Asian | 6551 W 119th St | open |
| SPIN! Neapolitan Pizza Overland Park | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6541 West 119th Street | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 6585 W 119th St | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 13460 Briar St | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 12258 State Line Rd | open |
| Sullivan's Steakhouse Sullivan's Steakhouse | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · Seafood · American | 4501 W 119th St | open |
| Take The Cake | Dessert | Dessert | 3741 W 132nd Ter | open |
| Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp | Quick service | 6936 W 119th St | open | |
| Textor Tavern | Bar | 2105 W 119th Ter | open | |
| The Breakfast SPOT | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · Mexican | 13164 State Line Rd | open |
| The Cheesecake Factory The Cheesecake Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6675 W 119th St | open |
| The Mixx The Mixx | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls · American | 11942 Roe Ave | open |
| The Roasterie Café The Roasterie Kansas City's Coffee Company | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 4511 W 119th St | open |
| The Rockhill Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4311 W 119th St | open |
| Thirsty Palette | Bar | 11958 Roe Ave | open | |
| Urban Egg Urban Egg | Catering | Breakfast · American | 4921 W 119th St | open |
| WestChase Grille | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 11942 Roe Ave | open |
| Which Wich Superior Sandwiches | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop | Sandwiches | 6830 W 119th St | open |
| Yia Yia's Eurobistro | Casual dining | 4701 W 119th St | open | |
| 810 Zone - Leawood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 4800 W 119th St | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 17 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 14 | 12 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 17 | 15 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 25 | 23 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 26 | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 30 | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 33 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 30 | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 33 | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 33 | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 40 | 39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 38 | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 44 | 42 | 23 | 9 | 10 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 44 | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 49 | 46 | 23 | 14 | 9 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 46 | 42 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 40 | 37 | 19 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 34 | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 36 | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 38 | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 41 | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 40 | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 40 | 35 | 19 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 41 | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 44 | 38 | 23 | 11 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 40 | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |