BMIE Market 78239
Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 28,609 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,017 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 9,456 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±571 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 28,736 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 10,912 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $70,098 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,924 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 35.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±76 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $229,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,333 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 6.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 12 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78239 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 3.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | -7.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 14 (range 10–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.17) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 29 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78239. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.17, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.9 | 71 | 40% | +28.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 72.7 | 73 | 35% | +25.4 |
| Market Momentum Score | 29.0 | 29 | 25% | +7.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 28,609 | 88 | 40% | +35.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,098 | 47 | 40% | +18.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 9,456 | 84 | 20% | +16.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 35% | +22.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 4.2 | 94 | 25% | +23.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 28,609 | 88 | 20% | +17.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 70,098 | 47 | 20% | +9.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 29 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -20 | 13 | 50% | +6.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 20 | 63 | 30% | +18.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | -7.7 | 18 | 20% | +3.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (35)
By cuisine
Mexican 11 · American 9 · BBQ 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 4 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · African 1 · Bakery 1 · Caribbean 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Cuban 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 5 · Bar 4 · Casual dining 3 · Café 2 · Food truck 2 · Bakery 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Li'l Bit of This N That Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 4938 Windsor Hill | open |
| Big D Detail Service | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6106 Robin Frst | open | |
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 8450 I-35 | open |
| Burzynski's Backyard BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | BBQ | 6035 Grand Point Dr | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8206 N Interstate 35 | open |
| Da Wing Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Chicken / wings | 6206 Montgomery Rd | open |
| El Picosito | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7030 Branching Ct | open |
| El Puesto La Tejanita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 5121 Crestway Rd | open |
| El Rey Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6409 Walzem Rd | open |
| Freddy's BB-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 7430 Tarrasa Dr | open |
| Giuseppe's Italian Grill Crestway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 5121 Crestway Dr | open |
| I35 & Walzem Whataburger | Quick service | 8300 N IH 35 | open | |
| In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8202 I 35 North | open |
| Jmt Hospitality Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 8206 N Interstate 35 | open | |
| Lagos Buka Bar & Grills | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 6060 Montgomery Rd | open |
| Lalo The Barber | Food truck | Mexican | open | |
| Mings Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 5121 Crestway Rd | open |
| OTX BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Steakhouse · American | 7030 Branching Ct | open |
| Pho Hai An | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Chinese · Asian | 4934 Windsor Hl | open |
| Pollo Tropical | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Caribbean · Cuban | 8208 N I H 35 | open |
| Puerto Regio | Quick service | Mexican | 7030 Branching Ct | open |
| Reaux's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea · Food truck | Juice / smoothies | 6355 Montgomery Dr | open |
| Red Lobster Red Lobster | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · American | 8210 N Interstate 35 | open |
| Sary's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6138 Montgomery Dr | open |
| Shoneys Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8206 N Interstate 35 | open |
| Southern Girls | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 6060 Montgomery Dr | open | |
| Spiranto's Cucina | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 6060 Montgomery Dr | open |
| Taco Cabana Taco Cabana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 8105 Fourwinds Dr | open |
| Tacos Pedrin | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7030 Branching Ct | open |
| Taqueria La triple M | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 7030 Branching Ct | open |
| The Back 9 Bar & Grill | Bar | 8600 Midcrown Dr | open | |
| The Lucky Duck internet cafe | Café | Coffee | 5121 Crestway Rd | open |
| The Vault Gaming Cafe & Fruteria | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Coffee | 5121 Crestway Dr | open |
| Tony's Barbacoa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · BBQ | 6363 Montgomery Dr | open |
| Whataburger Whataburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 8300 N IH 35 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 16 | 16 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 11 | 11 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 17 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2022 |