BMIE Market 78244

Bexar County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	38,092 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,287 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,387 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	30,757 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,457 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,128 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,578 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,573 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$216,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,950 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78244
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+80.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+42.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+145.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+575.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 24–36) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.56) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	88 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78244. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.56, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.7	75	40%	+29.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.7	77	35%	+26.8
Market Momentum Score	88.1	88	25%	+22.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	38,092	93	40%	+37.3
Median household income (ACS)	71,128	49	40%	+19.5
Households (ACS)	12,387	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	42.1	78	35%	+27.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.1	84	25%	+21.0
Population (ACS)	38,092	93	20%	+18.6
Median household income (ACS)	71,128	49	20%	+9.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	80	94	50%	+47.0
10-year restaurant growth	42.1	78	30%	+23.4
20-year restaurant growth	145.5	88	20%	+17.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (68)

By cuisine

American 12 · Mexican 11 · Coffee 8 · Sandwiches 8 · BBQ 6 · Dessert 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Burgers 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Japanese 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 22 · Bar 8 · Café 7 · Dessert 6 · Food truck 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A'Macs Snack Shack	Quick service		7942 Sonny Rdg	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6588 Fm 78	open
Bill Miller Bar-B-Q Bill Miller Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	6330 Seguin Rd	open
Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings	Bar · Casual dining	American	4230 N Foster Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	7010 FM 78	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6302 FM78	open
Cookery	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1815 N Foster Rd	open
D'Nkanto	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert		open
Delicias de Honduras	Food truck	Latin American (other)	5566 N Foster Rd	open
Delicious Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5590 N Foster Rd	open
Denny's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Casual dining	Breakfast · Sandwiches · Coffee · American	6703 FM 78	open
Denny's	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	1815 N Foster Rd	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	6531 Fm 78 Ste. 102	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	6604 Fm 78	open
El Bracero Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4230 N Foster Rd Ste 90	open
Flaming Bird By H-E-B	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6580 Fm 78	open
Freddy’s Firehouse BBQ & Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	6730 Richland Pl	open
Glo-Bar Premier Coffees	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	5002 Silent Lk	open
Golden Chick Golden Chick	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	4110 N Foster Rd	open
Gordos Mini Tacos & Snacks	Food truck	Mexican	5570 N Foster Rd	open
Helados Aranda	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	5723 N Foster Rd	open
HTeaO - San Antonio (Foster & Summerfest) HTeaO	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	4120 N Foster Rd	open
I Hop Restaurant IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Breakfast · American	6519 FM78	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		7720 Fm 78	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1818 N Foster Rd	open
Justine’s A Twisted Taste	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Burgers · Juice / smoothies	7999 Seguin Rd	open
Kelly’s Cocktail Ranch	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4020 Colonial Sun Dr	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6635 FM 78	open
KIDS n ALL DELI BBQ TACO	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	BBQ · Sandwiches	5566 N Foster Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		5994 Woodlake Pkwy	open
La Siberia De Monterrey	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	6151 Seguin Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6612 Old Seguin Rd	open
Lone Star Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	4915 N Foster Rd	open
Luisito's tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5380 N Foster Rd	open
Meeks Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5578 N Foster Rd	open
Mi Luz De Luna	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6220 Binz Engleman Rd	open
Mini Tacos El Salto Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4982 N Foster Rd	open
New Orleans Daiquiri to Geaux	Bar		7654 FM78 #125	open
Paraiso de Mexico	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	6322 FM78 #126	open
Peter Piper Pizza Peter Piper Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	5723 N Foster Rd	open
Q Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	5723 N Foster Rd	open
Redheart Cafe	Café	Coffee	4655 Todds Farm	open
Seguin & Walzem Whataburger	Quick service		7725 FM 78	open
Shipley Do-Nuts Shipley Do-Nuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	6531 FM78 #101	open
Skinny Minnys Bar-B-Q	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ		open
Smokerz Paradize	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	6620 FM78 Ste. 101	open
Sofia's Grill Mexican Restaurant	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	6531 FM78	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6608 Fm 78	open
Soulful Creations Sum-N-Different	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	5566 N Foster Rd	open
Southern Grit To-Go	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	7650 FM78 #110	open
Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Pizza · Coffee	7014 Fm 78 Target San Antonio Far Eas T T-	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	4096 Foster Road, Wal-Mart #3112	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1810 N Foster Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4096 N Foster Rd	open
Super Donut	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	6658 Summer Fest Dr	open
Tacos El Monki	Food truck	Mexican	5380 N Foster Rd	open
Tacos Y Pupusas Lalita	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		4982 N Foster Rd	open
Taqueria La Batalla	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1815 N Foster Rd	open
Thai Lao 78	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Japanese · Asian	6531 FM78	open
The Human Bean The Human Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7224 FM78	open
The Roadhouse Saloon	Bar		6159 FM 78	open
Time Out	Bar		7800 Seguin Rd	open
Time Out Sports Bar	Bar		7950 FM-78	open
Twin City Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	6151 FM 78	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	7725 FM 78	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	6615 FM 78, Ste 101	open
Zeke's Texas Sweets	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	5722 Bypass Trail	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	4	3	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	12	10	2	7	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	2	6	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	18	16	4	10	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	3	11	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	12	11	2	8	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	12	11	2	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	14	13	3	9	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	3	8	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	3	10	—	1	NAICS2002
2007	19	18	4	14	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	17	4	12	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	18	17	5	11	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	5	10	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	20	18	4	13	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	22	19	5	12	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	22	19	5	12	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	21	18	5	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	19	16	4	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	21	18	5	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	19	17	4	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	17	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	18	6	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	20	8	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	24	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	28	9	17	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	31	27	8	17	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78244. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78239	2.7 mi	12	2023
78218	3.0 mi	107	2023
78219	3.3 mi	27	2023
78109	3.5 mi	36	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.