BMIE Market 78405
Nueces County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 14,602 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,376 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,145 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±421 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 16,867 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,289 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $38,294 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,721 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,060 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±74 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $80,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,926 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78405 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 16.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -5.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +28.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +14.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +14.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 37 (range 33–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.65) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 46 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 40 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78405. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.65, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 46 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 47.5 | 48 | 40% | +19.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 48.8 | 49 | 35% | +17.1 |
| Market Momentum Score | 40.2 | 40 | 25% | +10.1 |
Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 14,602 | 76 | 40% | +30.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 38,294 | 5 | 40% | +2.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,145 | 75 | 20% | +14.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28 | 70 | 35% | +24.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 21.9 | 33 | 25% | +8.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 14,602 | 76 | 20% | +15.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 38,294 | 5 | 20% | +1.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 40 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -5.9 | 22 | 50% | +11.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 28 | 70 | 30% | +20.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 14.3 | 42 | 20% | +8.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (86)
By cuisine
Mexican 33 · Latin American (other) 14 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 11 · American 9 · Chicken / wings 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Healthy / salads / bowls 2 · Pizza 2 · Seafood 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Juice / smoothies 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Bar 17 · Quick service 14 · Food truck 8 · Dessert 6 · Casual dining 4 · Bakery 3 · Other 2 · Café 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agave Jalisco Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4258 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Antojitos Mexicanos La Morena | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2828 S Port Ave | open |
| Avila's Beer Garden | Bar | 2521 Greenwood Dr | open | |
| Ayala's Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3122 Baldwin Blvd | open | |
| Baldwin & Port Whataburger | Quick service | 2424 BALDWIN BLVD | open | |
| Banda's Bandas seafood #1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Seafood · American | 2751 S Port Ave | open |
| Bill Miller's Bar-B-Q | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 1240 S Port Ave | open |
| Blue Bell Creameries Blue Bell Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 333 Jr Beck Dr | open |
| Brodie's Chicago Style HotDogs & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hot dogs · American | 2202 Agnes St | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 5288 Old Brownsville Rd | open |
| Church's Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2815 Ruth St | open |
| City Bakery | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Bakery · Coffee | 808 S 19th St | open |
| Davids Gym Sports Bar | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3601 Morgan Ave | open | |
| El Bonanza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | American | 2623 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| El Buen Amaya | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3154 Morgan Ave | open |
| El Buen Amaya Noa Noa | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 3964 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| El Charro Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other) | 4105 Agnes St | open |
| El Gavilan Pollero | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings · Mexican | 2815 Ruth St | open |
| El Nuevo Chaparral | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2845 S Port Ave | open |
| El Paisano | Bar | 3117 Morgan Ave | open | |
| El Palenque Bar | Bar | 2623 Baldwin Blvd | open | |
| El Ranchero Tortillas Factory | Bakery | Mexican · Latin American (other) · Bakery | 3901 Carmen St | open |
| El Tacoriendo - Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3250 Morgan Ave | open |
| Fat Boyz Jerky | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 1009 S Port Ave | open | |
| Fiesta Taco’s & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2601 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| First base drive inn | Bar | 3202 Greenwood Dr | open | |
| Fit & Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1521 S Port Ave | open |
| Flaming Bird By H-e-b | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 3033 S Port Ave | open |
| Freddy's Place | Bar | 3113 Morgan Ave | open | |
| Gerald Dalton Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3945 Baldwin Blvd | open | |
| Gloria's Beer Garden | Bar | 3054 Greenwood Dr | open | |
| Hermanos Solis Restaurant #1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3514 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Hi Ho Drive Inn | Bar | 3945 Baldwin Blvd | open | |
| Hi-Ho Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 3703 Morgan Ave | open |
| Hotdogs El regio | Food truck | 3806 Morgan Ave | open | |
| Jalisco Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 902 S Port Ave | open |
| Joe's Bar | Bar | 2845 S Port Ave | open | |
| King Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Seafood | 3315 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Krazy Cotton | Food truck | 2828 S Port Ave | open | |
| La 69 CLUB | Bar | 2816 Ruth St | open | |
| La Carreta #2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3801 Agnes St | open |
| La Escondida | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2331 Agnes St | open |
| La Esquina Jalisco | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1101 S Port Ave | open | |
| La Fresa Homemade Ice Cream & More | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2818 S Port Ave | open |
| La Paletera | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican · Dessert | 2701 Morgan Ave #200 | open |
| Laredo Taco Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2002 Morgan Ave | open | |
| Las Chilanguitas Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3717 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Las Milpas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican | 3036 S Port Ave | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 3301 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Lonchera Angela | Food truck | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1401 S Port Ave | open |
| Los Altos Mini Taquitos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3002 S Port Ave | open | |
| Los Laguneros | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3149 Morgan Ave | open | |
| Los Laureles Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2754 S Port Ave | open |
| Marroquin Restaurant and Tortilla Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 2737 Greenwood Dr | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2021 Morgan Ave | open |
| Merequetengue Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Breakfast | 3002 S Port Ave | open |
| Micas Lounge | Bar | 705 S Port Ave | open | |
| Milla' Dean's Southern Smoke Bar-B-Q | Bar · Food truck | BBQ | 2906 Dixie St | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2701 morgan ave | open |
| Pete's Chicken-n-more | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 338 44th St | open | |
| Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1115 S Port Ave | open |
| Pupuseria la chapina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 2838 S Port Ave | open |
| San Luis Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2110 Laredo St | open |
| Sno-Ball | Dessert | Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts | 3830 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Sticky Fingers Dulces & More | Dessert | 1009 S Port Ave | open | |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 2621 S. Port Ave. | open |
| SUBWAY | Other | Sandwiches | 2307 Morgan Ave | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 526 S. Enterprise Pkwy Suite 101 | open |
| Sweet Treats & Savory Eats | Quick service · Dessert · Bakery | Bakery | 3401 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2201 Morgan Avenue | open |
| Tacos La Frontera | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 1401 S Port Ave | open |
| Tacos La Reina | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) · Mexican | 1421 Sabinas St | open |
| Tacos y Antojitos Los Hermanos | Food truck | Mexican | 1521 S Port Ave | open |
| Taqueria El Campero | Food truck | 3717 Baldwin Blvd | open | |
| Taqueria El Jinete | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3002 S Port Ave | open |
| Taqueria Empalme | Food truck | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2301 Morgan Ave | open |
| Taqueria Jalisco #1 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 902 S Port Ave | open |
| Taqueria La Carreta La Carreta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2754 S Port Ave | open |
| Taqueria La Escondida | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 4217 Agnes St | open |
| Taqueria La Potosina | Food truck · Quick service | Mexican | 501 S Port Ave | open |
| The Crossroads Cantina | Bar | 3401 Morgan Ave | open | |
| The Hot Chicken Spot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 3964 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Tipsy Cadillac Room | Bar | 2521 Greenwood Dr | open | |
| Tona's Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2561 Agnes St | open |
| Westpoint Nutrition & Energy | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Healthy / salads / bowls | 3251 Baldwin Blvd | open |
| Whataburger Whataburger | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2424 BALDWIN BLVD | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 29 | 28 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 24 | 24 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 23 | 20 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 35 | 29 | — | — | — | 6 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 36 | 32 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 29 | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 5 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 32 | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 4 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 31 | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 31 | 29 | 17 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 33 | 32 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 14 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 31 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 32 | 28 | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 26 | 22 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 26 | 25 | 12 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 12 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 31 | 29 | 16 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 36 | 34 | 20 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 34 | 29 | 15 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 33 | 29 | 17 | 11 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 34 | 30 | 17 | 12 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 37 | 33 | 15 | 15 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 35 | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |