BMIE Market 78408

Nueces County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,111 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,227 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,932 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,061 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,689 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$41,045 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,903 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,008 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$88,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,497 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78408
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-8.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-25.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	21 (range 18–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.1 per year, r² 0.02) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	34 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	45 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	31 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	20 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78408. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.02, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 34 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	45.2	45	40%	+18.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	30.7	31	35%	+10.8
Market Momentum Score	20.1	20	25%	+5.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 45 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,111	71	40%	+28.4
Median household income (ACS)	41,045	7	40%	+2.7
Households (ACS)	3,932	71	20%	+14.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.2	21	35%	+7.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	22.8	31	25%	+7.7
Population (ACS)	10,111	71	20%	+14.2
Median household income (ACS)	41,045	7	20%	+1.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 20 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8	20	50%	+10.1
10-year restaurant growth	-4.2	21	30%	+6.4
20-year restaurant growth	-8	18	20%	+3.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (58)

By cuisine

American 16 · Mexican 16 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 7 · BBQ 5 · Burgers 4 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Coffee 3 · Italian 3 · Seafood 3 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 10 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 7 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Bakery 1 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Astor Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	5533 Leopard St	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	5165 Interstate 37	open
Bill Miller Bar-B-Q Bill Miller Bar-B-Q	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	4940 Leopard St	open
Bottomless Pit BBQ and Catering	Catering · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2815 Leopard St	open
Chances R	Bar		4418 Leopard St	open
Chicken Coop	Quick service		Agnes	open
Church's Texas Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3502A Leopard Street	open
Club Coachella	Bar		609 McBride Ln	open
Cotten's Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	BBQ · Coffee	4701 Ih 37	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3719 Leopard St	open
Don Jorge mini Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	Port Ave.	open
El Palenque Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3429 Leopard St	open
Fisherman’s seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	901 Navigation Blvd	open
Frank's Spaghetti House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	2724 Leopard St	open
Happy Buddha	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3602 Leopard St	open
Heb Bakery Plant	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	101 McCampbell Rd	open
Hermanos Solis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	470 Old Robstown Rd	open
Irma's Tamales	Casual dining	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · American	4606 Leopard St	open
Johnny's Food To Go	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	521 Old Robstown Rd	open
L & F Distributors L&F Distributors of Laredo	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		601 N 19th St	open
La Costenita Mexican & Seafood Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	4217 Leopard St	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1050 Nueces Bay Blvd	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5702 Leopard Street	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5175 Ih 37	open
Las Milpas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	901 Navigation Blvd	open
Leopard St & Westchester Whataburger	Quick service		4510 LEOPARD ST	open
Lila's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3942 Leopard St	open
Los Amigos de Jalisco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	103 Old Robstown Rd	open
Los Jefes Bar	Bar		333 N Port Ave	open
Lou's Landmark Saloon	Bar		5101 Leopard St	open
Lou's Landmark, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		5101 Leopard St	open
Mayne Family Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Cajun, Creole, Southern	4755 Leopard St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4101 Leopard St	open
Mr G's Bar-B-Que	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4701 IH 37 Access Road	open
Ole Cafe	Café	Mexican · Coffee · Breakfast	4602 Leopard St	open
Olive Garden Olive Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian		open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3657 Leopard St	open
Pockets Billiards	Bar		5401 Leopard St	open
Polk And Dunn Services Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4910 Leopard St Ste 500	open
Red Boat Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	4201 Leopard St	open
Rigatoni’s Italian Restaurant - Nueces Bay	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	3429 Leopard St	open
Snapka's Drive Inn	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4760 Leopard St	open
Solis Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	5409 Leopard St	open
Solis Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3061 Buffalo St	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	3329 Leopard St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3701 Leopard St	open
Taqueria El Mexicano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5650 Leopard St	open
Taqueria la Escondida Number 3	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3302 Leopard St	open
The Bar-b-q Man Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4931 Ih 37	open
The Bar-B-Q Man Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4931 Ih 37	open
The Grind Grill and Bar	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	3202 Leopard St	open
Third Quarter Sports Bar	Bar		333 N Port Ave	open
Torres De Jalisco Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	8302 Leopard St.	open
Vick's Famous Hamburgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	2211 Leopard St	open
Watering Hole	Bar	American	5723 Leopard St	open
Whataburger Whataburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	4510 LEOPARD ST	open
Ximena Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	548 Lantana Rd	open
Stump Enterprises	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4619 Baldwin Blvd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	38	31	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1995	32	28	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	36	32	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	36	31	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	41	34	18	12	2	6	NAICS1997
1999	38	32	16	13	2	5	NAICS1997
2000	35	30	15	11	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	29	26	12	11	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	31	26	13	12	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	30	25	13	12	—	5	NAICS2002
2004	36	27	16	11	—	6	NAICS2002
2005	34	25	14	11	—	6	NAICS2002
2006	32	26	13	12	—	5	NAICS2002
2007	34	28	15	12	—	5	NAICS2002
2008	29	22	11	10	—	6	NAICS2007
2009	31	24	14	10	—	6	NAICS2007
2010	28	21	11	9	1	7	NAICS2007
2011	28	23	14	8	1	5	NAICS2007
2012	29	24	14	10	—	5	NAICS2012
2013	29	24	14	10	—	5	NAICS2012
2014	27	22	12	10	—	5	NAICS2012
2015	28	23	14	9	—	5	NAICS2012
2016	26	21	11	10	—	5	NAICS2012
2017	28	22	12	9	—	6	NAICS2017
2018	32	25	16	8	—	7	NAICS2017
2019	27	21	13	7	—	6	NAICS2017
2020	25	20	13	6	—	5	NAICS2017
2021	26	22	14	7	—	4	NAICS2017
2022	27	23	12	11	—	4	NAICS2022
2023	27	23	12	11	—	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78408. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78407	0.6 mi	1	2016
78405	1.8 mi	32	2023
78401	2.7 mi	32	2023
78404	3.5 mi	37	2023
78416	3.5 mi	24	2023
78402	3.6 mi	4	2023
78409	4.5 mi	4	2023
78417	4.5 mi	4	2023
78406	4.8 mi	3	2022

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.