BMIE Market 78576

Hidalgo County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,484 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,623 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,637 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±452 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	8,775 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,236 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$49,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,455 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	22.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$697 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±459 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$131,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,745 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	58.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78576
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+600.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+250.0% DERIVED: 1998 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.53) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	50 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	93 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78576. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.53, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	50.3	50	40%	+20.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.5	73	35%	+25.4
Market Momentum Score	93.3	93	25%	+23.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,484	77	40%	+30.9
Median household income (ACS)	49,137	14	40%	+5.5
Households (ACS)	3,637	70	20%	+13.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	35%	+31.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.5	93	25%	+23.3
Population (ACS)	15,484	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	49,137	14	20%	+2.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 93 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	75	94	50%	+46.9
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	30%	+26.6
20-year restaurant growth	600	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (48)

By cuisine

Mexican 12 · American 9 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Dessert 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 32 · Quick service 16 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Bar 2 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alicia's Su Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1715 W Expressway D2	open
Antojitos Perez	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)		open
Cecilio Garza Y Los Kasinos	Bar · Casual dining			open
Chacha's Salad And More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	603 Tom Gill Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	2001 US-83	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches	1815 E Expressway 83	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	1715 Highway 83 Suite C1	open
Don Juan's snack & more	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers	17805 Royal Palm Dr	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1621 Expressway 83	open
El Jefe Tacos "Estilo Frontera"	Food truck · Quick service	Mexican	1515 Expressway 83	open
El mitote 956 Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	101 Tom Gill Rd	open
El Principio Mar y Tierra	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	104 Tom Gill Rd	open
El Rinconsito Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1614 Expressway 83	open
Extreme Drive Thru	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1609 Arboledas Dr	open
Extreme Sweets & Treats	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	513 Tom Gill Rd	open
Exxxtreme Cycles Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1006 Expressway 83	open
Gorditas Dona Hilda	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	American	39218 Mile 4 Rd	open
IHOP IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	2201 Expressway 83	open
Jac Creation	Bakery	Bakery	17007 Sago Palm Dr	open
Little Caesars	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18012 Sago Palm Dr	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1709 E Expressway 83	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1703 EXPRESSWAY 83 (Walmart)	open
Mi Reynera Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	17922 Coconut Palm Dr	open
Mr.Cache's	Restaurant (service type not stated)		38608 Circle 6 St S	open
Muchos Munchies	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	38239 Mile 5 1/2 Rd	open
Ohana Life & Property Insurance	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Penitas, 2308 Expressway 83	open
Panda Express	Quick service		1816 Us Hwy 83	open
Penny Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1621 Expressway 83	open
Sonic Sonic	Quick service		201 N Liberty Blvd	open
Star Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	18012 Sago Palm Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2101 Us Hwy 83	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1715 W. Expressway 83 Suite A-3	open
Taqueria El Habanero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	83 2000 expy	open
Taquería Emanuel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1515 Volcano Ave	open
Taqueria La Fuente	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1607 La Fuente Dr	open
Taqueria_El_Alamo	Restaurant (service type not stated)		206 Tom Gill Rd	open
Tasty Bites	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	603 Tom Gill Rd	open
Team Flores - Memorias Familiares	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	38807 Mile 7 Rd	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1815 Expressway 83	open
The Buzz Box	Quick service · Bar · Food truck	Mexican	101 Tom Gill Rd	open
The Picnic At Peñitas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	101 Tom Gill Rd	open
The Pitstop	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1409 Expressway 83	open
Tortilleria Bertha	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	602 Tom Gill Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Specialty food shop · Bakery · Quick service	Sandwiches · Bakery	1705 Expressway 83	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	2013 US-83	open
Wings Rings Texas 83	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	104 Tom Gill Rd	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1709 E Expy 83	open
Pollos Asados El Cucuy	Restaurant (service type not stated)		603 Tom Gill Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	4	4	1	2	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	4	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	4	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	7	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78576. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78560	3.8 mi	9	2023
78595	4.8 mi	3	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.