BMIE Market 78595

Hidalgo County, Texas · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	6,118 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,728 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,826 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±406 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,082 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,692 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$58,846 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,541 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$628 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±90 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$89,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,043 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 78595
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	1.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 3–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2007–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.86) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	48 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	91 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 78595. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2007–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.86, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Texas and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,534, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	48.4	48	40%	+19.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.0	70	35%	+24.5
Market Momentum Score	90.9	91	25%	+22.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	6,118	64	40%	+25.5
Median household income (ACS)	58,846	28	40%	+11.1
Households (ACS)	1,826	60	20%	+11.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.9	92	25%	+23.0
Population (ACS)	6,118	64	20%	+12.7
Median household income (ACS)	58,846	28	20%	+5.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 91 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	100	96	50%	+60.0
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+30.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (21)

By cuisine

Mexican 8 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · American 2 · Bakery 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Coffee 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Spanish / tapas 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Quick service 7 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Cielito Lindo Kitchen LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex	104 E Expressway 83	open
D' Ricks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	110 El Pinto Rd	open
Don Chulin Taqueria	Quick service	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	104 Flores Rd	open
Elotes preparados y pan de elote	Food truck		144 El Pinto Rd	open
La muñe's Food Stand	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	401 W Expy 83	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 E Expressway 83	open
Laredo Taco Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)		800 West Expressway 83	open
Mi Lupita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	630 W Expy 83	open
Ninfa's snack & more	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican	689 W Expressway 83	open
Revival Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	400 East Expressway	open
RGV FoodShack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	203 W Expressway 83	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	104 E. Expressway 83 Suite 1	open
Taco De Nada	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop · Bakery	Bakery	411 Los Cenizos Rd	open
Tacos 83	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	340 E Expressway 83	open
Tacos Perla	Food truck		214 El Lucero St	open
Taqueria La Vaca	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1305 W Expy 83	open
Taqueria Las Norias	Quick service		715 E Expressway 83	open
Taquizas Señor Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8130 US-83	open
toreado's restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Spanish / tapas	104 E Expressway 83	open
Trendingnow	Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	6754	open
Treviño's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Mexican	715 E Expressway 83	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2023	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 78595. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
78576	4.8 mi	7	2023
78560	4.8 mi	9	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.