BMIE Market 85120

Pinal County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,191 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,675 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±832 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	28,168 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	17,473 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$57,786 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	56.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,117 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±120 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$161,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,855 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	41 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85120
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+24.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,950.0% DERIVED: 2008 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	46 (range 41–51) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85120. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	64.7	65	40%	+25.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.3	61	35%	+21.5
Market Momentum Score	65.5	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,191	90	40%	+35.9
Median household income (ACS)	57,786	26	40%	+10.4
Households (ACS)	14,188	92	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	35%	+23.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.1	60	25%	+14.9
Population (ACS)	31,191	90	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	57,786	26	20%	+5.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.9	65	50%	+40.6
10-year restaurant growth	24.2	66	30%	+24.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (107)

By cuisine

American 16 · Mexican 15 · Sandwiches 13 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 8 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Breakfast 3 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Chinese 2 · European 2 · Greek 2 · Hot dogs 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 58 · Quick service 23 · Bar 20 · Casual dining 13 · Coffee shop 9 · Café 8 · Specialty food shop 7 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Other 4 · Food truck 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A&W Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Seafood	2167 W Apache Trl	open
A.J.'s Original Deli Sandwiches	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining	Sandwiches · American	300 W Apache Trail	open
Aerial Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	185 N Apache Trail	open
Apache Greyhound Park	Bar		220 S Delaware Dr	open
Apache Trail Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	944 W Apache Trail	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2323 W Apache Trl	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10623 E. Main St.	open
Benny Blanco Tortillas	Bakery	Bakery	189 W Apache Trl # A109	open
Boba Shack	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	183 W Apache Trail	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	530 W Apache Trail	open
Cactus Club	Bar		650 W Apache Trl	open
Cafe Mix	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	1408 W Apache Trail	open
Captain's	Bar		300 W Apache Trl Ste 104	open
Cat Wagon Tap and Bottle	Bar		2430 W Apache Trail	open
Chicago's Number One Gyros	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Greek · Mediterranean · European	850 S Ironwood Dr	open
Cobbs Restaurant and Lounge	Casual dining	American	944 W Apache Trl	open
Coffee Corner LLC	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	300 W Apache Trail	open
Cousin Vinnies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1450 W Apache Trl	open
Cowboys Up	Bar		285 N Apache Trl	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2300 W Apache Trail	open
DaVilla'z American Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1985 Apache Trail	open
Dirtwater Springs	Casual dining · Bar	American · Mexican	586 Apache Trail	open
Dog Run Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		320 W Superstition Blvd #112	open
Dogs Fur Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	10250 E Apache Trl	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	10826 E Apache Trl	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	944 W Apache Trail	open
Eastland International Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		183 W Apache Trl Ste B104	open
El Gordo Mexican Grill El Gordo Mexican Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	2975 W Superstition Blvd	open
Elvira's Mexican Restaurant & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	1520 W Apache Trail	open
Erickberto's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11550 E Apache Trail	open
Famous Sam's	Other	Sandwiches	250 S Phelps Dr	open
Fatman's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2430 W Apache Trail	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food Filibertos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10749 E Apache Trl	open
First Water Cocktail Bar	Bar		1545 W Broadway Ave #101	open
Fresh Press Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	189 W Apache Trail #102	open
Fromagerie Lost Dutchman	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop		2931 W Lost Dutchman Blvd	open
Gravity Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	1525 W Apache Trail	open
Hacker's Grill	Casual dining	American · Breakfast	310 N Plaza Dr	open
HG COFFEE	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	7 N 114th St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		2600 W Apache Trl	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	2540 W Apache Trail Ste 101	open
Jimmy John's	Other	Sandwiches	2540 W Apache Trl Ste 101	open
Joe-Jos Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10262 E Apache Trl	open
Kapt-N D's	Bar		300 W Apache Trail Ste 118	open
Karma Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	10250 E Apache Trl	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3051 W Apache Trail	open
Kg Dog Run Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		320 W Superstition Blvd Ste 111	open
Kona Ice Of Apache Jun	Food truck		1049 W 21st Ave	open
Konos Cones	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	189 W Apache Trl Ste A103	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	3940 S Ironwood Dr	open
LA Casita Of AJ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	495 W Apache Trl	open
LA YAQUESITA FOOD TRUCK AZ	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3120 W Southern Ave	open
Linda's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2580 W Virginia St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	725 W Apache Trl	open
Los Favoritos Los Favoritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1879 W Apache Trl	open
Los Gringos Locos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	280 S Phelps Dr	open
Lotus Garden Chinese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	183 W Apache Trail B104	open
Lucky Strikes	Casual dining · Bar		1985 W Apache Trail	open
Mad Taco AZ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Juice / smoothies	2167 W Apache Trl	open
Maggies Lounge - Restaurant & Boutique (maggiesloungeaj)	Bar	American	100 N Plaza Dr	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2383 W Apache Trl	open
Mickey D's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	1408 W Apache Trl	open
Mobile Marinara	Food truck		1571 W Apache Trl	open
Momo no Hana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	725 W Apache Trail #27	open
New Golden China Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	10633 E Apache Trail	open
No Munchies Way	Quick service		850 S Ironwood Dr Ste 108	open
Oldie's Subs and More	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	725 W Apache Trl	open
Paladino's Italian Eatery	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches · Pizza	300 W Apache Trail	open
Pancho's crazy dogos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1601 W Apache Trl	open
Papa Bears Texas Barbeque	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1200 W Apache Trl	open
Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10745 e apache trail	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2114 West Apache Trail	open
PastaZuppa	Delivery-focused	Italian · American	189 W Apache Trail	open
Pho Ever Vietnamese Cu	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches · Asian · Vietnamese	300 S Phelps Dr	open
Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1200 W Apache Trl	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	240 S Phelps Drive Pinal	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Popeyes® Louisiana Kitchen Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	203 W Apache Trl	open
Pulled Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1985 W Apache Trail Unit #3	open
Rockn Ronnies	Bar		10262 E Apache Trail	open
Rusty Buckle Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		285 N Apache Trail	open
Scuttlebutts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1200 W Apache Trl	open
Smoothie Connect	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	28 N Ironwood Dr #4	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	875 West Apache Trail	open
Spud Happens	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1985 W Apache Trail suite 3	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	2580 W Apache Trail	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2555 W Apache Trl	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	21 S Signal Butte Rd Ste 102	open
SushiMode	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	300 W Apache Trail	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	97 West Apache Trail	open
The Grass Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Hot dogs · Ice cream / frozen desserts	10644 E Apache Trl	open
The Handlebar Pub and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	650 W Apache Trl	open
The Meat Slicer Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	300 W Apache Trail	open
The Subslingers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	124 S Ironwood Dr Ste 8	open
The Subslingers	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	21 S Signal Butte Rd	open
The Tipsy Kow Smokehouse & Spirits Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		185 N Apache Trl Ste 6	open
The Wheelhouse Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		495 W Apache Trail	open
Top Fuel Espresso	Coffee shop	Coffee	Apache Trail	open
Tortilla Flat AZ Tortilla Flat Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1 W Moon Vista St	open
Tortilla Flat Az Tortilla Flat Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2237 W Foothill St	open
Tumbleweed Grill & Bar / Gold Rush Saloon	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		725 W Apache Trl	open
Valley Wings	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1985 W Apache Trl Ste 3	open
Village Inn	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	575 W Apache Trl	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2555 W Apache Trl	open
Water and Ice	Dessert	Dessert	725 W Apache Trail #39	open
Western Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		300 W Apache Trl	open
What The Hell Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining		10262 E Apache Trl	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2008	2	2	—	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	3	2	1	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	6	3	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	36	33	17	14	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	37	33	18	14	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	35	31	17	13	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	34	30	16	13	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	36	31	16	14	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	39	36	20	15	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	43	38	19	18	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	40	36	17	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	41	36	16	18	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	40	35	14	19	—	3	NAICS2017
2022	46	41	13	25	3	3	NAICS2022
2023	47	41	13	24	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85120. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85119	3.1 mi	11	2023
85208	4.2 mi	24	2023
85209	4.2 mi	82	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.