BMIE Market 85730

Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	39,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	16,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	38,323 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	16,583 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$62,090 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,271 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$246,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,974 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85730
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+31.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+16.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 27–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85730. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	69.8	70	40%	+27.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.4	58	35%	+20.5
Market Momentum Score	30.7	31	25%	+7.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	39,399	94	40%	+37.5
Median household income (ACS)	62,090	34	40%	+13.4
Households (ACS)	16,056	95	20%	+18.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.4	83	25%	+20.7
Population (ACS)	39,399	94	20%	+18.7
Median household income (ACS)	62,090	34	20%	+6.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.4	19	50%	+9.6
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	31.8	53	20%	+10.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Mexican 9 · American 8 · Asian 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Chinese 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 20 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Flying Buffalo	Bar		7534 E 38th St	open
Bamboo View	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7018 E Golf Links Rd	open
Beaming	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	9350 E Golf Links Rd	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8605 E Golf Links Rd	open
Bread el Quetzal	Food truck		2616 S Calle Yucatan	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	10200 E Golf Links Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7006 East Golf Links Road	open
Church's Chicken Church's Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7090 E. Golf Links Road	open
Culinary Graduate Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4070 S Fairway Groves Pl	open
Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen	Dessert · Quick service	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	7825 E Golf Links Rd 7825 E Golf Links Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	8615 E. Golf Links Road	open
Donut Wheel	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2630 S Kolb Rd	open
eegee's	Other	Sandwiches	Golflinks	open
eegee's	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches	7235 E Golf Links Rd	open
eegee's eegee's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	7235 E Golf Links Rd	open
Famous Sam's	Casual dining · Bar		7129 E Golf Links Rd	open
Filiberto's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8601 E Golf Links Rd	open
Holy Smokin Butts BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3431 S Mormon Dr	open
Hot Stuff Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10265 E Irvington Rd	open
Hot Wok Asian Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	7755 E Golf links Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		6380 E Golf Links Rd	open
Jerry Bob's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	7066 E Golf Links Rd	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7245 E Golf links Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7076 E Golf links Rd	open
Los Bertos Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7865 E Golf Links Rd	open
Los Beto's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9495 E Golf Links Rd	open
Los Beto's Mexican Food	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7203 E Golf Links Rd	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6330 E Golf Links Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9490 E Golf Links	open
Mulligans	Casual dining · Bar	American	9403 E Golf Links Rd	open
Nate's Italian Kitchen	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	7074 E Golf Links Rd	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	6370 East Golf Links Road	open
Paulies Pub	Bar		8077 E Senate St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	9564 E Golf Links Rd Pima	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Queen Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert	6320 E Golf Links Rd Ste 130	open
Raspados el Paraíso	Dessert	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7701 E Golf Links Rd	open
Rincon's Road to Recovery	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7500 E Golf links Rd	open
Saguaro Corners Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	9420 E Golf links Rd	open
Saguaro Corners Restaurant & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3750 S Old Spanish Trl	open
Scudmissile Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6927 E David Dr	open
Slainte Scotch-Irish Pub & Pool House	Bar	British / Irish pub food	4794 S Chilean Loop	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	8000 East Golf Links	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	6360 E Golf Links Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2630 S Kolb Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Sushi · Asian	9460 E Golf Links Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9422 E. Golf Links Rd. Suite A-2	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	6320 E. Golf Links Road Pad 3 -160	open
Sushi To Go & More	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7755 E Golf Links Rd #107	open
Sweet Treats by Dani	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	N/a	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	9535 E Golf Links Road	open
Tacos y Hot Dogs El Giro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9470 E Golf Links Rd	open
The Ketoluscious Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	4434 S White Pine Ave	open
The Old Pueblo Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3797 S Kolb Rd	open
Tucson McGraw's Original Cantina	Bar		4110 S Houghton Rd	open
Variety H2O + Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6330 E Golf Links Rd	open
Viva Burrito Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6320 E Golf Links Rd	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	2711 S Houghton Rd	open
Wei Asian Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	9450 E Golf Links Rd #102	open
Wing Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6330 E Golf Links Rd Ste 132	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	29	25	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	26	23	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	22	20	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	20	18	5	11	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	21	19	6	11	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	26	23	7	13	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	26	22	7	13	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	28	24	9	12	2	3	NAICS1997
2003	25	22	8	12	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	26	22	9	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	25	20	7	12	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	26	21	6	14	1	3	NAICS2002
2007	28	23	9	13	1	3	NAICS2002
2008	27	21	9	11	1	5	NAICS2007
2009	26	22	9	12	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	25	22	9	12	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	25	22	9	11	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	28	24	10	13	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	31	29	12	16	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	31	29	13	15	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	31	28	11	16	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	31	28	10	17	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	32	30	10	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	35	32	11	20	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	34	32	13	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	30	28	9	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	29	9	18	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	33	31	8	20	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	33	29	7	19	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 85730. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
85748	2.7 mi	15	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.