BMIE Market 85730
Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 39,399 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,468 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 16,056 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±543 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 38,323 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 16,583 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $62,090 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,523 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,271 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $246,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,974 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 37.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85730 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 5.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -9.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +31.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +16.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 30 (range 27–33) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.07) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85730. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.07, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 69.8 | 70 | 40% | +27.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58.4 | 58 | 35% | +20.5 |
| Market Momentum Score | 30.7 | 31 | 25% | +7.7 |
Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 39,399 | 94 | 40% | +37.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,090 | 34 | 40% | +13.4 |
| Households (ACS) | 16,056 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.4 | 83 | 25% | +20.7 |
| Population (ACS) | 39,399 | 94 | 20% | +18.7 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 62,090 | 34 | 20% | +6.7 |
Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -9.4 | 19 | 50% | +9.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +10.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 31.8 | 53 | 20% | +10.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (60)
By cuisine
Mexican 9 · American 8 · Asian 6 · Coffee 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Dessert 5 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Chinese 4 · Burgers 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Sushi 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 36 · Quick service 20 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 6 · Dessert 6 · Bakery 5 · Café 4 · Casual dining 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Food truck 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| American Flying Buffalo | Bar | 7534 E 38th St | open | |
| Bamboo View | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 7018 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Beaming | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 9350 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 8605 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Bread el Quetzal | Food truck | 2616 S Calle Yucatan | open | |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 10200 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 7006 East Golf Links Road | open |
| Church's Chicken Church's Chicken | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7090 E. Golf Links Road | open |
| Culinary Graduate Food Truck | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 4070 S Fairway Groves Pl | open |
| Dairy Queen (Treat) Dairy Queen | Dessert · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 7825 E Golf Links Rd 7825 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Delivery-focused · Quick service | Pizza | 8615 E. Golf Links Road | open |
| Donut Wheel | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 2630 S Kolb Rd | open |
| eegee's | Other | Sandwiches | Golflinks | open |
| eegee's | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches | 7235 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| eegee's eegee's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 7235 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Famous Sam's | Casual dining · Bar | 7129 E Golf Links Rd | open | |
| Filiberto's Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 8601 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Holy Smokin Butts BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 3431 S Mormon Dr | open |
| Hot Stuff Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 10265 E Irvington Rd | open |
| Hot Wok Asian Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 7755 E Golf links Rd | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 6380 E Golf Links Rd | open | |
| Jerry Bob's Family Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Breakfast · American | 7066 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| KFC KFC | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 7245 E Golf links Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 7076 E Golf links Rd | open |
| Los Bertos Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 7865 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Los Beto's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 9495 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Los Beto's Mexican Food | Quick service | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7203 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6330 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 9490 E Golf Links | open |
| Mulligans | Casual dining · Bar | American | 9403 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Nate's Italian Kitchen | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Italian · Sandwiches | 7074 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 6370 East Golf Links Road | open |
| Paulies Pub | Bar | 8077 E Senate St | open | |
| Pizza Hut Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9564 E Golf Links Rd Pima | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Queen Donuts | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert | 6320 E Golf Links Rd Ste 130 | open |
| Raspados el Paraíso | Dessert | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 7701 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Rincon's Road to Recovery | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 7500 E Golf links Rd | open |
| Saguaro Corners Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee · American | 9420 E Golf links Rd | open |
| Saguaro Corners Restaurant & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 3750 S Old Spanish Trl | open |
| Scudmissile Brewery | Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 6927 E David Dr | open | |
| Slainte Scotch-Irish Pub & Pool House | Bar | British / Irish pub food | 4794 S Chilean Loop | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 8000 East Golf Links | open |
| Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee | 6360 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2630 S Kolb Rd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Japanese · Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Sushi · Asian | 9460 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9422 E. Golf Links Rd. Suite A-2 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 6320 E. Golf Links Road Pad 3 -160 | open |
| Sushi To Go & More | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 7755 E Golf Links Rd #107 | open |
| Sweet Treats by Dani | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | N/a | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 9535 E Golf Links Road | open |
| Tacos y Hot Dogs El Giro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 9470 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| The Ketoluscious Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 4434 S White Pine Ave | open |
| The Old Pueblo Food Truck | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3797 S Kolb Rd | open |
| Tucson McGraw's Original Cantina | Bar | 4110 S Houghton Rd | open | |
| Variety H2O + Ice Cream | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6330 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Viva Burrito Co. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 6320 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2711 S Houghton Rd | open |
| Wei Asian Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 9450 E Golf Links Rd #102 | open |
| Wing Factory | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 6330 E Golf Links Rd Ste 132 | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 29 | 25 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 26 | 23 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 22 | 20 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 19 | 16 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 20 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 26 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 26 | 22 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 28 | 24 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 25 | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 21 | 6 | 14 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 28 | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 3 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 5 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 22 | 9 | 12 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 22 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 24 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 31 | 29 | 12 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 31 | 28 | 11 | 16 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 31 | 28 | 10 | 17 | 1 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 32 | 30 | 10 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 35 | 32 | 11 | 20 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 34 | 32 | 13 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 30 | 28 | 9 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 29 | 9 | 18 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 33 | 31 | 8 | 20 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 33 | 29 | 7 | 19 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
| ZCTA | Distance | Restaurants | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85748 | 2.7 mi | 15 | 2023 |