BMIE Market 85748
Pima County, Arizona · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,103 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,944 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,272 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±551 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 18,087 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,826 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $95,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,636 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 42.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,569 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±137 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $368,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,360 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 12.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 85748 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 11.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -25.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +650.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 13 (range 9–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 56 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 57 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 17 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 85748. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. Arizona and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 324, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 56 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 80.2 | 80 | 40% | +32.1 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 56.6 | 57 | 35% | +19.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 17.4 | 17 | 25% | +4.4 |
Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,103 | 81 | 40% | +32.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,750 | 78 | 40% | +31.2 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,272 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 57 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -25 | 12 | 35% | +4.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.5 | 83 | 25% | +20.6 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,103 | 81 | 20% | +16.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 95,750 | 78 | 20% | +15.6 |
Market Momentum Score: 17 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -25 | 11 | 50% | +5.4 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -25 | 12 | 30% | +3.5 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 43 | 20% | +8.5 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (36)
By cuisine
Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · American 4 · Asian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Japanese 2 · Sushi 2 · Bakery 1 · Burgers 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Quick service 9 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 520tacostop | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 10290 Speedway Blvd | open |
| Brentwood Hills Bar and Grill | Casual dining · Bar | open | ||
| Buffalo Wild Wings Buffalo Wild Wings | Bar · Casual dining | American | 68 N Harrison Rd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 9565 E 22nd St, | open |
| Coldstone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | E 22nd St, Tucson, AZ | open |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9330 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Firehouse Subs Firehouse Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 9525 E Old Spanish Trail Suite 113 | open |
| Golf Links Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 9330 E Golf Links Rd | open |
| Great Village Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1000 S Harrison Rd | open |
| Hamburger Stand | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1050 S Desert Senna Loop | open | |
| Hops Sports Grill | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | 120 S Houghton Rd | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 9530 E 22nd St | open | |
| La Herradura Mexican Grill and Seafood La Herradura Mexican Grill and Seafood | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other) | 2530 S Harrison Rd | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 64 N Harrison Rd | open |
| Los Nopales | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2475 S Harrison Rd | open | |
| Lucky Wishbone Lucky Wishbone | Casual dining · Bar | American | 990 S Harrison Rd | open |
| Magpies Gourmet Pizza Magpies Gourmet Pizza 4th Ave. | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 105 S Houghton Rd | open |
| Mama's Famous Pizza and Heroes Mama's Famous Pizza & Heros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Pizza | 50 S Houghton Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 30 S Houghton Rd | open |
| Old Pueblo Pantry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Breakfast | Broadway and Stonehenge | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 9565 E. 22nd Street SUITE 155 SUITE 155 | open |
| Papa Johns Papa John's Pizza | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9505 e broadway blvd | open |
| Peter Piper Pizza Peter Piper Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9545 E Old Spanish Trail | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 9615 E Old Spanish Trail | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service | 9615 E Old Spanish Trail | open | |
| Robeks Fresh Juices and Smoothies Robeks Fresh Juices & Smoothies | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 50 S Houghton Rd #160 | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 9525 E Old Spanish Trl (22nd & Harriso, N, Tucson) | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 50 S Houghton Rd | open |
| Subway | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 9565 E 22nd St, Suite 101 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 105 S Houghton Rd Suite 143 | open |
| Sushi Nara | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi | 64 N Harrison Rd Ste 120 | open |
| The Cozy Corner Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2530 S Harrison Rd | open | |
| The Screamery The Screamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 50 S Houghton Rd #120 | open |
| Verona Italian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 120 S Houghton Rd | open |
| Village Inn Village Inn Restaurants | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 9560 E 22nd St | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian | 10380 E Broadway Blvd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 6 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 13 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 17 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 19 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 22 | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 21 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 22 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 17 | — | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 16 | 14 | — | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 18 | 15 | — | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |